UFC Vegas 69 is this Saturday at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
It isn’t the most interesting fight card, as only four ranked fighters are in action. Jessica Andrade (#3) will fight Erin Blanchfield (#10) in a women’s flyweight bout in the main event.
Here are my best bets for UFC Vegas 69 on Saturday:
Andrade vs. Blanchfield Predictions
Fight Odds: Andrade (-135) vs. Blanchfield (+115)
Andrade (24-9) is on a 3-0 run with two first round finishes. She’s coming off a dominating decision win against Lauren Murphy where she landed 231 strikes. Blanchfield is 4-0 since joining the UFC in 2021.
Blanchfield has submitted her last two opponents (J.J. Aldrich and Molly McCann).
The odds for this fight have tightened up. Andrade averages 6.80 SLpM and 5.26 SApM. She isn’t known for her defense, but she has amazing power and has won nine fights by TKO/KO.
Blanchfield averages 5.79 SLpM and 2.45 SApM. She’ll have a 4” reach advantage, but she’ll be trying to take this fight to the mat. She’s a grappler that averages 4.00 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Andrade has the striking edge and she also has 73% takedown defense. There’s a good chance she’ll keep this fight standing and punish Blanchfield with relentless striking.
Best Bet: Andrade ML (-135)
Wright vs. Pauga Predictions
Fight Odds: Wright (+230) vs. Pauga (-275)
Jordan Wright (12-4-0-1) is 2-5 in the UFC and on a three-fight losing streak. He was knocked out twice and submitted once during the losing streak. He hasn’t had a single fight enter the third round.
Zac Pauga (5-1) was knocked out in his UFC debut by Mohammed Usman.
Neither fighter should be featured on a main card, let alone the co-main event. Wright has terrible defense (32%) and averages 7.54 SApM. Pauga averages 5.71 SLpM, but he isn’t very durable.
I lean Pauga, but don’t trust him. I also don’t see Pauga getting a fast finish.
Best Bet: Fight Starts Round 2 (+100)
Miller vs. Hernandez Predictions
Fight Odds: Miller (+190) vs. Hernandez (-225)
Jim Miller (35-16-0-1) is a fan favorite that has been fighting with the UFC since 2008. Miller is currently on a three-fight win streak. All three wins have come by stoppage in the second round.
Alexander Hernandez (13-6) is a powerful striker with six TKO/KO wins. However, he’s only 5-5 in the UFC. He’s on a two-fight losing streak with both losses coming by stoppage in the second round.
Miller is a live underdog and I’m not passing him up at this price.
Best Bet: Miller ML (+190)
UFC Vegas 69 Parlay Predictions
Here’s my best parlay bet for UFC Vegas 69:
Fletcher ML + Askhabov ML (+127 Payout Odds)
AJ Fletcher (9-2) is 0-2 in the UFC and needs to defeat Themba Gorimbo (10-3) who will be making his UFC debut. My best bet on the prelims is Khusein Askhabov (23-0) at -150 odds. Jamall Emmers (18-6) is only 1-2 in the UFC and he doesn’t have the skill set to defeat the Chechen fighter.
UFC Vegas 69 Betting Lines
Here are the odds for every UFC Vegas 69 fight:
Jessica Andrade (-135) vs. Erin Blanchfield (+115)
Jordan Wright (+230) vs. Zac Pauga (-275)
Josh Parisian (+205) vs. Jamal Pogues (-245)
William Knight (-120) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+100)
Jim Miller (+190) vs. Alexander Hernandez (-225)
Nazim Sadykhov (-195) vs. Evan Elder (+165)
Lina Lansberg (+380) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (-475)
Jamall Emmers (+130) vs. Khusein Askhabov (-150)
Ovince Saint Preux (+185) vs. Philipe Lins (-215)
AJ Fletcher (-275) vs. Themba Gorimbo (+230)
Clayton Carpenter (-305) vs. Juancamilo Ronderos (+255)