2026 Super Bowl MVP Odds and Predictions

After a long, but enjoyable 2025-26 NFL season, the Super Bowl is finally here. And, it’s going to be a competitive one as the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots battle for the right to be called world champions on February 8, 2026.

This year’s contest is a matchup of Super Bowl 49 that New England won 28-24 on a late-game stoppage. These teams are far different from those rosters, but we should still see a close battle that could come down to another late-game heroic effort.  

That year, Tom Brady won the Super Bowl MVP for the second of five awards. This year, both starting quarterbacks are listed as the odds-on favorites to win the MVP. Additionally, New England’s Drake Maye is also a real threat to win the NFL MVP award.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NFL odds and make our predictions for the 2026 Super Bowl MVP.

What Does The Super Bowl MVP Get?

The Super Bowl MVP receives the Pete Rozelle Trophy, named after one of the most prominent NFL Commissioners of all-time. They also earn extra endorsements, possible contract bonuses, and a trip to Disney World. The MVP used to receive a car, as well. Unfortunately, that tradition died out roughly a decade ago.

Who Won Super Bowl MVP 2025?

Philadelphi Eagles QB Jalen Hurts won the 2025 Super Bowl MVP after throwing for 221 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 72 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD. Hurts helped to lead the Eagles to victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. He displayed a dual-threat play that propelled Philly’s offense.

Super Bowl MVP Odds

Check out the latest Super Bowl MVP odds courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Sam Darnold is considered the NFL betting favorite to win the 2026 Super Bowl MVP due to Seattle being the favorite to win the game. Drake Maye is a close second, and offers better value. The top skilled position players to keep an eye on are Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III, who both play for the Seahawks.

If you need assistance with approaching the Super Bowl 60 MVP award, then check out what the best handicappers are predicting. This cutting-edge sports betting membership will not only cover the Super Bowl and NFL, but it also provided you with thousands of picks spanning all major professional and Collegiate sports.

Super Bowl MVP Contenders

The following players are on our short list of realistic contenders to win the 2026 Super Bowl MVP:

Sam Darnold (+115)         

Sam Darnold is the talk of the town right now. And, that’s largely due to leading this offense to a fantastic season. Combine that with Minnesota firing their GM for letting Darnold walk out the door for nothing, and you get a week of Darnold mania.

On the season, Darnold threw for 4,048 yards, 25 TDs, 14 INTs, a 99.1 passer rating, and a 67.7% completion percentage. One of his best offensive performances came in Week 9 where he tossed 330 yards and 4 TDs against Washington.

Down the stretch run of the season, Darnold elevated his play. That momentum carried over into the Playoffs where Seattle’s starting QB posted 470 passing yards, 4 TDs, and a 122.7 passer rating in two games. The offense put 36 ppg and roll into the Super Bowl on a tear.

If Seattle wins, it will most likely be due to Darnold having a strong outing.

Drake Maye (+240)

Drake May took a huge step in his second year to become a Top 10 quarterback as he helped turn this team from a bottom dweller to a Super Bowl contender. Sure, Mike Vrabel had a lot to do with that as well, but Maye’s play has him in the running for the NFL MVP along with the Super Bowl MVP.

On the season, Maye showed a dual-threat play that kept opposing defenses on their toes as he threw for 4,394 yards, 31 TDs, 8 INTs, 113.5 rating, and a 72.0% completion percentage. Maye also ran for 450 yards and 4 TDs.

Maye continued that play in the postseason regardless of the weather or opposition. He helped lead New England to defeat the Chargers, Texans and Broncos en route to winning the AFC.

If the Patriots pull off the upset, it will be due to Maye leading the charge.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+500)          

All Jaxon Smith-Njigba needed was a reliable QB and for DK Metcalf to get traded, so that he could become one of the best receivers in the NFL. And, that’s exactly what he did after posting a stellar regular season.

JSN finished with 119 receptions (4^th in the NFL), 1,793 yards (led the NFL), 10 TDs (6^th in the NFL), and 15.1 yards per catch (10^th in the NFL). JSN set a new Seattle record for receiving yards in a regular season.

During the season JSN put up 167 yards and 2 TDs against the Titans in Week 11, but his 8 catches for 162 yards and 1 TD versus the Jaguars in Week 7 was arguably his most notable regular season performance.

In the Playoffs, JSN tallied 153 yards and 1 TD against the Rams in the NFC Championship. He’s the most dangerous player on Seattle’s offense and one that the Patriots will have to double team at all times. That starts with identifying where JSN lines up because they move him all over the field.

Kenneth Walker III (+700)

Walker shared the backfield for the entire regular season before his teammate Charbonnet suffered a torn ACL. Now, Walker will be the featured back and a prominent weapon for the Seahawks who have a Top 10 rushing attack.

Walker finished the regular season with 1,027 yards, 5 rushing TDs, and 282 receiving yards on 31 receptions. He averaged 4.6 yards per carry.

KW III really caught fire at the end of the season and into the Playoffs. In late December, Walker tallied 164 total yards against the Rams on December 18, to help Seattle pick up a massive OT win.

In the Playoffs, Walker ran for 116 yards and 3 TDs against the 49ers in the Divisional Round. He followed that up with 111 total yards and 1 TD against the Rams in the NFC Title game.

With 256 total yards, 4 TDs and at least 45 touches in the Playoffs, don’t sleep on Walker’s impact for Seattle in Super Bowl 59.

Super Bowl MVP Predictions

Of the 59 previous Super Bowls, 34 MVP Awards were handed out to quarterbacks. So, it’s easy to see why this year’s award is favored to go to one of the two QBs.

Eight MVP Awards have gone to receivers with the last one going to Cooper Kupp in 2022 after he posted 92 yards and 2 TDs on eight catches. Ironically, Kupp is in SB 60 as Seattle’s no.2 receiver. He will help the team reduce double-teams on JSN who is a real threat to win this award.

Seven MVP honors have gone to running backs. However, the last time a RB won the MVP was in 1998. That year, Terrell Davis finished with 157 yards and 3 TDs as he chewed up Green Bay’s defense.

10 Super Bowl MVPs went to defensive players with the last one coming in 2016, when Von Miller finished with six tackles, 2 forced fumbles and 2.5 sacks as Denver beat Carolina. One MVP award went to a returner in Desmond Howard (1997).

Considering that New England has a Top 5 run defense, I expect them to be stout against the run, but I do see Seattle finding success throwing the ball. So, I am leaning towards Darnold and JSN for this award.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba offers better value but Darnold is going to have to play solid for Seattle to beat a rugged New England team. So, my NFL pick is Darnold especially since QBs have won eight of the last 11 Super Bowl MVPs.

Bet: Sam Darnold (+110)

Super Bowl MVP Winners

The following is a list of the most recent Super Bowl MVP Winners: