NBA Most Improved Player Odds are no longer active for the 2025-26 award race because Nickeil Alexander-Walker has officially won the Kia NBA Most Improved Player award. The Atlanta Hawks guard completed one of the biggest market climbs of the season, going from deep longshot to award winner after a career-best year in a larger role.
First, we recap how Alexander-Walker won the 2026 Most Improved Player race. Then, we move into the early 2027 NBA Most Improved Player odds preview, where bettors should focus on role changes, usage jumps, team fit, and players who can make a first-time All-Star push.
The biggest betting lesson from the 2026 race is simple: this market can flip fast. Amen Thompson opened as the early favorite, Deni Avdija controlled parts of the winter, Jalen Johnson and Jalen Duren both had strong runs, and Alexander-Walker eventually surged past everyone late.
For 2027, the early names to monitor include Austin Reaves, Reed Sheppard, Jalen Duren, Amen Thompson, Matas Buzelis, Jalen Johnson, Shaedon Sharpe, Keyonte George, and any player who steps into a much larger offensive role after offseason movement.
NBA Most Improved Player Predictions Update
The 2026 NBA Most Improved Player Odds market is closed. Nickeil Alexander-Walker won the award, Jalen Duren finished second, and Deni Avdija finished third. The next betting cycle now shifts toward 2027 NBA Most Improved Player odds.
This award is one of the most volatile NBA futures markets because preseason pricing rarely captures every role change. A player can go from bench piece to starter, from low-usage role player to offensive option, or from promising talent to first-time All-Star candidate in just a few months.
For current NBA award futures, win totals, and regular-season markets before the next MIP board fully opens, bettors can track updated NBA odds throughout the offseason and regular season.
| Market | Current Status | Betting Takeaway |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 NBA Most Improved Player Odds | Closed / settled | Nickeil Alexander-Walker won |
| 2026 Runner-Up | Jalen Duren | Strong leap, but not enough |
| 2026 Third Place | Deni Avdija | Early favorite faded late |
| 2027 Market | Awaiting full odds | Track role expansion first |
The page should no longer focus on old 2026 prices. The better update is to close the Alexander-Walker win, explain the market movement, and prepare readers for the next futures board.
2026 NBA Most Improved Player Results
Nickeil Alexander-Walker won the 2025-26 Kia NBA Most Improved Player award after the best season of his career with the Atlanta Hawks. He beat Jalen Duren and Deni Avdija, giving Atlanta back-to-back Most Improved Player winners after Dyson Daniels won the award the previous season.
Alexander-Walker averaged a career-best 20.8 points per game while also posting career highs in assists, rebounds, steals, shooting efficiency, 3-pointers made, free throws made, and minutes. His role changed dramatically after joining Atlanta, and his production followed.
The result was a perfect example of what wins this award. Voters rewarded a player who got a bigger role, delivered a massive scoring jump, helped his team remain competitive, and turned a career-best season into a clean award narrative.
| 2026 Result | Player | Team | Betting Meaning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Deep longshot became winner |
| Second | Jalen Duren | Detroit Pistons | Big man leap got real support |
| Third | Deni Avdija | Portland Trail Blazers | Strong winter case faded late |
Alexander-Walker was the correct final side, but the best betting value came much earlier. By the time he became a heavy favorite, the market had already squeezed out most of the upside.
Why Nickeil Alexander-Walker Won

Nickeil Alexander-Walker won because his improvement was obvious, statistical, and easy to explain. He went from a reserve role in Minnesota to a major contributor in Atlanta, then turned that opportunity into the best offensive season of his career.
The scoring jump was the headline. Alexander-Walker moved from a single-digit career scoring profile to a 20-plus points-per-game season. That kind of leap is hard for voters to ignore, especially when it comes with better efficiency and a bigger role on a competitive team.
His season also followed a trend. Atlanta has become a strong development story in this award market, with Dyson Daniels winning in 2025 and Alexander-Walker winning in 2026. Bettors should not blindly chase another Hawks winner in 2027, but the pattern shows how much opportunity and system fit matter.
| Alexander-Walker Factor | 2025-26 Case | Betting Lesson |
|---|---|---|
| Role Change | Moved into larger Atlanta role | Opportunity creates value |
| Scoring Jump | Career-best 20.8 PPG | Points still drive MIP voting |
| Efficiency | Career-best shooting year | Improvement must feel sustainable |
| Market Path | Opened around 200/1 | Longshots can win this award |
The 2027 lesson is clear. Look for players whose role is about to change before the public sees the production jump.
