PGA Golf Picks This Week: 2025 Ryder Cup

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The Ryder Cup is back, and the 2025 edition at Bethpage Black promises to be one of the most electric in history. Few events in sports combine national pride, match-play intensity, and golf’s biggest stars quite like this biennial showdown. The United States enters as the betting favorite on home soil, while Europe looks to ride momentum and team chemistry into another upset.

If you’re looking to build a full card, start with our Golf Picks hub and the complete betting on Golf guide for market breakdowns and strategy.

From point-scorer props to session wagers, Ryder Cup betting is loaded with angles worth attacking. Below, I’ll highlight the best PGA golf picks this week, breaking down where the value lies in key markets before locking in a winner at the end.

PGA Golf Picks This Week

Check out our favorite PGA golf picks for this week, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Golf PropFavorites My Prediction
To Lift The TrophyUSA -150, Europe +115USA -150
Draw No Bet (Outright Winner DNB)USA -170, Europe +150USA -170
Top Overall Point ScorerScheffler +300, McIlroy +600Scottie Scheffler +300
Top Team USA Point ScorerScheffler +200, DeChambeau +475Scottie Scheffler +200
Top Team Europe Point ScorerMcIlroy +300, Rahm +400Rory McIlroy +300
Day 1 Foursomes WinnerUSA +145, Europe +160, Tie +255USA +145

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Golf Expert Picks For This Week

Let’s break down our top PGA Tour picks for this week:

Outright Winner (Draw No Bet)

  • USA (-170)
  • Europe (+150)

The Draw No Bet market is the insurance angle on the main outright. It removes the tie from the equation, which has only happened twice in Ryder Cup history, but it does give bettors peace of mind if the event somehow lands on 14–14. For U.S. backers, it’s essentially the same thesis as the “To Lift the Trophy” market, but with one less out to worry about.

The slight bump from -150 to -170 isn’t huge, and for some bettors that tax is upside. Bettors aren’t paying a premium for his recent form, which makes this a sharp placement bet.

Bet: USA (-170)

Top Overall Point Scorer

  • Scottie Scheffler (+300)
  • Rory McIlroy (+600)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+850)
  • Jon Rahm (+900)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+950)
  • Russell Henley (+1800)

Scheffler is the most logical candidate for top overall scorer because of sheer usage. He’s the only player on either roster who feels like a lock to play all five sessions. Captain Keegan Bradley will lean heavily on him, whether it’s anchoring foursomes early or drawing the toughest singles matchup on Sunday. Volume is king in this market, and Scheffler projects for maximum exposure.

On form, there’s no one close. He’s been the best tee-to-green player in the world for two years, and Bethpage is a ball-striker’s test that amplifies his biggest edge. The +300 number reflects that dominance, but given how often the top player racks up four or more points, it still carries value. Unless Europe rides Rory in every session and he goes nuclear, Scheffler is the chalk for a reason.

Bet: Scottie Scheffler (+300)

Top Team USA Point Scorer

  • Scottie Scheffler (+200)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+475)
  • Russell Henley (+800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+900)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+900)
  • Cameron Young (+1200)

Within the U.S. market, Scheffler’s +200 tag still looks playable because of how often the team leader ends up as top scorer. His likely foursomes partner is Russell Henley, who brings steady fairway-finding skills that let Scheffler fire away on approach shots. That combo looks built for success in multiple rounds.

The risk here is if Keegan Bradley spreads minutes across rookies like Ben Griffin, Cameron Young, or J.J. Spaun and Scheffler only plays four matches. Even then, his scoring floor is higher than most teammates. If you’re comfortable eating short numbers, it’s better to bet into his ceiling than fade it.

Bet: Scottie Scheffler (+200)

Top Team Europe Point Scorer

  • Rory McIlroy (+300)
  • Jon Rahm (+400)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+450)
  • Ludvig Aberg (+850)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+1000)
  • Viktor Hovland (+1200)

Rory has played in every Ryder Cup since 2010 and knows exactly how to carry the load. At +300, oddsmakers are pricing in the probability he plays all five sessions, which is almost a given if the competition stays tight through Saturday. He’s Europe’s engine in foursomes, pairs well with multiple teammates, and is still their singles ace on Sunday.

The biggest edge Rory has is experience in these pressure cookers. Many of Europe’s rookies will be asked to punch above their weight at Bethpage, while Rory has thrived in hostile environments before. Even if Jon Rahm or Viktor Hovland flash, McIlroy’s consistent usage keeps him as the cleanest way to attack this market.

Bet: Rory McIlroy (+300)

Day 1 Foursomes Winner

  • USA (+145)
  • Europe (+160)
  • Tie (+255)

Opening foursomes often set the tone for the entire Ryder Cup, and the Americans should have an edge on Friday morning. Bethpage rewards elite ball-striking and accuracy off the tee — strengths of players like Scheffler, Henley, and Cantlay. With Bradley likely frontloading his lineup to grab momentum, the U.S. has the firepower to control the board early.

Europe has historically been strong in foursomes, but those wins often came on home soil where course setups neutralized American distance. That won’t be the case here. Getting plus money on the U.S. in the opening session feels like a strong way to back the home-course narrative without needing the full weekend result.

Bet: USA (+145)

Ryder Cup Winner Pick

The United States have the deepest roster from top to bottom, and that’s the most important factor in match play. Every player on the American side has either won on Tour this season or finished high in a major, which means Keegan Bradley won’t be forced to hide anyone in pairings. That depth creates lineup flexibility: the U.S. can roll out balanced duos in foursomes and unleash pure firepower in fourballs, without worrying about weak links.

Home-course advantage is another decisive edge. Bethpage Black has always favored length and elite ball-striking, two areas where the U.S. roster is stronger than Europe’s. The New York crowd will add fuel, and history shows how much that matters — the home side has won the last four Ryder Cups by comfortable margins. On paper, Europe is more cohesive, but the raw power of the U.S. is tailor-made for this setup.

Leadership also plays a role, and Bradley’s aggressive personality fits the moment. He’s not afraid to lean on rookies like Ben Griffin or J.J. Spaun, who arrive without scar tissue from past failures. Pairing them alongside established names like Scheffler or Cantlay gives the U.S. fresh energy and stability in the same lineup. Meanwhile, players like Justin Thomas and Bryson DeChambeau bring Ryder Cup experience and confidence in clutch moments, which balances out the inexperience.

Finally, the statistical edge points one way: Scheffler is the No. 1 player in the world, and the U.S. also has six of the top 12 in the OWGR. Europe leans heavily on Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, but the drop-off behind them is sharper compared to the Americans. If the U.S. secures an early lead — something oddsmakers are already hinting at — Europe will be forced to overplay its stars, while Bradley can rotate depth. Over three days at Bethpage, that balance should push the United States to lift the Cup.

Bet: USA (-150)