More PFL champions were crowned in recent weeks and we get closer to resolving this ongoing tourney. The finale arrives this Thursday night, where we get a clutch main event between Fabian Edwards and Dalton Rosta.

Our PFL and UFC picks have been largely on point for much of the year, and the goal is to close out the 2025 PFL World Tournament in style. If you need help with identifying the best PFL bets for this week’s big card, read on for a detailed guide with the latest odds and predictions.

How To Watch PFL Championships?

You can watch the PFL finals on ESPN and ESPN+.

When Is PFL Championships?

The last stop on the PFL World Tournament tour, PFL 10 will go live on Thursday, August 21st, with the Prelims firing off at 5:30 pm EST and the main card wrapping things up at 9:00 pm EST.

Where Are the PFL Championships? 

Want to watch the fights live and in person? Head to Charlotte, North Carolina, where all the action is set to go down at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall.

PFL World Tournament Schedule

Check out the upcoming 2025 PFL World Tournament schedule:

• April 3: 2025 PFL World Tournament 1: First Round 
• April 11: 2025 PFL World Tournament 2: First Round 
• April 18: 2025 PFL World Tournament 3: First Round 
• May 1: 2025 PFL World Tournament 4: First Round 
• June 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 5: Semifinals 
• June 20: 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals 
• June 27: 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals 
• August 1: 2025 PFL World Tournament 8: Finals
• August 15: 2025 PFL World Tournament 9: Finals 
• August 21: 2025 PFL World Tournament 10: Finals 

PFL Championships Main Card Odds

Check out the latest PFL Championships odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites: 

We are at the end of the line, so the PFL 10 main card isn’t exactly stacked. We have just three scheduled bouts to work with, but all of these fights will give way to a new PFL champion.

It’s cool to see nobody priced as an overwhelming favorite. That does complicate matters a bit as far as deciding which way to bet, but it at least means we’re getting solid bang for our buck, no matter who we back.

At first glance, I have a considerable amount of interest in some of these underdogs. These fights are for all the marbles across the heavyweight, middleweight, and light heavyweight divisions, so it’s truly anyone’s game. On top of that, all three of these underdogs are nasty fighters who could have been listed as the favorite and I wouldn’t have been that shocked.

I listed my predicted winner next to each fight above, but I’ll dig deeper into why I like each bet. Need more assistance before finalizing your PFL 10 wagers? Check in with the best handicappers and see what they have cooking up for Thursday’s fight card.

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PFL Championships Predictions For The Main Card

The PFL 10 main card can be viewed on 9:00 pm EST on ESPN and ESPN+.

Fabian Edwards (-200) vs. Dalton Rosta (+170)

We get a middleweight title battle here when Fabian Edwards (15-4) takes on Dalton Rosta (11-1). The brother of Leon Edwards has made a name for himself in Bellator and this PFL tourney, as he’s won two straight and three of his last four.

Edwards is feeling it right now and this may be his only shot at scoring a PFL championship now that he is 32 years of age. His resume looks solid, as he’s only ever been finished once and he has solid versatility to bring to the table.

He is the older fighter in this matchup by three years, but he also is a little taller and has a three-inch reach advantage. His well-rounded fighting style makes him a threat to finish the fight in a multitude of ways, or inflict solid damage and survive the entire bout.

Rosta is a stud, of course. He has one loss to his name and it was a Decision. Clearly his defense and toughness make him a tough nut to crack, so it’s likely this thing is going the distance.

He’s not afraid of that possibility (6 Decision wins), but he does have some KO ability (4 KOs) and even submitted Sadibou Sy in the first round of this tournament.

Rosta is someone to fear, and I do think he’s a live dog at +170. That said, Fabian Edwards has more experience and is proven to be a bit more versatile. He’s a solid price at -200 and I think he’s the safer pick. Just as safe, most likely, is a bet for this fight to go the distance.

Bet: Fabian Edwards (-200)

Sullivan Cauley (-150) vs. Antonio Carlos Jr. (+130)

Next up is a light heavyweight title bout between Sullivan Cauley (8-1) and Antonio Carlos Jr. (19-6). This is an interesting fight when factoring in price, as Carlos Jr. has way more experience than his opponent and also has a huge five-inch reach advantage.

Cauley is no slouch despite only having nine career bouts to his name, of course, as he has six knockouts under his belt and is red hot with three straight wins. One of those was a TKO win over Alex Polizzi in this tournament. He understandably has the striking and power edge in this one, but things could get bad if the fight goes to the ground.

