Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Predictions May 3rd 2025

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche May 3rd 2025

Looking to win big? The Avalanche and Stars face off at 8:00 ET on ABC. The Stars are hosting the game at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. The Avalanche are favored by -1.5 in this Central division showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 5.5 goals.

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Colorado vs. Dallas Key Information

• Teams: Avalanche at Stars
• Where: American Airlines Center Dallas
• Date: Saturday, May 3rd
• Betting Odds COL -138 | DAL +117 O/U 5.5

The Avalanche Can Win If…

Following a 5-2 loss to the Predators, the Avalanche now sit at 49-29-4. Colorado took an early lead, but Nashville responded with five unanswered goals. The Avalanche were underdogs on the puck line, and the total of 7 goals surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.

Cale Makar opened the scoring at 17:06 in the second period, but the Predators tied it up just 8:31 later. Nathan MacKinnon added a goal in the third, but Nashville had already pulled ahead with three goals, including two empty-netters.

In their 5-2 loss to Nashville, the Avalanche fired 30 shots on goal but only managed to score twice. Nathan MacKinnon netted his 6th goal of the season, while Cale Makar added his 5th, with Makar’s goal coming on a power play.

MacKinnon also picked up his 14th assist, and Makar earned his 16th. The Avalanche had 23 giveaways in the game.

Colorado’s defense struggled in their previous game, allowing five goals to the Predators, including two late empty-netters. After taking a 1-0 lead, they gave up three straight goals, with two coming on the power play. Justus Annunen made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%.

• Over their last three games, the Avalanche have gone 2-1 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
• Colorado has put together a record of 5-5 in their last ten games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 5-5 and an over-under mark of 4-5-1.

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The Stars Can Win If…

Dallas fell to 50-26-6 after a 4-2 road loss to the Panthers. The Stars were underdogs on the puck line and failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined score of 6 fell just short of that mark.

After trailing 2-0, Dallas tied it up in the second period, but the Panthers responded with two more goals, including an empty-netter. Evgenii Dadonov and Matt Duchene each scored for the Stars.

Dallas was held scoreless in the first period before Evgenii Dadonov netted his second goal of the season on a power play at 8:38 in the second. Matt Duchene followed with his seventh goal at 11:22. Duchene also added his eighth assist on Dadonov’s goal.

The Stars took 25 shots on goal and recorded 32 giveaways. Miro Heiskanen picked up his fourth assist of the season, while Thomas Harley added his fifth.

Dallas’s defense gave up the first goal at 5:15 in the 1st period, then another at 8:47 in the 2nd, and two more in the 3rd. The final goal was an empty-netter with 1:00 left. Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage. The Stars’ defense also recorded 5 takeaways and 26 hits.

• Dallas has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Against the spread, Dallas went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.
• The Stars have gone 3-7 over their last ten regular season games. Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 3-7 to go along with an over-under mark of 5-5.

The Lean

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Stars to secure a victory over the Avalanche at home. With the moneyline currently set at +117, I’m locking in my bet on the Stars straight-up.

Our projections have the Stars pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Stars, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

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Avalanche, Stars Prepare for Climactic Game 7 in Dallas

One of the most tightly contested matchups of the Stanley Cup Playoffs reaches its conclusion Saturday night, as the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars face off in a decisive Game 7. With momentum shifting repeatedly throughout the series, this finale feels inevitable — and both teams are bracing for a war on the ice.

Colorado Forces Game 7 After Wild Game 6

The Avalanche capitalized on a bizarre own-goal by Dallas to take Game 6, 7-4, and tie the series at three games apiece. That moment — a fluky miscue midway through the third period — proved to be the turning point in an already volatile series.

“I thought we competed to win tonight,” Avalanche coach Jared Bednar said. “Very similar to Game 4 in our building. Both were must-wins for me, and our team responded. Hopefully, we do it one more time.”

Game 6 also marked the breakout performance of Cale Makar, who had been relatively quiet with just two assists in the first five games. The Norris Trophy winner erupted with a goal and two assists on Thursday, while Nathan MacKinnon praised his teammate’s consistency and dynamism.

“He’s going to get real hot here,” MacKinnon said. “It’s nice that he scored there at the end. I know it’s an empty-netter, but they feel good.”

Stars Focused, Familiar With Game 7 Pressure

Despite losing a chance to close out the series in Denver, the Stars remain confident as they return home. This marks the second consecutive season in which Dallas is trying to eliminate the Avalanche — they succeeded in doing so in six games last spring.

Mikko Rantanen’s offensive resurgence has been a key development for the Stars. After recording just one assist through four games, he now leads Dallas with eight points, thanks to a monster Game 6 featuring one goal and three assists.

“It’s two really good teams. It’s good for the hockey world to see this series,” Rantanen said. “We’ve got to be reset now and get ready for Saturday.”

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The Stars have a mixed record in Game 7s, going 4-5 since relocating to Dallas, but they’ve won their last two and three of their last four — including a memorable Game 7 win over Colorado in the 2020 playoffs.

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“I’m just going to try to have fun and have no regrets,” said Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger. “That’s all you can do and try to soak the moment in and have fun.”

With the intensity of a win-or-go-home scenario, now’s the time to get sharp on your picks. Use expert-driven NHL Predictions and Picks to gain an edge for Saturday’s dramatic showdown!