Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Predictions April 9th 2025

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At 10:00 ET, the San Antonio Spurs will travel to take on the Golden State Warriors in a Western Conference matchup. The Spurs (+731) are currently 13th in the Western Conference and have lost three straight games. The Warriors (-1210) are 6th in the West and are favored by 15.5 points.

This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line for this game is currently 232 points.

Spurs vs. Warriors Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
  • Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
  • Date: Wednesday, April 9th
  • Betting Odds GS -15.5, SA +731 | GS -1210 O/U 232

The Spurs Can Win If…

The Spurs dropped to 32-47 on the season after a 122-117 road loss to the Clippers on Tuesday. San Antonio entered the game as +12.5 point underdogs but managed to keep it closer than expected. The total score of 239 points went over the pre-game line of 229.5.

A 13-0 run by the Clippers turned a tight game into a 66-52 deficit for the Spurs. San Antonio fell behind 91-78 heading into the 4th quarter but made a push, outscoring the Clippers 39-31 in the final period.

Harrison Barnes knocked down 6 threes at a 75% clip, finishing with 24 points and 5 rebounds in the Spurs’ 122-117 loss to the Clippers. He shot 80% from the field, and Stephon Castle added 19 points and 8 assists, shooting 71.4%.

San Antonio hit 17 threes, shooting 40.5% from deep and 52.9% overall. Barnes scored 8 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Castle added 9 points in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Spurs had a solid 2nd quarter, giving up just 26 points, but they struggled in the 3rd, allowing 37 points, which contributed to their 122-117 loss to the Clippers. San Antonio couldn’t slow down Los Angeles, who shot 51% from the field.

The Spurs also had trouble defending the three, as the Clippers hit 14 threes on 46% shooting. San Antonio sent the Clippers to the line 16 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Spurs recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

  • San Antonio has a 1-4 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 110 points per game while allowing 118. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
  • Over their last three games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

Golden State improved to 47-32 on the season with a dominant 133-95 win over the Suns on Tuesday. The Warriors, who were favored by 10 points, covered the spread with ease.

Golden State took control early, outscoring Phoenix 37-24 in the 1st quarter and 32-19 in the 2nd. They held a commanding 95-61 lead entering the 4th quarter, where they outscored the Suns 38-34. The game’s total points of 228.5 narrowly went over the pre-game line of 227.5.

Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 25 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists in their 133-95 win over the Suns, shooting 52.9% from the field. Brandin Podziemski added 22 points, hitting 4 threes at a 66.7% rate, while Trayce Jackson-Davis contributed 13 points, shooting 80% from the floor.

Golden State connected on 15 threes, shooting 37.5% from deep and 48.4% overall. Curry scored 13 of his points in the 1st quarter, while Podziemski added 8 in the opening period and 9 more in the 2nd.

The Warriors put on a defensive clinic against the Suns, holding them to just 95 points. They were especially strong in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they allowed only 19 and 18 points, respectively. Overall, Golden State limited Phoenix to 39% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Warriors held the Suns to 27% shooting, with just 12 threes made. They also sent Phoenix to the line only 15 times, where the Suns converted 13 free throws. Golden State recorded 14 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

  • Through their last ten home games, Golden State has an ATS record of just 6-3-1. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 120 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.
  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Not only do we have the Warriors winning this one by a score of 120-86, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Warriors at -15.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 232 and given that our model is projecting 206 points between the teams, we like the under

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Golden State Hopes for Smooth Finish After Grueling Stretch

After a rough stretch of nine games in 18 days, the Golden State Warriors are finally catching a breather—and just in time.

Fresh off a 133-95 demolition of the Phoenix Suns, the Warriors now return to San Francisco to host the struggling San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night. The win over Phoenix moved Golden State (47-32) into a four-way tie for fourth in the Western Conference, with postseason seedings likely coming down to tiebreakers.

Second Night, Lighter Workload

Golden State is on the second night of a back-to-back, but the Suns matchup turned into a blessing in disguise. The game was such a blowout that head coach Steve Kerr used it to rest his stars and give meaningful minutes to the bench.

“Great night for us… keep everybody under 25 minutes,” Kerr said.
“And then get a lot of minutes for guys off the bench. It’s always important to keep the spirits up.”

Now, the Warriors have two favorable matchups ahead—first the Spurs, then the Portland Trail Blazers—before ending the regular season against the LA Clippers.

Golden State has now won six of their last seven games, gaining crucial ground in the tight playoff race.

Another Loss, Another Learning Moment

The Spurs (32-47) are winding down what has been a rough season. Tuesday night’s 122-117 loss to the Clippers marked their eighth loss in nine games, keeping them on track for the eighth-best odds in the NBA Draft Lottery.

Despite the losses, there have been bright spots. Stephon Castle and Harrison Barnes both had solid nights, scoring 19 and 24 points respectively, playing 30+ minutes in the loss.

A basketball player in a black Spurs jersey dribbles the ball during a game, with spectators in the blurred background.

Revisiting Warriors-Spurs Matchups

These two teams split their earlier matchups this season:

  • Nov. 23: Spurs stormed back with a 33-13 fourth quarter to win 104-94, powered by Victor Wembanyama, who has since been shut down due to blood clots.
  • March 30: Golden State got their revenge with a blistering 44-point first quarter, ultimately winning 148-106.

The absence of Wemby has clearly changed the dynamic for the Spurs, who are now leaning on young talent and veterans alike.

Chris Paul Returns to the Bay

Veteran guard Chris Paul, who spent last season with the Warriors, is back in San Francisco—now wearing a Spurs jersey. The 39-year-old has played in all 81 games so far and seems determined to make it a full 82.

“At the end of every season, I evaluate everything,” Paul said.
“But the more years that go by, it’s more conversations with my family, with my kids.”

Paul is averaging 8.8 points and 7.5 assists this season and continues to be a steady presence, even in limited minutes.

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