Carlos Jr. is not a threat to end this fight with his fists (0 career KOs), but he has strong wrestling and is a terror on the mat (12 submissions!). His length should allow him to keep Cauley’s power at bay, while he should dominate if the fight does get to the ground. I like the upset here.

Bet: Antonio Carlos Jr. (+130)

Oleg Popov (-210) vs. Alexandr Romanov (+180)

I am digging the value we’re getting with Alexandr Romanov at his +180 price tag. He can be a monster on the ground, while he brings solid strength, power, and striking to the table. He really knows how to throw his weight around, too, and he’s simply been unstoppable in the majority of his fights, with 16 of his 19 wins coming early.

Romanov is a versatile finisher, as he can pound his opponent (6 KOs), but he’s adept at making them tap (10 submissions). He also only has three losses to his name, and they all came against solid competition in the UFC.

Popov is the favorite for a reason. He has a stellar 21-2 record and nine knockouts to his name, while he’s never been KO’d across 23 bouts. His submission game isn’t nearly as effective as Romanov’s, while he has been submitted one time in his career.

Popov has a more impressive record and is the more dangerous fighter with his fists, but the gap on the ground is pretty glaring. I think Romanov has a chance to take care of business in this one, making him a really nice value.

Bet: Alexandr Romanov (+180)

PFL Championships Preliminary Card Odds

Check out the latest PFL World Championship odds for the Preliminary Card: 

The Prelims are loaded with more fights – including two insanely priced bouts. I don’t think it makes a lot of sense to go against Pergande or Magomedov, but you also can’t bet on their moneylines.

To be frank, the first thing I am thinking about is whether or not there are viable paths to guys like Goss, Sanchez, and Viana staging the upset. I think for a couple of them – more on that in a bit – it’s not totally crazy, but I’d ultimately expect the favorites to win.

I do think there are a couple of spots where we can target the underdog on this card, but those aren’t likely to be it.

You can see that with my predictions in the table above, but I’ll offer some context with full breakdowns for each fight.

PFL Championships Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The PFL Championships Prelims get going at 5:30 pm EST on ESPN and ESPN+.

Alexei Pergande (-900) vs. Ethan Goss (+600)

The main card is not very busy, but the Prelims sure are. They have far more fights, although some are absurdly priced like this one, which pits massive favorite Alexei Pergande (6-0) up against Ethan Goss (12-7).

The experience edge definitely goes to Goss and could factor into how this fight plays out, but Goss has a ton of losses on his ledger already, with four coming via stoppage. He’s been most vulnerable on the ground (3 submission losses), which isn’t ideal since that’s the only way Pergande has finished his opponents so far.’

Pergande has not proven to be a KO threat, but he has been able to dictate pacing and control fights, and if the bout goes to the ground, he should have the upper hand. I think based on pricing and experience, Goss is not the worst underdog try at +600. However, Pergande is the taller and rangier fighter with a more well-rounded skill-set and an edge on the mat.

The price stinks, so if you’re actually betting on this one, I’d hunt down a wager where Pergande wins via submission.

Bet: Alexei Pergande (-900)

Bryce Meredith (-150) vs. Lazaro Dayron (+130)

This next match on the PFL 10 Prelims is extremely tight and will be tough to get right. Bryce Meredith (7-0) will look to stay undefeated in this one, and he’ll face Lazaro Dayron (8-0-1), who has also yet to lose.

Naturally, this one is priced like a virtual pick’em, with Meredith as the slimmest of favorites thanks to a four-inch height advantage. He also has a slight 1.5-inch reach edge and has displayed solid versatility and respectable finishing ability so far (5 finishes in 7 wins).

Meredith’s height and length should benefit him greatly, as he’s a wrestler by trade. That should allow him to dictate the pace and keep Dayron at bay until he finds an opening.

Dayron is a little more explosive (3 KOs), so he should carry the striking edge here, although Meredith’s style could make that a non-issue. Ultimately, Meredith is the appropriate favorite here and if he can take advantage of superior height and reach, he should have a clear path to a victory.

Bet: Bryce Meredith (-150)

Impa Kasanganay (-600) vs. Andrew Sanchez (+425)

This could be a fun fight, as Impa Kasanganay (18-6) is a huge favorite, but judging by his fighting style and history, he could leave an opening for an upset. 

