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Mariners vs White Sox Prediction: Can Naylor and Gilbert Sweep the Sox?
The Seattle Mariners aim to complete a three-game sweep of the Chicago White Sox on Thursday, August 7, at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET under light rain and a calm crosswind — though Seattle’s retractable roof should ensure smooth play.
The Mariners, second in the AL West at 61-53, are heavy favorites at -278 on the moneyline. The White Sox, last in the AL Central at 42-71, enter at +228. The run line sits at Mariners -1.5 (-122) and White Sox +1.5 (+101). The total is 7.5 runs (O -102 / U -119).
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White Sox Can Win If…
The power bats show up early. Despite a tough 8-3 loss on Wednesday, Chicago went deep three times thanks to Colson Montgomery, Luis Robert Jr., and Lenyn Sosa.
Sosa’s .281 average and Miguel Vargas’ team-leading home run total give Chicago some much-needed offensive sparks. The White Sox rank 23rd in home runs (107), but they’ve shown flashes of explosive potential.
Rookie right-hander Shane Smith (3-7, 4.25 ERA) will try to end his winless streak, now at six starts. He’s already seen Seattle once this year — giving up three runs over five innings in a no-decision on May 21.
“To go down six early in the game there, you’ve got a choice,” manager Will Venable said. “You can pack it in or fight, and our guys have always chosen to fight.”
Mariners Can Win If…
Josh Naylor keeps wreaking havoc. In just 12 games since joining Seattle, the first baseman has delivered three homers and an eye-popping 10 stolen bases — without being caught.
“Any advantage he can find, he’s going to take advantage of it,” said manager Dan Wilson. “He’s a really smart, focused player.”
Seattle ranks 4th in MLB in home runs (162) and 8th in on-base percentage (.318). Sluggers like Eugenio Suárez and Julio Rodríguez (3-run homer Wednesday) anchor a dangerous lineup.
Logan Gilbert (3-4, 3.45 ERA) will start for the Mariners. The Opening Day righty has been sharp since returning from injury and owns a 2-0 record with a 1.80 ERA in five career starts vs. the White Sox.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Trend Type | Seattle Mariners | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline Form | 6-4 in last 10 games | 5-5 in last 10 games |
| Run Line Record | Covered 5 of last 6 wins | Failed to cover in 4 of last 6 losses |
| Total (O/U) | Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games | Under is 4-2 in last 6 games vs Seattle |
| Pitching Strength | 3.45 team ERA (Top 10 in MLB) | 4.92 team ERA (Bottom 5 in MLB) |
The Lean
The Mariners are surging and simply have too much firepower for a struggling White Sox club. Gilbert’s consistency and Chicago’s 4.92 team ERA give Seattle a clear edge.
Prediction: Mariners 5, White Sox 3
Best Bet: Mariners -1.5 (-122)
Bonus Lean: Over 7.5 (-102)
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