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The Jets and Stars are set to face off at 4:30 ET on TBS. The Stars will host the game at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 5.5 goals and the Stars are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Jets.
Winnipeg vs. Dallas Key Information
- Teams: Jets at Stars
- Where: American Airlines Center Dallas
- Date: Sunday, May 11th
- Betting Odds DAL -145 | WPG +123 O/U 5.5
The Jets Can Win If…
With a 7-4 win over the Lightning, the Jets moved to 56-22-4 this season. Winnipeg covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.
After falling behind 2-0 in the first period, the Jets rallied with seven different players finding the net. Winnipeg took the lead for good at 12:22 in the third period when Dylan Samberg scored to make it 5-4.
Winnipeg’s offense fired 34 shots on goal in their 7-4 win over Tampa Bay, with each of their seven goals coming from different players. After falling behind 2-0, the Jets got on the board when Vladislav Namestnikov scored his third goal of the season. Logan Stanley followed with his first goal of the year in the second period, and Mark Scheifele added his eighth.
Alex Iafallo notched his first goal of the season on a power play, while Dylan Samberg scored his third. Nikolaj Ehlers, with his ninth goal, and Cole Perfetti, who scored his fourth, both found the net on empty-netters. Winnipeg recorded 10 assists in the game, with Josh Morrissey picking up his 13th assist on Perfetti’s empty-net goal.
Defensively, the Jets will look to improve after allowing the first two goals of the game and another late in the 3rd period to make it 4-4. Connor Hellebuyck finished with 26 saves and a save percentage of 86.7%. The Jets’ defense also recorded 5 takeaways and 31 hits.
- Spanning across their last three games, Winnipeg have gone 2-1. But, they did not perform well vs the puck line in these games, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these matchups was 1-2.
- The Jets have gone 6-4 over their last ten regular season games. Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 3-7 to go along with an over-under mark of 6-4.
The Stars Can Win If…
Dallas fell to 50-26-6 after a 4-2 road loss to the Panthers. The Stars, underdogs on the puck line, failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 6 fell short.
After trailing 2-0, the Stars tied it up in the second period. However, the Panthers pulled ahead with two more goals, including an empty-netter. Evgenii Dadonov and Matt Duchene scored for Dallas in the loss.
Dallas took 25 shots on goal in their 4-2 loss to Florida but only managed to score twice. Evgenii Dadonov netted his second goal of the season, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s power-play goal.
The Stars were held scoreless in the first period before scoring twice in the second. Miro Heiskanen notched his fourth assist of the season, and Thomas Harley recorded his fifth. Dallas finished the game with 32 giveaways.
Defensively, the Stars gave up the first goal at 5:15 in the first period and another at 8:47 in the second. After tying the game at 2-2, they allowed two more, including an empty-netter, leading to a 4-2 loss. Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage, while the defense added 5 takeaways and 26 hits.
- Spanning across their last three games, Dallas have gone 2-1. This also includes going 2-1 puck line and an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Across Dallas’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 5-5 and an over-under mark of 4-6.
The Lean
For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Stars to pick up on a win over the Jets at home. With the moneyline sitting at -145, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Stars straight-up.
For my recommended choice in the puck line, I’m leaning towards the Jets to cover. Even if the Stars secure a straight-up win, this game is expected to be tightly contested, and the Jets should cover the puck line.
If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.
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Stars vs Jets: Dallas Looks to Heat Up at Home in Game 3
The Stanley Cup Playoffs are heating up, and the Dallas Stars are heading back to Texas with a golden opportunity on the line.
After splitting the first two games in Winnipeg, the Stars now enjoy home-ice advantage in their Western Conference semifinal matchup with the Jets. With Game 3 set for Sunday afternoon, Dallas has a chance to grab the series lead — and the emotional edge — in front of their home crowd.
The best-of-seven series sits tied 1-1 after the Stars took Game 1 in a tight 3-2 battle, and the Jets responded with a commanding 4-0 shutout in Game 2.
But with three of the next four games at American Airlines Center, the Stars know the real test — and opportunity — begins now.
Why Game 3 Matters More Than Most
Game 3s in tied playoff series are often turning points. Win, and you tilt the scales in your favor. Lose, and you’re suddenly chasing.
Dallas went 3-1 at home during their seven-game thriller against the Colorado Avalanche in Round 1. Now, they’re hoping that same Texas energy can help them bounce back from Friday’s shutout.
“We’re too good of a team to get shut out,” said veteran forward Matt Duchene. “You just have to move forward quickly. That’s what the best teams do.”
For fans, Game 3 offers a chance to see the Stars put their resilience to the test — something they’ve done well all season.
Get all your playoff picks and predictions at the NHL Pick Page.
Jets Hope to Flip the Script on the Road
Winnipeg answered the bell in Game 2 with a near-perfect performance. Forward Nikolaj Ehlers had a breakout night, netting two goals and adding an assist, while goaltender Connor Hellebuyck bounced back in a major way, stopping all 21 shots he faced.
Still, there’s a looming challenge ahead: road games.
The Jets dropped all three of their away games in the first round against St. Louis. Hellebuyck, despite being a Vezina-caliber goaltender, was pulled in each of those losses. That makes Sunday’s matchup a mental test as much as a physical one.
“We’ve got to wipe it and go play a hard road game,” said Hellebuyck. “It’s never easy on the road, especially at playoff time.”
He may have turned a corner, though. His calm, confident demeanor after the Game 2 shutout suggests he’s ready to lead the Jets in enemy territory.
Stay sharp on all Stanley Cup lines at the NHL Odds Page.
Key Matchups and Storylines to Watch
- Hellebuyck vs. Dallas Offense – Can Hellebuyck silence the Stars again, especially after previous road struggles?
- Wyatt Johnston’s Engine – Johnston continues to be a spark plug for Dallas. Look for him to create momentum early.
- Transition Game Battle – Both teams thrive in transition. The one that manages puck possession better may control the game.
- Home-Ice Intangibles – American Airlines Center gets loud. Can the Stars feed off it and shake off Game 2’s disappointment?
Coaches Speak: What the Benches Are Saying
“We have a pretty good idea of what we need to do each night to win,” Stars forward Wyatt Johnston said. “It’s just a matter of putting our best game out there for Game 3.”
On the flip side, Jets coach Scott Arniel knows his team has to tighten up, especially with Dallas ready to pounce in transition.
“For 51 minutes of that hockey game, we were really good,” Arniel said about Game 2. “But Dallas… you just saw why they’re No. 2 in the league on the counter.”
Can Dallas Regain the Edge?
The Stars have shown they can bounce back. They’ve got home ice, the depth, and the experience. But the Jets just reminded everyone that they, too, are a force — especially if Hellebuyck is locked in.
Game 3 could be a tone-setter for the rest of the series. And in playoff hockey, it’s the team that adapts faster that usually advances.
Get expert wagering tips from the NHL Expert Betting Guide, and explore division-specific projections:
FAQs
What is the series score between the Stars and Jets?
The series is tied 1-1 heading into Game 3.
Where is Game 3 being played?
Game 3 will be held at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.
Who won Game 2 of the series?
The Winnipeg Jets won 4-0 in Game 2.
How has Connor Hellebuyck performed on the road?
He struggled in the first round, getting pulled in all three road games. Game 3 is a chance at redemption.
What’s Dallas’ home record this postseason?
The Stars went 3-1 at home in their opening-round win over Colorado.
Why is Game 3 important in a tied series?
It often acts as a momentum swing and can dictate the pace and tone for the remainder of the series.