Kasanganay has a versatile skill-set that allows him to finish fights in several ways. He can knock people out or make them tap, and not too long ago he delivered some nasty TKO wins against Jakob Nedoh and Alex Polizzi. 

His recent form (two straight KO losses) is suspect, though, and he’s now been knocked out four times in his career. Few can forget his infamous spinning kick KO defeat against Joaquin Buckley, so we know for a fact the guy can be had.

Is Andrew Sanchez (14-8) the guy we want to roll the dice on, though? His +425 odds and Kasanganay’s propensity to get KO’d put him in play, while he does have six KOs to his name. Of course, he is 37 now and has also been knocked out six times – while he hasn’t KO’d anyone since 2020.

Sanchez is in play as a fun underdog bet if you want to throw caution to the wind, but Impa is the safe bet. I wouldn’t target his moneyline, though. Instead, I’d chase a KO win or a neutral bet that this one ends early.

Bet: Impa Kasanganay (-600)

Rasul Magomedov (-2000) vs. Guilherme Viana (+1000)

Next up we have Rasul Magomedov (7-0), who is another perfect fighter trying to stay unbeaten. He will be an insane favorite against Guilherme Viana (9-3), who has a fine enough record, but is priced as if this is his first fight ever and also that he’s 12.

Viana is certainly dangerous thanks to seven KOs across his nine victories, while he has been quite good at ending fights early (8 of 9 have come via stoppage). He has nine losses already, but just one was via stoppage.

Magomedov has the more well-rounded skill-set and is going to be the far better grappler here. He should be able to continue his dominant control game, which should inflict some damage and also keep Viana’s striking at bay.

He’s the likely winner here, but you’re not betting on his -2000 ML. I think a tiny bet on Viana or taking a shot at a random knockout is certainly viable, although not very likely to hit.

Bet: Rasul Magomedov (-2000)

Sergei Bilostenniy (-180) vs. Karl Williams (+155)

Karl Williams is shaping up to be a solid underdog going into PFL 10. He has a solid 10-3 record, with his only recent losses coming against solid opponents in Oleg Popov and Jhonata Diniz.

He got off to a 3-1 start in the UFC before getting it going in the PFL again, while he has proven to be a tough out (0 KO losses) and is able to inflict some solid damage. He also has some power and finishing ability (3 KOs), but is admittedly not the most versatile fighter.

Bilostenniy (13-4) is favored thanks to a better record and far better finishing ability (8 KOs), but most of those knockouts came in the first round. If the fight makes it past the first stanza, I think he could be in trouble against a savvy fighter who knows how to protect himself, rack up damage, and extend fights.

The finishing edge definitely lies with Sergei, so this bout gives me two solid options; bet on Serhei to win via KO, and bet on Williams to win via Decision. I prefer backing Williams due to the price.

Bet: Karl Williams (+155)

Murad Ramazanov (-192) vs. Joshua Silveira (+167)

Can Joshua Silveira (14-5) get the upset when he faces off with Murad Ramazanov (12-3) this week? It’s going to be tough, as Ramazanov has a very balanced skill-set and can end this fight in a number of ways.

Ramazanov is admittedly reeling at the moment, as he’s dropped each of his last three fights after an epic 12-0 start to his career. Of course, two of those losses came against the legendary Shamil Musaev and the last one was against a solid fighter in Aaron Jeffrey.

The last two losses also were Decisions, so it isn’t like Ramazanov is losing to bad fighters or even doing so convincingly. I don’t think things get a whole lot easier against Silveira, though. He is just as versatile as Ramazanov and he has elite finishing ability, with 12 of his 14 wins ending early.

Silveira also has been impossible to finish in his career (0 losses via stoppage). That said, he is running into a quality fighter that badly needs a bounce-back win, while Silveira’s recent form isn’t a lot better (2-3 over his last five).

I anticipate a good fight and one that probably goes the distance. These guys share just one loss via stoppage between the two of them, so we should get a back and forth battle that goes down to the wire. An early win is still very possible given their styles and tendency to hunt for a quick win, but I like Murad’s ML and the fight to go all the way.

Bet: Murad Ramazanov (-192)

JP Saint Louis (-130) vs. Tyler Ray (+110)

Lastly, we have JP Saint Louis (11-5) and Tyler Ray (11-5) facing off. These guys have the same exact record, but are very different fighters. Saint Louis comes in as a mild favorite thanks to being red hot (four straight wins) and also being a dynamo on the mat (8 submissions).

