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Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction: Boyd, Scherzer Duel in Toronto Finale
The Chicago Cubs and Toronto Blue Jays wrap up their three-game set Thursday afternoon at Rogers Centre. With the series tied 1-1, Chicago will look to ride left-hander Matthew Boyd’s stellar season to a series win, while Toronto counters with veteran ace Max Scherzer in a battle of high-caliber arms.
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Key Game Information
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Sport | Baseball (MLB) |
| Teams | Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays |
| Venue | Rogers Centre – Toronto, ON |
| Date/Time | Thursday, August 14, 2025 – 1:07 PM ET |
| Betting Odds | Cubs -106, Blue Jays -111, O/U 8.5 (O: -104 |
Chicago Cubs Can Win If…
The Cubs come in off a 4-1 victory over Toronto, powered by Cade Horton’s dominant 5 2/3 innings of one-hit ball and homers from Matt Shaw and Michael Busch. Chicago’s offense continues to thrive in the power department, ranking 4th in slugging percentage (.435) and 5th in home runs (169).
Matthew Boyd (11-5, 2.46 ERA) will need to keep the Blue Jays’ bats quiet. The former Toronto draft pick has yet to record a win against his original club (0-3, 4.46 ERA lifetime), but his 2025 form gives Chicago confidence. With Seiya Suzuki leading the way (27 HR), timely power and solid pitching could secure the road series win.
Toronto Blue Jays Can Win If…
Toronto’s offense was held to just two hits on Wednesday, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. producing the lone RBI. Guerrero has been red-hot since the All-Star break, hitting .376/.447/.683 with 7 HR and 19 RBI over 25 games.
Max Scherzer (2-2, 4.21 ERA) gets the start, bringing an 11-start track record against the Cubs that includes a 5-2 record and 2.82 ERA. Toronto’s league-leading .269 batting average and .336 on-base percentage could put pressure on Boyd early, especially if Bo Bichette and the middle of the order deliver.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Trend Type | Cubs | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Current Form | Won 3 of last 5 | Won 4 of last 6 |
| Home/Away Split | 32-29 on road | 39-20 at home |
| Pitching ERA Rank | 8th (3.81) | 6th (3.74) |
| Batting AVG Rank | 10th (.255) | 1st (.269) |
| Home Runs Rank | 5th (169) | 13th (144) |
| Bullpen ERA Rank | 9th (3.62) | 11th (3.71) |
The Lean
This is a classic pitching duel setup — Boyd’s career year versus Scherzer’s veteran savvy. Toronto’s home dominance (39-20) and superior contact hitting give them a narrow edge, but Chicago’s power could swing the balance. Expect a tight contest.
Pick: Blue Jays -111
Projected Score: Blue Jays 5, Cubs 4
O/U Lean: Over 8.5 (-104)
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