Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Predictions May 1st 2025

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Wild vs Golden Knights Game Preview: Grit Meets Grit in High-Stakes Clash

The Minnesota Wild aren’t ready to go home, and they’re certainly not backing down. Trailing 3-2 in their Western Conference first-round series, the Wild will look to stave off elimination Thursday night when they host the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 6 at Xcel Energy Center. After two consecutive gut-wrenching overtime losses, Minnesota enters with its season on the line—and a sense of belief that’s hard to shake.

“We’ve been through worse,” said Wild veteran Marcus Foligno. “It’s just the (stuff) that we’ve had to deal with all year… we’re made for it.”

This isn’t just playoff hockey. It’s a war of attrition.

Track series odds and live updates on the NHL odds page.

Vegas Clutch in Crunch Time

The Golden Knights might be up 3-2, but it hasn’t come easy.

Game 4? Overtime. Game 5? Also overtime. But Vegas found a way in both, thanks to timely goals, elite defensive plays, and a roster loaded with playoff-tested veterans.

Head coach Bruce Cassidy knows what kind of mindset his team brings into these moments.

“We know how to win,” Cassidy said. “A lot of these guys were here for the Stanley Cup in 2023. They’ve been through the highs and lows of playoff hockey.”

Tomas Hertl has stepped up as the Knights’ top offensive contributor with three goals and two assists, while Brett Howden has also chipped in with three goals of his own. In true Vegas fashion, contributions are coming from across the roster—not just the stars.

Their goal now? Close it out.

“We win the next one, we move on,” said forward William Karlsson. “We know what’s at stake.”

Explore detailed player breakdowns and game predictions on the NHL expert betting guide.

Minnesota Refusing to Fold

This Wild team isn’t going quietly.

Sure, they’re down in the series. But they’ve outscored the Golden Knights 17-15 overall, and superstar winger Kirill Kaprizov is playing like a man on a mission. Kaprizov leads the Wild—and the series—with nine points (five goals, four assists) in five games.

Matt Boldy has also been massive, netting five goals and two assists, while the defense has held up well despite high-pressure situations.

Head coach John Hynes (or in this case, the quote focus on Foligno and team leadership) is leaning into the team’s battle-tested personality.

“The pesky Wild will persevere,” Foligno emphasized. “We have a really good mindset coming into Game 6. Nothing’s been easy this year.”

It’s not just grit—it’s conviction.

Goaltending: The Quiet X-Factor

In a series full of offensive highlights, the goaltending narrative is flying under the radar.

For Vegas, starter Adin Hill is 3-2 with a 3.00 GAA and .865 save percentage—solid but unspectacular. Backup Akira Schmid has seen brief action and stopped all nine shots he’s faced.

On the other side, Filip Gustavsson is doing his part to keep Minnesota alive, posting a .919 save percentage and 2.63 GAA in four appearances. Veteran Marc-Andre Fleury saw action in Game 3, allowing two goals in a 2.49 GAA performance, but Gustavsson has reclaimed the net.

If Minnesota is going to survive Game 6, Gustavsson’s ability to steal a game might be their best hope.

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What’s at Stake?

This is where legacies start to form—or fray.

For Vegas, the goal is simple: finish it. They’ve been in this spot before, and if they want to repeat their 2023 championship run, it starts with putting away an underdog that refuses to go away.

For Minnesota, this is about resilience and identity. If they force Game 7, the Wild get to rewrite their playoff story. Lose, and it’s another year of “what ifs.”

Statistically, teams that win Game 5 in a tied 2-2 series go on to win the series about 79% of the time. But Minnesota doesn’t care about numbers—they care about fight.

Stay updated on game predictions and team momentum via the NHL team pages.

A hockey goalie in a golden jersey makes a save against the backdrop of a rink

Stat Comparison: Wild vs Golden Knights

CategoryWildGolden Knights
Series ScoreTrail 3-2Lead 3-2
Top ScorerKaprizov (9 pts)Hertl (5 pts)
Goalie (Gustavsson)2.63 GAA, .919 SV%Hill: 3.00 GAA, .865 SV%
Power Play Goals43
Goals Scored (Series)1715

Key Players to Watch

Kirill Kaprizov (Wild) – Five goals, four assists, relentless energy. When the Wild need a spark, it starts with 97.

Tomas Hertl (Knights) – The series leader for Vegas in points and goals, Hertl continues to deliver in big moments.

Filip Gustavsson (Wild) – If he’s locked in early, Vegas could be in for a long night.

William Karlsson (Knights) – Not just a scorer—his two-way play helps Vegas control tempo late in games.

FAQs

When is Game 6 of Wild vs Golden Knights?
Thursday night in Saint Paul, Minnesota, at Xcel Energy Center.

What’s the current series score?
Vegas leads 3-2 in the best-of-seven series.

Who are the top performers?
Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 9 points; Tomas Hertl has 5 for Vegas.

What’s at stake for the Wild?
It’s win or go home. A victory forces a Game 7, while a loss ends their season.

How has goaltending impacted the series?
Filip Gustavsson has given Minnesota a fighting chance, while Adin Hill has held steady for Vegas.

Where can I find more predictions and odds?
Check out the NHL Picks Page for expert insight and game-day betting tips.

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