He will be tough to stop if the fight goes to the ground, but he’s also possibly going to be a bit vulnerable here, as he’s been knocked out three times in his career already.

Ray offers slightly better value with his +110 moneyline, and he is also a submission guru who isn’t a great bet to end the fight with his fists. His recent form is suspect, as he did win his last match against Carlton Little Sr., but is just 1-3 over his last four fights.

This one is understandably a close call, but I favor Saint Louis on the ground, as well as his current hot streak.

Bet: JP Saint Louis (-130)

The Best PFL World Tournament Picks

The following is our best PFL World Tournament picks for this week’s event:

• Fabian Edwards (-200)
• Antonio Carlos Jr. (+130)
• Alexandr Romanov (+180)

You’re getting really nice value across the board here. Fabian Edwards has narrative and skill-set in his corner, plus he’s a really solid price for a guy I think could easily have shorter odds. He feels like a steal here, although Rosta is far from an easy task.

Carlos Jr. offers even better value. The height and reach edge he possesses could be massive for him as he takes on Cauley. He is the underdog for a reason, but I am smelling a submission win here.

Lastly, we have Romanov, who could give us our second upset pick of the main card. He did pretty well in the UFC, displaying an ability to bully fighters in the toughest promotion of them all. Popov is not an easy assignment, but if the fight goes to the ground, I favor Romanov.

PFL Fight Card

Check out the updated PFL World Tournament 10 fight card:

PFL World Tournament 1 Results

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 1 results:

PFL Welterweight Results

• Welterweight: Jason Jackson def. Andrey Koreshkov via 2^nd rd. Submission
• Welterweight: Logan Storley def. Joseph Luciano via UD
• Welterweight: Thad Jean def. Mukhamed Berkhamov via 1^st rd. KO
• Welterweight: Masayuki Kikuiri def. Giannis Bachar via 2^nd rd. TKO

PFL Featherweight Results

• Featherweight: Jesus Pinedo def. Adam Borics via 1^st rd. TKO
• Featherweight: Movlid Khaybulaev def. Jeremy Kennedy via SD
• Featherweight Gabriel Braga def. Frederik Dupras via 1^st rd. Submission
• Featherweight: Tae Kyun Kim def. Nathan Kelly via 1^st rd. Submission

PFL World Tournament 2 Results

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 2 results:

PFL Bantamweight Results

• Bantamweight: Marcirley Alves def. Leandro Higo via SD
• Bantamweight: Mando Gutierrez def. Francesco Nuzzi via 1^st rd. Submission
• Bantamweight: Justin Wetzell def. Kasum Kasumov via UD
• Bantamweight: Jake Hadley def. Matheus Mattos via 3^rd rd. Submission

PFL Women’s Flyweight Results

• Women’s Flyweight: Liz Carmouche def. Ilara Joanne via 1^st rd. TKO
• Women’s Flyweight: Ekaterina Shakalova def. Juliana Velasquez via 1^st rd. Submission
• Women’s Flyweight: Jena Bishop def. Kana Watanabe via UD
• Women’s Flyweight: Elora Dana def. Diana Avsaragova via 1^st rd. Submission

PFL World Tournament 3 Results

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 3 results:

PFL Middleweight Results

• Middleweight: Fabian Edwards def. Impa Kasanganay via 2^nd rd. TKO
• Middleweight: Dalton Rosta def. Sadibou Sy via submission via 2^nd rd. Submission
• Middleweight First Round Bout: Josh Silveira def. Mike Shipman via UD
• Middleweight First Round Bout: Aaron Jeffery def. Murad Ramazanov via SD

PFL Lightweight Results

• Lightweight: Gadzhi Rabadanov def. Marc Diakiese via 1^st rd. TKO
• Lightweight: Jay-Jay Wilson def. Mads Burnell via 3^rd. TKO strikes
• Lightweight: Alfie Davis def. Clay Collard via 1^st rd. TKO
• Lightweight: Brent Primus def. Vinicius Cenci via 3^rd rd. Submission

PFL World Tournament 4 Results

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 4 results:

PFL Light Heavyweight Results

• Light Heavyweight: Phil Davis def. Rob Wilkinson 2nd rd. TKO
• Light Heavyweight: Antonio Carlos Junior def. Karl Moore via SD
• Light Heavyweight: Simeon Powell def. Karl Albrektsson 2nd rd. TKO
• Light Heavyweight: Sullivan Cauley def. Alex Polizzi 1st rd. TKO

