Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions July 4th 2025

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Fri, Jul 4, 18:10 pm.
Miami Marlins
ML: -110
0
0
Milwaukee Brewers
ML: -118
Last Updated on

The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. This night game is set for Friday, July 4, 2025, at 7:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on FDSFL.

Milwaukee comes in with a 48-39 record, sitting 4 games back in the NL Central. Miami holds a 39-46 record, 11 games back in the NL East. Brewers’ Quinn Priester, with a 3.35 ERA, will pitch against Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara, who has a 6.97 ERA.

Brewers vs Marlins Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins
  • Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
  • Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
  • Brewers Moneyline: -115
  • Marlins Moneyline: -103
  • Brewers Runline: -1.5 (+145)
  • Marlins Runline: +1.5 (-173)
  • Total Over: 8.0 (-114)
  • Total Under: 8.0 (-106)

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers recently played against the New York Mets and lost 2-3. Jose Quintana pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing 3 runs and striking out 3 batters. Andruw Monasterio hit a home run, contributing to the team’s 6 hits.

The Brewers have strong hitting stats that can help them win. They rank 10th in batting average at .247 and 8th in on-base percentage at .320. Their ability to draw walks ranks 4th in the league, with 305 walks this season.

Quinn Priester will start for the Brewers, and he has been effective this season. He holds a 3.35 ERA and a 6-2 win-loss record. With Miami’s Sandy Alcantara struggling with a 6.97 ERA, the Brewers have a good chance to capitalize on this matchup.

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins come into their next game with confidence after a 4-1 win over the Minnesota Twins. Eury Pérez was impressive on the mound, pitching six innings and allowing just one hit while striking out seven. Agustín Ramírez contributed with a home run and two RBIs, while Xavier Edwards added two hits and scored twice.

Miami’s batting average of .254 ranks them sixth in the league, showing their ability to get on base. They also have a strong presence in doubles, ranking sixth with 143. The Marlins’ lineup includes players like Kyle Stowers, who leads the team with 15 home runs and 45 RBIs, providing power in the middle of the order.

Sandy Alcantara will start on the mound for Miami, looking to improve his record. Despite his high ERA, Alcantara has shown the ability to pitch deep into games. Miami’s recent form, winning four of their last five games, gives them momentum heading into their matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Lean

The Brewers are favored on the moneyline at -115 against the Marlins at -103. The Brewers have a stronger pitching staff with a 3.79 ERA, ranked 13th, compared to the Marlins’ 4.75 ERA, ranked 26th. My model projects the Brewers to win with a score of 5-3, making them a solid pick for this game.

The total for the game is set at 8.0 runs, with the over at -114 and the under at -106. The Brewers’ pitching should limit the Marlins’ offense, while the Brewers’ hitting ranks higher in several categories. My model projects a total of 8 runs, which aligns with the set line, but given the pitching edge, the under 8.0 is a reasonable choice.

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A Clash of Styles: Surging Marlins Host Consistent Brewers in Series Opener

It is a fascinating clash of styles in Miami on Friday night as two of the National League’s hottest teams open a three-game series. The surprising Miami Marlins, who have won nine of their last ten games, will put their hot streak on the line against the visiting Milwaukee Brewers, a model of small-market consistency that is once again in the thick of the playoff race. For the Marlins, it’s a chance to prove their recent success is legitimate. For the Brewers, it’s another opportunity to showcase their winning formula.

The New-Look Marlins

This is not the same Marlins team that lost 100 games last season. Through a series of shrewd trades, waiver claims, and minor league signings, Miami has completely retooled its roster with young, hungry players who are contributing in a big way. Players like catcher Agustin Ramirez, second baseman Xavier Edwards, and outfielders Jesus Sanchez, Kyle Stowers, and Heriberto Hernandez have all been acquired through savvy moves, not big free-agent splashes. The team has also seen a dramatic improvement in their fundamentals, particularly on defense.

Manager Clayton McCullough highlighted the improved play of third baseman Connor Norby as a prime example.

“The diving play he made on Tuesday night — I don’t know if he makes that play in April or May,” McCullough said. “He has worked on his pre-pitch (preparation). The ease in which he is handling his chances is a credit to the work he’s put in.” This commitment to a “cleaner brand of baseball” has been the driving force behind their recent surge.

The Brewer Way: A Model of Consistency

While the Marlins are the new kids on the block, the Brewers are a model of perennial contention. They have made the playoffs in six of the past seven years by establishing a clear identity. They are not a team that relies on out-slugging opponents; they win with pitching, defense, and aggressive, intelligent baserunning. This season is no different. The Brewers enter this series ranked third in the majors with 99 stolen bases, with four different players having already reached double-digits. Their deep and versatile lineup creates constant pressure on opposing defenses.

“Top of the lineup, bottom of the lineup,” said left fielder Isaac Collins. “Everybody is contributing.” The ability of a team to consistently win without a top-tier payroll is a fascinating topic, often explored in our expert betting guide.

The Yelich Renaissance

A huge reason for the Brewers’ success has been the return to form of their superstar, Christian Yelich. The former MVP is putting together a season that harkens back to his best years and is on pace for a rare 30-homer, 30-steal season. With 17 home runs and 12 stolen bases already, the 33-year-old is once again one of the most dynamic players in the game, providing a massive boost to the heart of the Milwaukee lineup. He is joined by rising star Jackson Chourio, who provides his own blend of power and speed.

The Pitching Matchup: A Tale of Two Comebacks

Friday’s pitching matchup features two right-handers on different kinds of comeback journeys. The Marlins will send their former ace, Sandy Alcantara (4-8, 6.98 ERA), to the mound. The 2022 Cy Young winner missed all of last season with elbow surgery and has struggled for most of this year. However, he has shown signs of his old self recently and will look to build on that against a tough Brewers lineup.

The Brewers will counter with Quinn Priester (6-2, 3.35 ERA). A former first-round pick of the Pirates, Priester struggled to find his footing in Pittsburgh. Since joining Milwaukee, he has been a steady and effective part of their rotation. This intriguing duel will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

The Playoff Implications

This series is a major test for two MLB teams with high aspirations. The Brewers are looking to chase down the first-place Cubs, while the Marlins are looking to prove they belong in the conversation. To see who our experts think will win this clash of styles, check out our daily MLB picks.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Miami Marlins
-
-
-110
O 8.5
105
Milwaukee Brewers
-
-
-118
U 8.5
-133
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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