Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Predictions July 4th 2025

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates July 4th 2025

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to play against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The game is scheduled for Friday, July 4, 2025, at 4:10 PM. Fans can watch the afternoon game on RSNW.

The Pirates, managed by Don Kelly, have a season record of 38-50. They face the Mariners, who hold a 45-42 record under manager Dan Wilson. Bailey Falter will start for the Pirates, while Bryan Woo takes the mound for the Mariners.

Pirates vs Mariners Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners
• Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Betting Odds: Pirates Moneyline +165, Mariners Moneyline -201, Pirates Runline +1.5 (-132), Mariners Runline -1.5 (+111), Total Over 7.5 (-105), Total Under 7.5 (-115)

The Pirates Can Win If…

The Pittsburgh Pirates are coming off a strong performance against the St. Louis Cardinals, winning 5-0. Mitch Keller was impressive on the mound, pitching seven scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. Key players like Tommy Pham and Isiah Kiner-Falefa contributed to the win with multiple RBIs.

The Pirates have a solid chance to win their next game due to their recent winning streak. They have won their last five games, showing strong pitching and timely hitting. The Pirates’ pitching staff ranks 7th in ERA and 4th in batting average against, making them a tough opponent.

Bailey Falter will start for the Pirates, bringing a 3.62 ERA and a 6-3 record. The Pirates’ lineup includes hitters like Andrew McCutchen and Oneil Cruz, who can provide the necessary offense. With a balanced mix of pitching and hitting, the Pirates are in a good position to secure another win.

The Mariners Can Win If…

The Seattle Mariners are looking to bounce back after a narrow 3-2 loss to the Kansas City Royals. In that game, the Mariners showed strong hitting with 10 hits, including 2 home runs by Jorge Polanco and Dominic Canzone. Logan Evans also delivered a solid performance on the mound, allowing no runs over 5 2/3 innings.

The Mariners’ lineup is packed with power, ranking 6th in the league with 114 home runs this season. Cal Raleigh leads the team with 33 home runs, while J.P. Crawford has been a consistent force with a .285 batting average. The team’s ability to get on base, with an on-base percentage ranked 6th, gives them a good chance to score runs.

Bryan Woo takes the mound for the Mariners, bringing a strong 2.93 ERA and a WHIP of 0.97. His ability to keep runners off base is key, and he has a 7-4 record this season. With Woo’s pitching and the Mariners’ hitting power, they have a solid chance to secure a win against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Lean

The Mariners are favored with a moneyline of -201 against the Pirates’ +165. The Mariners have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 9th and 6th respectively. With the Pirates’ lower slugging percentage at 25th, the Mariners are the pick to win. The model projects a score of Mariners 5, Pirates 3.

The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have a solid pitching staff with a 3.65 ERA, ranked 7th, while the Pirates have a 3.90 ERA, ranked 15th. Given the Mariners’ strong pitching and the Pirates’ lower-ranked hitting stats, the pick is to go with the under 7.5. The model projects a total of 8 runs.

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Pirates Ride Six-Game Winning Streak Into Showdown With Mariners

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing their best baseball of the season as they roll into Seattle to open a three-game interleague series against the Seattle Mariners on Friday afternoon.

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Pittsburgh is riding a six-game win streak and coming off a dominant sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals in which they didn’t allow a single run. In fact, the Pirates’ pitching staff has strung together 31 consecutive scoreless innings, outscoring opponents 43-4 during the surge.

The turnaround under interim manager Don Kelly has been dramatic. The Pirates were 12-26 when Derek Shelton was dismissed on May 8 but have played above .500 since with a 26-24 record.

“I feel like this is the team we were rolling out with in spring training,” shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa said. “This is the original plan. You can kind of see what we were expecting going into the year.”

The difference has been balance—stellar starting pitching finally supported by timely offense.

“The starting pitching has been the same guys going out there,” Kelly said. “It’s been really nice to be able to score some runs for them. If the starters continue to do what they’ve done, the consistency has been unbelievable.”

However, the Pirates’ road record remains a concern. They’re just 12-29 away from home as they begin a tough nine-game trip that includes stops in Kansas City and Minnesota. Staying healthy and maintaining chemistry will be vital, especially with the pitching staff now hitting its stride.

The Mariners, meanwhile, dropped a frustrating 3-2 decision to the Royals on Thursday to split a four-game series. Seattle went 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position, and Julio Rodriguez struck out four times—including a called third strike with the tying runs on base in the ninth.

Manager Dan Wilson acknowledged the team’s frustration but emphasized the need to bounce back quickly.

“I think we all come away frustrated, but that’s why we come back tomorrow ready to go,” Wilson said.

Seattle will turn to right-hander Bryan Woo (7-4, 2.93 ERA), who has been one of the most consistent starters in the league. He’s pitched at least six innings in all 16 of his starts and has racked up back-to-back outings with nine strikeouts.

Woo has never faced the Pirates, but he’s coming off a strong six-inning, two-unearned-run performance in Texas that ended in a no-decision.

With Cal Raleigh—the AL Player of the Month for June and current MLB home run leader—anchoring the Mariners’ lineup, Pittsburgh’s pitchers will be tested. But if recent form holds, this series could provide great value in MLB betting predictions.

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