Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions July 3rd 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees July 3rd 2025

The New York Yankees head to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Both teams hold a 48-38 record this season, making this AL East matchup a key game for both squads. The game is set for Thursday, July 3, 2025, at 7:07 PM, and will be broadcast on the YES network.

Clarke Schmidt will start for the Yankees, bringing a 3.09 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. On the mound for the Blue Jays is Chris Bassitt, who has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. The retractable roof at Rogers Centre may come into play, with a warm night and few clouds expected.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
• Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
• Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -126, Blue Jays Moneyline +107, Yankees Runline -1.5 (+130), Blue Jays Runline +1.5 (-154), Total Over 8.5 (-117), Total Under 8.5 (-102)

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees recently lost to the Toronto Blue Jays, 11-9. Despite the loss, the Yankees showed strong hitting with 15 hits and 6 extra-base hits. Aaron Judge led the way with a home run and 3 RBIs, while Giancarlo Stanton also contributed a home run and 3 RBIs.

The Yankees have a solid chance to win with their powerful lineup. They rank 1st in on-base percentage (.336) and 2nd in home runs (130) for the season. Their strong batting lineup includes Aaron Judge, who has a .363 average and 31 home runs, and Cody Bellinger with a .267 average and 12 home runs.

Clarke Schmidt will start for the Yankees, bringing a 3.09 ERA and a WHIP of 1.06. The Yankees’ pitching staff ranks 1st in batting average against (.220), showing their ability to limit opponents’ hits. With their combination of strong hitting and solid pitching, the Yankees have the tools needed to secure a win.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a strong 11-9 win against the New York Yankees. Davis Schneider and Addison Barger were key players, with Schneider hitting two home runs and Barger adding one. George Springer also contributed with two hits and two runs.

The Blue Jays have been performing well offensively, ranking 3rd in both batting average (.258) and on-base percentage (.327) this season. They also have a solid lineup with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette leading in home runs and RBIs. The team’s ability to get on base and drive in runs makes them a tough opponent.

Chris Bassitt will be starting for the Blue Jays, bringing a 7-4 record into the game. Despite a 4.29 ERA, Bassitt has shown resilience and can keep the game in control. With a strong lineup and solid pitching, the Blue Jays have a good chance to continue their winning streak.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored on the moneyline at -126, and they have a strong on-base percentage, ranked 1st in the league. The Blue Jays have a higher earned run average, ranked 22nd, which gives the Yankees an edge. My model projects a Yankees win with a score of 5-4. I recommend taking the Yankees to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have a solid slugging percentage, ranked 3rd, while the Blue Jays have given up 115 home runs, ranked 17th. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. I recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs.

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Blue Jays Aim for Sweep as Chris Bassitt Gets the Nod Against Yankees

The stakes are high Thursday night as the Toronto Blue Jays turn to veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt to complete a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees in a crucial American League East clash. Both teams enter with identical 48-38 records, but the Blue Jays hold the tiebreaker by leading the season series 4-2.

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Wednesday’s 11-9 victory showcased Toronto’s resilience after nearly blowing an eight-run lead. The Yankees tied the game on Aaron Judge’s eighth-inning homer, but the Blue Jays bounced back with a wild pitch from Devin Williams that scored the go-ahead run, followed by Addison Barger’s RBI single.

“He never really got into a rhythm,” Blue Jays manager John Schneider said of Bassitt’s previous start. “It was just an off day for him. Kind of a weird day.”

Barger had already made an impact earlier, launching a three-run homer in the explosive seven-run first inning. Davis Schneider added two home runs and three RBIs, helping offset a taxed bullpen that’s been under heavy strain recently.

Toronto is banking on Bassitt (7-4, 4.29 ERA) to deliver length after allowing nine runs (eight earned) in just two-plus innings during a rough outing against the Red Sox. Despite the hiccup, Bassitt owns a stellar 1.63 ERA in six career starts versus the Yankees.

“I gave up eight hits, and I probably wouldn’t change any location on one of them. So I’m not really sure,” Bassitt said in reflection.

The Yankees counter with Clarke Schmidt (4-4, 3.09 ERA), who has yet to beat the Blue Jays in four career starts. He did limit them to one run over five innings in their April meeting, which ended in a no-decision.

New York is in freefall, dropping 13 of its last 19. Manager Aaron Boone made moves to stabilize the bullpen, recalling Clayton Beeter while designating Geoff Hartlieb. The bullpen has been overused, and Boone knows changes are necessary.

“Some of those guys have been leaned on heavily,” Yankees manager Aaron Boone said. “It’s on me. I’ve got to do a better job of getting those guys in positions where they can be successful.”

Toronto received a lift with Yimi Garcia’s return from the injured list, though he surrendered Judge’s homer before ultimately earning the win. Garcia replaced Mason Fluharty, who was optioned to Triple-A Buffalo.

The Yankees’ skid makes this finale an ideal moment for Toronto to strike, especially with Bassitt’s track record against them. For bettors looking to capitalize, it’s a great time to dive into MLB Picks and Parlays for sharp insights and strategies.

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