2026 Most Improved Player Voting Recap
The final voting showed that Alexander-Walker created enough separation to win comfortably. Jalen Duren finished second, Deni Avdija finished third, and Neemias Queta, Ryan Rollins, Jalen Johnson, Reed Sheppard, Collin Gillespie, Jamal Murray, Stephon Castle, Naji Marshall, Jaden McDaniels, Amen Thompson, and Victor Wembanyama also received votes.
The voting list is useful for 2027 because it shows the kind of player profile that gets attention. Some candidates were young players making a leap. Others were veterans in new roles. The common thread was growth tied to real playing time.
The second-place finish for Duren is also important. Centers have historically had a tougher time winning this award, but Duren’s vote total showed that a big man can still make a serious run if the production jump and team success are loud enough.
| Voting Rank | Player | Team | Voting Points | First-Place Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Hawks | 396 | 66 |
| 2 | Jalen Duren | Pistons | 254 | 23 |
| 3 | Deni Avdija | Trail Blazers | 135 | 7 |
| 4 | Neemias Queta | Celtics | 41 | 0 |
| 5 | Ryan Rollins | Bucks | 33 | 3 |
The voting table also proves why price shopping matters. Alexander-Walker was a huge preseason number, Duren was available at long odds, and Avdija moved through the market during the season. This award rarely stays clean from October to April.
2026 Betting Recap
The 2026 NBA Most Improved Player betting recap starts with Alexander-Walker cashing as the final winner. He was not the obvious preseason pick, but his role expansion and scoring surge made him impossible to ignore by the final stretch.
Duren was a strong late-season favorite at one point and still finished second. Avdija controlled parts of the winter market but faded as other players surged. Jalen Johnson had a real window, but Alexander-Walker’s teammate eventually stole the stronger narrative.
For broader NBA futures strategy, the expert betting guide is useful because this market shows why award betting is all about timing, role projection, and knowing when the public is late.
| 2026 Bet Type | Result | Lesson |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander-Walker Longshot | Cashed | Role change created huge value |
| Jalen Duren Favorite Ticket | Finished second | Strong case, but late price got risky |
| Deni Avdija Winter Favorite | Finished third | Early control did not hold |
| Amen Thompson Preseason Favorite | Received votes, did not contend late | Opening favorite can fade quickly |
The biggest lesson is that MIP is not a market to fall in love with too early unless the role projection is obvious. The best bets usually come before the first big public move.
2027 NBA Most Improved Player Odds Preview
The 2027 NBA Most Improved Player odds board is not fully available yet, but the early formula is already clear. Bettors should look for players entering a bigger role, especially if they have a path to becoming a first-time All-Star or a 20-point scorer.
Austin Reaves is a logical early name because he has the skill set, market profile, and potential role expansion to attract attention if the Lakers give him more control. Reed Sheppard is another interesting option if Houston gives him enough usage. Jalen Duren can return to the conversation after finishing second, but his price may be less friendly next time.
For daily team and player context once the season starts, bettors can use NBA picks to monitor breakout roles, injury openings, rotation changes, and usage spikes.
| 2027 Tier | Players To Watch | Betting Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Favorite Watch | Austin Reaves | Role growth plus Lakers spotlight |
| Return Contender Watch | Jalen Duren, Jalen Johnson, Reed Sheppard | Already appeared in voting / market |
| Young Leap Watch | Matas Buzelis, Shaedon Sharpe, Keyonte George | Need usage and efficiency jump |
| Volatile Upside Watch | Amen Thompson, Ryan Rollins, Neemias Queta | Need clearer role and counting stats |
The best early advice is to wait for offseason movement. MIP odds are at their best when you can identify a role change before the market fully prices it in.
Top 2027 Most Improved Player Contenders

Austin Reaves is the cleanest early value watch if his usage grows. The Lakers spotlight can be a blessing or a curse, but if Reaves moves into a bigger scoring and creation role, his case will become easy for voters to understand.
Reed Sheppard is more of a role-dependent play. Houston is strong, and a young guard making a second-year leap on a winning team can fit the MIP profile. The concern is whether he gets enough shots and minutes to build a real statistical jump.
Jalen Duren is the proven contender after finishing second in 2026. The question is whether voters will see another leap as “improvement” or simply the natural next step. Centers also face a tougher historical path in this award, so the price needs to be right.
| Contender | 2027 Case | Main Concern |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves | Larger Lakers role could create award buzz | Needs true statistical jump, not just hype |
| Reed Sheppard | Young guard with scoring upside | Houston role must be big enough |
| Jalen Duren | Already finished second and made All-NBA leap | Big men rarely win this award lately |
| Matas Buzelis | Young wing with room for a scoring jump | Needs efficiency and team relevance |
| Jalen Johnson | Still has All-Star-level upside | Hawks teammate just won award |
The 2027 race should stay flexible. This is one of the easiest NBA awards to misprice in October and one of the hardest to chase once the public sees the breakout.
