Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners June 29th 2025
The Seattle Mariners head to Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers. The game is set for Sunday, June 29, 2025, at 2:35 PM. Fans can catch the action on RSNW.
Seattle enters with a record of 42-40, while Texas stands at 41-42. Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners, carrying an ERA of 3.69. Jack Leiter will pitch for the Rangers, with an ERA of 4.55. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with clear skies and a light breeze.
Mariners vs Rangers Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
- Venue: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX
- Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mariners MoneyLine -124, Rangers MoneyLine +106
The Mariners Can Win If…
The Seattle Mariners recently played against the Texas Rangers and lost 2-3. Bryan Woo pitched six innings, allowing no earned runs and striking out nine batters. Dominic Canzone hit a home run, showing his ability to make an impact at the plate.
The Mariners have several stats in their favor. They rank 7th in home runs with 106 and 4th in stolen bases with 79. These stats indicate a team capable of both power hitting and speed on the bases, giving them multiple ways to score.
Key players like Cal Raleigh and J.P. Crawford are crucial for the Mariners. Raleigh leads the league with 32 home runs and has a .276 batting average. Crawford adds consistency with a .279 average and strong on-base skills, making them a threat in any game.
The Rangers Can Win If…
The Texas Rangers are coming off a 3-2 win against the Seattle Mariners. Kumar Rocker pitched six solid innings, allowing only two runs and striking out six. Corey Seager hit a crucial home run, contributing two RBIs in the victory.
The Rangers have a strong pitching staff, ranking first in the league with a 3.27 ERA. Their pitchers have limited opponents to a .225 batting average, which is third best. This strong pitching gives them a solid chance to control the game.
Key players like Josh Smith and Corey Seager are performing well. Smith has a .278 batting average, and Seager has hit nine home runs this season. With these players in the lineup, the Rangers have a good chance to score runs and win the game.
The Lean
The Mariners are favored with a MoneyLine of -124 against the Rangers at +106. The Mariners have a stronger pitching staff with a 3.27 ERA, ranking 1st, while the Rangers’ ERA is 3.96, ranking 16th. My model projects the Mariners to win with a score of 5-3, making them the recommended pick for the MoneyLine.
The over/under line is set at 8.0 runs. The Mariners have a solid on-base percentage of .322, ranking 6th, which could lead to more scoring opportunities. With my model projecting a total score of 8 runs, the recommendation is to take the under, as the combined score is expected to match the line but not exceed it.
A Duel of Struggling Starters to Decide Mariners-Rangers Series
After two thrilling, extra-inning, one-run games, the series between the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers all comes down to a rubber match on Sunday afternoon in Arlington. The finale will feature a fascinating duel between two talented starting pitchers who are both in the midst of long personal winless streaks and are desperate to get back on track.
Castillo’s Quest for a ‘W’
The Mariners will send their ace, Luis Castillo (4-5, 3.69 ERA), to the mound. While Castillo is widely regarded as one of the best pitchers in the league, he is looking to snap a six-start winless drought. He has pitched well at times during that stretch but has been the victim of poor run support or one bad inning. He’ll look to put it all together for a much-needed victory on Sunday.
Leiter’s Command Problem
The Rangers will counter with their own struggling right-hander, former top prospect Jack Leiter (4-5, 4.55 ERA). Leiter has lost his last three starts, with his ERA climbing in the process. According to his manager, Bruce Bochy, the issue isn’t his talent.
“(He’s) got great stuff,” Bochy said. “Velocity, slider, curveball, changeup. He’s just got to get it over the plate… That’s what I think he’ll look back at and realize ‘Hey, I’ve got the stuff to attack with two strikes, too.'” How a young pitcher learns to trust his stuff is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

The Canzone Effect
One of the hottest hitters in the series has been Mariners outfielder Dominic Canzone. Since being recalled from Triple-A, Canzone has been a force in the Seattle lineup, crediting a small mechanical tweak he made in the minors.
“Just the way that I move, it just didn’t make much sense for me to be as upright as I was,” Canzone said. “The more I can get into the ground, the better.” His home run on Saturday was a key part of the Mariners’ offense.
The Rubber Match
This game presents a perfect storm of narratives. Two evenly matched MLB teams, two extra-inning games, and two starting pitchers desperate for a win. The pitching matchup will be the top story on the scores and odds board. To see who our experts think will win this exciting finale, check out our daily MLB picks.