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New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs July 12th 2025
The Chicago Cubs will take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, July 12, 2025. This afternoon game is set to start at 1:05 PM and will be broadcast on the YES network. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with clear skies and a calm crosswind.
The Cubs, managed by Craig Counsell, come into the game with a record of 55-39. They have performed well on the road with a 25-23 record. The Yankees, led by Aaron Boone, have a 53-41 record and are just 1 game back in the AL East. Their home record stands strong at 30-17. The starting pitchers are Matthew Boyd for the Cubs and Max Fried for the Yankees.
Cubs vs Yankees Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees
- Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
- Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
- Betting Odds: Cubs Moneyline +140, Yankees Moneyline -165, Cubs Runline +1.5 (-153), Yankees Runline -1.5 (+128), Total Over 8.5 (+100), Total Under 8.5 (-120)
The Cubs Can Win If…
The Chicago Cubs come into this game with a recent win over the Minnesota Twins, 8-1. In that game, Pete Crow-Armstrong was a standout, going 3-for-4 with two home runs. Colin Rea also performed well on the mound, allowing just one run over seven innings.
The Cubs have strong hitting stats this season. They rank 3rd in slugging percentage at .446 and have hit 139 home runs, also 3rd in the league. Their ability to hit for power gives them a chance to score runs quickly.
Matthew Boyd will start for the Cubs, bringing a solid 2.52 ERA into the game. His performance on the mound could be key, especially against a strong Yankees lineup. With Boyd’s pitching and their power hitting, the Cubs have the tools to win this game.
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees are coming off a dominant 11-0 win against the Chicago Cubs. Carlos Rodón pitched 8 scoreless innings, allowing only 4 hits. Cody Bellinger was the standout hitter, smashing 3 home runs and driving in 6 runs.
The Yankees have a strong offense, leading the league with a .338 on-base percentage and 149 home runs. Their slugging percentage is also the highest in the league at .459. These stats show their ability to score runs and hit for power.
Max Fried will start for the Yankees, bringing his 2.27 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Fried’s performance has been consistent, making him a reliable option on the mound. With Aaron Judge’s league-leading 34 home runs, the Yankees have both pitching and hitting strengths to win this game.
The Lean
The Yankees are favored with a moneyline of -165, while the Cubs are at +140. The Yankees have a stronger batting lineup, leading in home runs and slugging percentage. My model projects a score of Yankees 5, Cubs 4. Based on this, I recommend taking the Yankees on the moneyline.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have a solid pitching staff with a low batting average against, but both teams have strong offenses. My model projects a total of 9 runs. Therefore, I recommend taking the over at 8.5 (+100).
Future Odds Shifting?
See Updated MLB Futures
Bellinger’s Revenge Tour Continues as Yankees Host Cubs
Cody Bellinger’s “revenge game” against his former team was a spectacular success. After a three-homer performance in the series opener, Bellinger and the red-hot New York Yankees will look for a season-high sixth straight victory on Saturday afternoon when they continue their series against the visiting Chicago Cubs.
Bellinger’s Big Night
Bellinger, who rejuvenated his career with the Cubs for two seasons before being acquired by the Yankees, put on a show on Friday, hitting three two-run homers in an 11-0 rout. He is now on a career-high 16-game hitting streak, batting .406 during that span.
“Honestly, ultimately it was just fun to be out there,” a smiling Bellinger said. “I saw a bunch of guys I hadn’t seen in a while and I shared a bunch of good memories with them.”
An Ace-Level Duel
Saturday’s game features a premier pitching matchup between two of the best left-handers in baseball. The Yankees will start their ace, Max Fried (11-2, 2.27 ERA). Fried is coming off a solid outing against the Mets and has a dominant 6-0 record with a 1.18 ERA in his career against the Cubs.
The All-Star on the Other Side
The Cubs will counter with their own All-Star, Matthew Boyd (9-3, 2.52). Boyd has been just as dominant as Fried recently, going 4-0 with a 1.54 ERA over his last six starts. However, he has historically struggled against the Yankees, with a 5.17 career ERA against them. This fantastic duel will be the main event on the scores and odds board.
A Potential Playoff Preview
This series is a clash between two first-place MLB teams with championship aspirations. The importance of these head-to-head matchups between contenders is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see which ace our experts think will lead his team to victory, check out our daily MLB picks.