Best Early 2027 MIP Bets
The best early 2027 MIP value watch is Austin Reaves if the market does not overprice the Lakers name. He has the potential for more creation, more scoring, and a bigger storyline if Los Angeles stays competitive.
The best young-player watch is Reed Sheppard. If Houston gives him a real offensive role, he can create the kind of year-over-year statistical jump voters notice. The best return contender is Duren, but only if the odds are generous enough to account for center bias and voter fatigue from his 2026 run.
The best longshot strategy is to target players who changed teams or moved into a new role before the season starts. Daniels and Alexander-Walker both won after joining Atlanta and taking on bigger responsibilities, which is exactly the kind of path bettors should search for again.
| Bet Type | Best Early Name | Why It Fits |
|---|---|---|
| Best Early Value Watch | Austin Reaves | Role growth plus narrative potential |
| Best Young Upside Watch | Reed Sheppard | Second-year role jump could pop |
| Best Return Contender | Jalen Duren | Already finished second in 2026 |
| Best Wing Watch | Matas Buzelis | Scoring jump could build buzz |
| Best Longshot Profile | New-team starter | Role change can beat preseason odds |
Best Early Value Watch: Austin Reaves.
Best Young Upside Watch: Reed Sheppard.
Best Strategy: Wait for rotation and usage clues, then bet the player whose new role is bigger than his opening price suggests.
Recent Most Improved Player Winners
Recent Most Improved Player winners show a clear trend. Voters often reward players who jump into a much bigger role, become 20-point scorers, or push toward All-Star status.
| Season | Winner | Team | Betting Lesson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | New role created scoring leap |
| 2024-25 | Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Team change unlocked production |
| 2023-24 | Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Role expansion led to All-Star jump |
| 2022-23 | Lauri Markkanen | Utah Jazz | New team unlocked star profile |
| 2021-22 | Ja Morant | Memphis Grizzlies | Star leap became impossible to ignore |
The pattern is strong enough to guide 2027 betting. Target players with more shots, more minutes, more responsibility, and a realistic path to national attention.
Final 2027 Most Improved Player Outlook
The 2026 Most Improved Player race is settled, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker was the right winner. He had the scoring jump, role change, efficiency gains, and team-development story voters could easily reward.
For 2027, the market should start with role expansion. Austin Reaves is the cleanest early name if the Lakers give him more creation. Reed Sheppard is a strong young-player watch if Houston expands his offensive role. Duren remains a serious contender, but the odds need to be fair after his runner-up finish.
The best betting approach is simple: do not bet last year’s leaderboard blindly. Bet the next role change before it becomes obvious.
| Final Category | Current Read | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Winner | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Final / settled |
| 2027 Best Early Value Watch | Austin Reaves | Medium before odds release |
| 2027 Best Young Watch | Reed Sheppard | Medium if role expands |
| 2027 Return Contender | Jalen Duren | High profile, price-dependent |
| Best Data Point | Usage increase | Critical for this award |
Best 2027 Early Value Watch: Austin Reaves.
Best 2027 Young Upside Watch: Reed Sheppard.
Best 2027 Betting Discipline: Bet role expansion, usage growth, and price before hype.
Betting involves risk. NBA Most Improved Player odds can move quickly once rotations, injuries, trades, and early-season usage rates change. Always compare current prices before placing a wager and only bet what you can afford to lose.
FAQs
Who won the 2026 NBA Most Improved Player award?
Nickeil Alexander-Walker won the 2025-26 Kia NBA Most Improved Player award with the Atlanta Hawks.
Who finished second in 2026 NBA Most Improved Player voting?
Jalen Duren finished second in the 2026 NBA Most Improved Player voting, while Deni Avdija finished third.
Why did Nickeil Alexander-Walker win Most Improved Player?
Nickeil Alexander-Walker won because he made a massive scoring leap, took on a bigger role with Atlanta, posted career-best production, and built the clearest improvement case in the league.
Are 2027 NBA Most Improved Player odds available yet?
Full 2027 NBA Most Improved Player odds are expected to become available later in the offseason or closer to the start of the regular season.
Who is the best early 2027 Most Improved Player value watch?
Austin Reaves is one of the best early value watches if his role expands with the Lakers and his opening price is not too short.
What matters most for NBA Most Improved Player betting?
The most important factors are role expansion, usage growth, scoring jump, efficiency, team context, and whether the player becomes part of the national award conversation.
Can a longshot win NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes. Nickeil Alexander-Walker opened as a deep longshot before winning the 2026 award, which shows why this market is one of the best NBA futures markets for early value hunting.








