Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Predictions August 11th 2025

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Brewers vs Pirates Prediction: Can Milwaukee Push Their Streak to 10?

The Milwaukee Brewers will try to keep their hot streak alive as they host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday, August 11, 2025, at American Family Field. Milwaukee sends Jose Quintana (9–4, 3.57 ERA) to the mound against Andrew Heaney (5–9, 4.77 ERA).

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Key Game Information

CategoryDetails
SportBaseball (MLB)
TeamsPittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
VenueAmerican Family Field — Milwaukee, WI
DateMonday, August 11, 2025
Probable StartersPIT: Andrew Heaney (LHP) • MIL: Jose Quintana (LHP)
BroadcastSN PT
WeatherIndoor stadium (retractable roof)
Betting OddsPIT +171 • MIL -206 • Total: 8.0

Pittsburgh Pirates Can Win If…

They get an early lead and Heaney keeps the ball in the park. Pittsburgh comes off a 14–8 slugfest loss to the Reds but showed offensive pop with 16 hits. Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 3-for-5 with 2 RBIs, while Jack Suwinski and Spencer Horwitz added multiple hits.

Statistically, the Pirates’ pitching has been respectable — 6th in opponent batting average (.237) and 4th in fewest home runs allowed (115). If Heaney can navigate Milwaukee’s left-handed bats and limit hard contact, Pittsburgh could steal this one.

Milwaukee Brewers Can Win If…

They continue to ride the momentum of their nine-game winning streak. Milwaukee’s latest win was a 7–6 walk-off over the Mets, capped by Isaac Collins’ ninth-inning homer. William Contreras has been on fire, blasting two home runs in Sunday’s win.

The Brewers are top 3 in batting average and on-base percentage, with table-setters like Brice Turang and Christian Yelich sparking rallies. Quintana’s track record vs. the Pirates (5–2, 3.23 ERA in 15 starts) suggests Milwaukee has the edge if they can give him run support early.

Key MLB Betting Trends

Trend TypePittsburgh PiratesMilwaukee Brewers
Current FormLost 2 straight • 4–6 last 10Won 9 straight • 12–1 last 13
Pitcher NotesHeaney: 1–3, 6.56 ERA in 5 starts vs MILQuintana: 5–2, 3.23 ERA in 15 starts vs PIT
Offensive Ranks25th in OPS (.677)3rd in AVG (.267) & OBP (.336)
MotivationPlaying spoilerChasing 101-win pace

The Lean

The Brewers’ combination of hot bats, elite on-base skills, and a starter who’s handled Pittsburgh well makes them the clear favorite. The Pirates’ offense can score in bunches, but Milwaukee’s bullpen depth gives them a late-game edge.

Pick: Brewers ML (-206)
Projected Score: Brewers 5, Pirates 3
Total Lean: Under 8.0


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