2026 Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds and Predictions

The Super Bowl coin toss is one of those NFL prop bets that kick off the thrilling Super Bowl props betting niche. On the field, it features team captains that meet each other at the 50-yard line to decide which team gets the ball first. At the sportsbooks, it can set the tone for your bankroll heading into the big game.

Additionally, this is one of those Super bowl prop bets that actually gives you a real 50-50 chance of winning. And, it all comes down to a split second where a coin flips through the air before landing and deciding your betting future. That’s all anyone can really ask for.

For many, this prop bet is simply a pick of Heads or Tails. For those who participate in NFL betting all year long, this prop is an opportunity to properly handicap and win big. That starts by looking at past data on the Super Bowl coin toss and making a more educated wager.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest Super Bowl coin toss odds and make our predictions on whether it lands on Heads or Tails.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds

Check out the latest Super Bowl Coin Toss odds courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

While the Super Bowl has thousands of prop bets to choose from, including the Halftime Show which we will break down in a separate article, the coin toss is the most straight-forward wager in this betting market. So, it’s important to focus on the data, channel a little luck, and make a winning NFL pick.

And, to make things even more exciting, the Super Bowl coin toss prop bets don’t  just come down to a simple Heads or Tails, you also have the opportunities to wager on things like the call being correct or the team that wins the toss also wins the game.

If you need further assistance with approaching the Super Bowl this year, then check out what the best handicappers are saying. This amazing membership will not only cover you like a shutdown corner, but it will also provide you with thousands of picks from all major sports.

Score a Touchdown Every Weekend

Join Our Expert NFL Picks

Get Free Trial

Super Bowl Coin Toss Predictions

Check out our predictions for the latest Super Bowl Coin Toss prop bets:

Super Bowl Coin Toss Result

• Heads (-105)
• Tails (-105)

Let’s get this out of the way right off the bat. Just because this is a 50-50 wager doesn’t mean that the sportsbooks still won’t make money. The vig is set at -105 for each betting option as the betting sites hope for an even split of wagers on each side. This allows them to earn without having to payout more than one side’s wagers.

With that said, focusing on the 50-50 chance of it hitting Heads or Tails is important here; as is looking at the data.

In 59 Super Bowls, Heads has come up 28 times and Tails has come up 31 times. That’s a 47.4% hit for Heads and a 52.6% hit for Tails.

It’s also quite possible that whichever way you bet on this, you can still end up seeing the other result land on the field and across your TV screen. That’s the frustrating part of this wager.

Tails came up last year as it ended a three-year streak for Heads. The latter also has the longest consecutive streak at five. Does any of that really matter for this wager? Maybe not, but it’s still a good practice for handicapping all sports bets, even this one.

Last year, we correctly called Tails. Let’s roll with it again this year.

Bet: Tails (-105)

Toss to Be Called Correctly

• Team To Make Correct Call (-105)
• Team To make Incorrect Call (-105)

The visiting team will get to make the coin toss call. This year, that will be the Seattle Seahawks.

Seattle fans might want to see their captains miss the call on this one as the team that has won the coin toss has only gone on to win the Super Bowl 25 out of 59 times. That’s a 42.4% success rate, which is well below the 50-50 mark many hopes for or think of with this prop bet.

Over the last 10 years, the team that won the coin toss only won the Super Bowl two out of 10 times. The Kansas City Chiefs won the coin toss at Super Bowls LVII and LVIII, then go on to win the game.

Last year, the Chiefs won the coin toss but ended up losing to the Philadelphia Eagles. In fact, the Chiefs have won four of the last five coin tosses. But they went 2-2 with their calls.  

Ironically, the New England Patriots are 0-3 and the Seattle Seahawks are 1-3 in failing to capitalize on the coin toss call.

I’m going with an incorrect call here by the Seahawks.

Bet: Team To make Incorrect Call (-105)

Team to Win the Toss

• Seattle Seahawks (-105)
• New England Patriots (-105)

This is a 50-50 split and one wager that is definitely an easy one for bettors of all levels to wager on. So, it comes down to Seattle making their call and whether or not they win or the Patriots win due to an incorrect call.

As you can see from the data above, I picked Seattle to make an incorrect call. So, that means I like the Patriots to win the coin toss and defer to receive the ball in the second half.

As for the big game itself, you will have to check out our Super Bowl 60 predictions to see which team I’m taking to win the NFL Championship.

Bet: New England Patriots (-105)

What Will Be OT Coin Toss Result?

• Heads (-105)
• Tails (-105)

This falls along the same mathematics as the regular Super Bowl coin toss. However, when looking at the history of this game, there have only been two Super Bowls that have gone into Overtime: 2017 and 2014.

In 2017, the Patriots called Heads on the coin toss, but it came up Tails and the Falcons ended up winning the toss but losing the game.

In 2024m the San Francisco 49ers called Tails and the coin landed on Tails. Unfortunately, they went on to lose the game.

So, in two Overtime Super Bowl games, Tails landed both times. Let’s go with Heads to buck the trend. Keep in mind, this bet only receives action if the game actually goes into Overtime.

Bet: Heads (-105)

Will Ref Reward Coin Toss To Wrong Team?

• Yes (+1200)
• No (-5000)

In Super Bowl history, and based on our research, there has only been one instance where a referee rewarded the coin toss to the wrong team.

In 1983, referee Jerry Markbreit made an incorrect call after he awarded the coin toss to Washington. Miami Dolphins’ captain Bob Kuechenberg called Tails and the coin landed on Tails. However, because it was a special coin, the referee mistook Tails for Heads.

After a few minutes of discussing the mishap with his fellow officials, Markbreit corrected the call and rightfully awarded it to Miami. The Dolphins chose to receive the kick.

In 2025, the referee allowed the wrong team to make the coin toss call during a game in Germany. However, before the teams could line up to kick the ball off, the officiating crew corrected the mistake.

Bet: No (-5000)

What Will Patriots Do If They Win Toss?

• Defer (-5000)
• Receive (+1200)

In the last 10 Super Bowls, nine of 10 teams that won the coin toss elected to defer the ball until the second half. Only the 2024 San Francisco 49ers chose to receive the ball, following a coin toss win. That decision definitely bucks the trend for not only the Super Bowl but all NFL games.

Bet: Defer (-5000)

Super Bowl Coin Toss Results