New York Mets vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions July 6th 2025

New York Mets vs New York Yankees MLB Sun, Jul 6, 12:40 pm.
New York Mets
ML: 185
4
5
New York Yankees
ML: -250
Last Updated on

The New York Yankees will head to Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on Sunday, July 6, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:40 PM and will be broadcast on SNY. Fans can expect a warm day with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

The Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, hold a 48-41 record this season. They are currently 3 games back in the AL East. On the other side, the Mets, led by Carlos Mendoza, have a 52-38 record and lead the NL East. Max Fried will start for the Yankees, while Chris Devenski takes the mound for the Mets.

Yankees vs Mets Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
  • Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
  • Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -227, Mets Moneyline +186

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are looking to turn things around after a recent 6-12 loss to the New York Mets. Despite the defeat, their hitters showed power with three home runs. Jazz Chisholm Jr., Anthony Volpe, and Austin Wells each contributed a home run, showcasing their potential to change the game with a single swing.

The Yankees have strong stats that can help them secure a win. They rank first in on-base percentage (.336) and second in slugging percentage (.451) and home runs (138) this season. With Max Fried on the mound, who has an impressive ERA of 2.13 and a 10-2 record, the Yankees have a reliable starter to lead them.

Aaron Judge is a key player to watch, with a batting average of .361 and 32 home runs this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs is crucial for the Yankees. If the lineup can maintain their power hitting and Fried delivers a strong performance, the Yankees have a solid chance to win this game.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a strong 12-6 win against the Yankees. Key players like Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo had standout performances. Alonso hit two home runs and drove in five runs, while Nimmo contributed with a home run and four RBIs.

In the 2025 regular season, the Mets rank 7th in slugging percentage at .419. They have hit 118 home runs, placing them 6th in the league. These stats show the Mets have the power to score runs quickly.

Chris Devenski will start for the Mets with a solid ERA of 3.38. The Mets’ pitching has been effective, ranking 6th in ERA at 3.54. This combination of strong hitting and pitching gives the Mets a good chance to win.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -227, while the Mets are at +186. The Yankees have a strong batting lineup, ranking 2nd in slugging percentage and home runs. Their pitching also holds the top spot in batting average against. My model projects the Yankees to win with a score of 6-4. Based on this, the recommendation is to pick the Yankees to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -105 and the under at -116. The Yankees’ offense is powerful, and the Mets have a solid pitching staff, ranking 6th in ERA. My model predicts a total score of 10 runs. This suggests taking the over for this game.

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Surging Mets Go for Subway Series Sweep of Slumping Yankees

The tables have turned in the battle for New York. The suddenly surging New York Mets are on a four-game winning streak and will look to complete a three-game Subway Series sweep of the slumping New York Yankees on Sunday afternoon at a buzzing Citi Field.

Nimmo’s “Really Cool” Week

The Mets’ turnaround has been sparked by left fielder Brandon Nimmo, who is on an incredible power surge. Nimmo has hit two grand slams in the past four days, including one in the first inning of Saturday’s 12-6 victory.

“It’s really cool when cool things happen like that,” Nimmo said. “I’ve been playing a long time, and I haven’t hit two grand slams in a week, so it’s a really fun feeling, especially in this atmosphere. It feels like playoff baseball.”

A man is dressed in a baseball uniform, likely participating in a game or practice.

A Crisis in the Bronx

While the Mets are riding high, the Yankees are in a free-fall. They have lost six straight games and 16 of their last 22, a slide that has dropped them out of first place in the AL East. Their recent play has been sloppy, with costly defensive errors compounding their offensive struggles.

“We’ve just got to play better,” said superstar Aaron Judge. “That’s what it comes down to. It’s fundamentals, making the routine plays routine.”

The Ultimate Stopper vs. a Spot Starter

The Yankees will turn to their ace to stop the bleeding. Lefty Max Fried (10-2, 2.13 ERA) will take the mound as he looks to become the major league leader in wins. He has a fantastic 2.50 career ERA against the Mets.

The Mets will counter with right-hander Chris Devenski (0-0, 3.38 ERA), a reliever who was just recalled from Triple-A to make a spot start. This massive mismatch on paper will be the top story on the scores and odds board.

Bragging Rights on the Line

A sweep would be a huge statement for a Mets team that is turning its season around. For the Yankees, it’s about salvaging some pride against their crosstown rivals. The dynamic of this rivalry game is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see if our experts think the Mets can complete the sweep, check out our daily MLB picks for all MLB teams.

spread
moneyline
over/under
New York Mets
-
-
185
O 8.5
-137
New York Yankees
-
-
-250
U 8.5
110
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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