New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions July 27th 2025

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies July 27th 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, July 27, 2025. The game is set for 1:35 PM, and fans can catch the action on the YES network. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with a light breeze and some light rain.

Philadelphia enters the game with a 60-44 record, leading the NL East. Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies, boasting an ERA of 2.39. The Yankees, with a 56-48 record, are six games back in the AL East. Carlos Rodón will pitch for New York, carrying an ERA of 3.10.

Phillies vs Yankees Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees
• Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
• Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025
• Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline -128, Yankees Moneyline +109, Phillies Runline -1.5 (+130), Yankees Runline +1.5 (-155), Total Over 8.0 (-103), Total Under 8.0 (-120)

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies recently won against the New York Yankees, 9-4. Ranger Suárez pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing only one earned run and striking out eight. Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and Edmundo Sosa each contributed with key hits, including home runs from Harper and Sosa.

The Phillies have a strong team batting average of .256, ranking 3rd in the league. Their on-base percentage is also 3rd at .328. With 361 walks, they rank 4th, showing their patience at the plate.

Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies with an impressive ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 0.88. He has a record of 9-3, making him a reliable pitcher. With Wheeler on the mound and a strong lineup, the Phillies have a solid chance to win this game.

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a 4-9 loss against the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite the defeat, Giancarlo Stanton was a bright spot with a home run and two RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also contributed with two hits, showing the depth in their lineup.

The Yankees have shown strong hitting stats this season. They rank first in on-base percentage and slugging percentage, which can lead to more scoring opportunities. Their 168 home runs also lead the league, making them a power threat in any game.

Carlos Rodón will take the mound for the Yankees. He has a solid ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.05. With Rodón’s ability to control the game, the Yankees have a good chance to win against a tough opponent like Zack Wheeler of the Phillies.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -128 against the Yankees at +109. The Phillies have a strong batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 3rd in both. This gives them an edge over the Yankees, who have a higher slugging percentage but a weaker pitching ERA. My model projects the Phillies to win 5-4, making them the pick for the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.0, with the over at -103 and the under at -120. The Phillies’ pitching ranks 8th in ERA, while the Yankees’ ranks 17th. This suggests a potential for runs to be scored. My model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the over.

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Judge-Less Yankees Face Surging Phillies and Ace Zack Wheeler in Series Finale

The Philadelphia Phillies are one win away from sweeping the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium for the first time since interleague play began in 1997. With Aaron Judge heading to the injured list due to a flexor strain in his right elbow, the Yankees will need someone else to step up against one of the hottest teams in baseball.

Philadelphia has outscored New York 21-9 over the first two games of this series, pounding out 27 hits along the way. Saturday’s 9-4 win featured a Bryce Harper homer, a two-run double from Kyle Schwarber, and two RBIs from Trea Turner.

Want to stay ahead of the game with expert insights? See the top MLB handicappers right now!

Harper is locked in at the plate with five homers in his last eight games, hitting .347 in that stretch. Turner, meanwhile, has been red-hot as well, going 10-for-20 over his past four games, while Schwarber has six homers and 15 RBIs in just eight games since the All-Star break.

“We got a lot of guys swinging the bats well right now and that comes and goes,” Phillies manager Rob Thomson said after another 13-hit performance on Saturday.

The Yankees, on the other hand, have struggled mightily without Judge, going 3-7 in their last 10 games. His injury scare turned out to be less serious than initially feared, but his absence leaves a massive hole in a lineup that has been inconsistent for weeks.

“We’re going to have to figure it out,” Giancarlo Stanton said. “Everybody’s going to have to step up.”

Wheeler vs. Rodon: A Marquee Pitching Duel

Philadelphia sends Zack Wheeler (9-3, 2.39 ERA) to the mound looking for his 10th win of the season. Wheeler dominated the Reds with a one-hit shutout earlier this month but has been hit harder in back-to-back no-decisions against the Padres and Red Sox. While he has struggled historically against the Yankees (1-2, 7.18 ERA in five starts), his recent form makes him a dangerous matchup.

New York counters with Carlos Rodón (10-7, 3.10 ERA), who is looking to bounce back after allowing four runs (two earned) in a loss to Toronto on Monday. Rodón has been excellent in his career against the Phillies, posting a 0.51 ERA over three starts.

With Philadelphia surging and the Yankees fighting to avoid another skid, this matchup will have playoff-like intensity. Expect the Phillies to keep pressing the attack, while the Yankees will lean on Rodón to halt the momentum.

The Yankees’ pitching staff has posted an MLB-worst 6.29 ERA in July, and facing a Phillies lineup this hot won’t make it easier. For bettors looking at this game, it’s worth noting that Philadelphia has been one of the most reliable teams for strong MLB picks lately, with their offensive explosion and Wheeler’s consistency making them a popular choice. You can find more detailed MLB betting picks and trends to make the most informed decisions.

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