Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions May 11th 2025

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Severino Faces Former Team as Athletics Host Yankees in Series Decider

Luis Severino will have more than just a game to focus on when he toes the rubber on Sunday. The former New York Yankee is set to start for the Oakland Athletics in the finale of a thrilling three-game series — and this one means something extra.

For the 31-year-old right-hander, it’s his first time pitching against the team he spent the majority of his MLB career with. After eight seasons in pinstripes and a brief stop with the Mets, Severino is now looking to re-establish himself with the Athletics — and what better way to do it than against his former squad?

“I’m pretty excited about facing the Yankees,” Severino said. “I’m trying to figure out what to throw Judge. … I’m going to bring everything I have out there.”

Severino vs Judge: A Must-Watch Matchup

Aaron Judge is in video-game mode right now. The two-time AL MVP smashed two home runs on Saturday, pushing his league-leading total to 14. He also leads the majors in batting average (.396), OBP (.486), slugging (.772), hits (59), and RBIs (37). Simply put — he’s the most dangerous hitter in baseball right now.

And Severino knows that challenge firsthand.

Judge, who grew up just south of Sacramento in Linden and played college ball at Fresno State, is putting on a show in front of local fans. His return home has been emotional, memorable, and powerful.

“It just felt like being home,” Judge said. “Any time we play the A’s, that’s always something that’s familiar to me and close to home. It was special.”

Athletics Bounce Back in Saturday Slugfest

After being blown out 10-2 in Friday’s series opener, Oakland answered back in a big way on Saturday with an 11-7 victory. Shea Langeliers was the hero, going 4-for-5 with a three-run homer and a two-run double. Brent Rooker added a three-run blast, and Luis Urías chipped in with a solo shot.

“They showed what they were made of,” said manager Mark Kotsay. “That’s just a great team win today.”

Rooker, in particular, has turned his season around — now batting .301 over his last 24 games after a sluggish start.

Explore more MLB team dynamics and trends on the MLB Team Page.

Severino’s Home/Road Splits Could Be Key

Severino enters with a 1-3 record and a 3.62 ERA, but the deeper dive tells an interesting story. On the road this season, he’s been lights-out: a 1-0 record and a minuscule 0.95 ERA in three starts.

However, his numbers at home in West Sacramento haven’t been as sharp — 0-3 with a 5.28 ERA across five outings.

Still, this game offers a unique blend of motivation and redemption. Expect Severino to dig deep for a little extra.

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Yankees Turning to Yarbrough?

While the Yankees haven’t officially named a starter, signs point to lefty Ryan Yarbrough (0-0, 3.72 ERA) getting the nod.

The 33-year-old has been solid in relief and spot starts this season. In his last appearance, he allowed just one run over four innings against his former team, the Rays. Despite the 3-2 loss, Yarbrough showed sharp command and calm under pressure.

He’s also had some success against Oakland in the past, boasting a 2-0 record with a 4.56 ERA.

Get daily odds updates and insights at the MLB Odds Page.

Sunday’s Stakes: More Than Just a Game

Beyond the emotional weight of Severino vs. Yankees, Sunday’s rubber match carries momentum implications for both clubs.

The A’s are trying to avoid another slide after dropping three straight before Saturday’s win. The Yankees, with Judge swinging a nuclear bat, are eyeing their 27th win of the season and a series win on the road.

And if you’re following the betting lines, Sunday’s matchup is one of the more intriguing early-week games on the board.

Check out expert projections in the MLB Expert Betting Guide.

A Toronto Blue Jays pitcher prepares to throw a pitch during a game, showcasing concentration and athleticism on the baseball field.

Final Thoughts: Revenge or Routine?

There’s a reason baseball is romantic. The matchups tell stories, the players carry history, and every game brings the chance for redemption.

Luis Severino facing the Yankees is a classic narrative: a former ace trying to rediscover his dominance against the team that helped mold him. For the Athletics, it’s a chance to build some consistency. For the Yankees, it’s about keeping Judge hot and their momentum rolling.

Whether you’re watching for the drama, the analytics, or the betting edge — this one’s worth your attention.

FAQs

When is the Athletics vs Yankees Game 3?
Sunday afternoon in West Sacramento, Calif.

Who is pitching for the Athletics?
Luis Severino (1-3, 3.62 ERA) is making the start against his former team.

Who will pitch for the Yankees?
Likely Ryan Yarbrough (0-0, 3.72 ERA), per manager Aaron Boone.

What did Shea Langeliers do in Game 2?
He went 4-for-5 with five RBIs, including a three-run homer.

How is Aaron Judge performing?
Judge leads the majors in HRs (14), average (.396), OBP, slugging, hits, and RBIs.

How has Severino performed at home vs. on the road?
He’s been great on the road (0.95 ERA) but struggled at home (5.28 ERA).

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Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

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