PFL Heavyweight Results

• Heavyweight: Valentin Moldavsky def. Sergey Bilostenniy via UD
• Heavyweight: Alexander Romanov def. Timothy Johnson 1st rd. Submission
• Heavyweight: Oleg Popov def. Karl Williams via SD
• Heavyweight: Rodrigo Nascimento def. Abraham Bably via SD

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 5 results:

PFL Welterweight Results

• Welterweight: Thad Jean def. Jason Jackson via SD
• Welterweight: Logan Storley def. Masayuki Kikuiri via UD
• Welterweight: Sarek Shields def. Joseph Luciano via UD
• Welterweight: Kendly St. Louis def. Murkhamed Berkhamov via 3rd rd. Submission

PFL Featherweight Results

• Featherweight: Jesus Pinedo def. Gabriel Braga via 1st rd. TKO
• Featherweight: Movlid Khaybulaev def. Kim Tae-kyun via UD
• Featherweight: Adam Borics def. Jeremy Kennedy via MD
• Featherweight: Alexei Pergande def. Mike Bardsley via UD

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 6 results:

PFL Lightweight Results

• Lightweight: Gadzhi Rabadanov def. Kevin Lee via 1st rd. TKO
• Lightweight: Archie Colgan def. Mansour Barnaoui via UD
• Lightweight: Alfie Davis def. Brent Primus via UD
• Lightweight: Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci def. Antonio Caruso via 1st rd. Submission

PFL Bantamweight Results

• Bantamweight: Marcirley Alves def. Jake Hadley via UD
• Bantamweight: Justin Wetzell def. Mando Gutierrez via UD
• Bantamweight: Magomed Maogmedov def. Sarvarjon Khamidov via UD

PFL Women’s Flyweight Results

• Women’s Flyweight: Liz Carmouche def. Elora Dana via UD
• Women’s Flyweight: Jena Bishop def. Ekaterina Shakalova via 2nd rd. Submission
• Women’s Flyweight: Ilra Joanne def. Saray Orozco via UD

PFL World Tournament 7 Results

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 7 results:

PFL Light Heavyweight Results

• Light Heavyweight: Sullivan Cauley def. Phil Davis UD
• Light Heavyweight: Antonio Carlos Junior def. Simeon Powell via UD
• Light Heavyweight: Rafael Xavier def. Karl Albrektsson 1st rd. TKO

PFL Heavyweight Results

• Heavyweight: Valentin Moldavsky vs. Alexander Romanov ended in a No Contest
• Heavyweight: Oleg Popov def. Rodrigo Nascimento via UD

PFL Middleweight Results

• Middleweight: Fabian Edwards def. Josh Silveira via UD
• Middleweight: Dalton Rosta def. Aaron Jeffery via SD

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 8 results:

PFL Welterweight Results

• Welterweight: Thad Jean def. Logan Storley via UD
• Welterweight: Sarek Shields def. Nick Meck via 1st rd. TKO
• Catchweight: Jakub Kaszuba def. def. Sergio Cossio via UD

PFL Featherweight Results

• Featherweight: Movlid Khaybulaev def. Jesus Pinedo 5th rd. Submission
• Featherweight: Asaek Adjoudj def. Yves Landu via UD
• Featherweight: Frederik Dupras def. Nathan Kelly via 2nd rd. Submission
• Featherweight: Tom Pagliarulo def. Matt Turnbull via 1st rd. TKO
• Lightweight: Kyle Driscoll def. Husein Kadimagomaev via SD

Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 9 results:

PFL Lightweight Results

• Lightweight: Alfie Davis def. Gadzhi Rabadanov via UD
• Lightweight: Robert Watley def. Mads Burnell via 3rd rd. TKO
• Lightweight: Biaggio Ali Walsh def. Adryan Grundy via 3rd rd. TKO
• Catchweight: Damion Nelson def. Isaiah Diggs via SD

PFL Bantamweight Results

• Bantamweight: Marcirley Alves def. Justin Wetzell via UD
• Bantamweight: Renat Khavalov def. Vilson Ndregjoni via 1st rd. TKO
• Welterweight: Chris Mixan def. Kennedy St. Louis via 1st rd. TKO

PFL Women’s Flyweight Results

• Women’s Flyweight: Liz Carmouche def. Jena Bishop via 3rd rd. KO
• Women’s Flyweight: Juliana Velasquez def. Ekaterina Shakalova via UD
• Women’s Flyweight: Sabrina de Sousa def. Saray Orozco via UD