Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Picks and Predictions August 16th 2025

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Basketball Sat, Aug 16, 13:00 pm.
Minnesota Lynx
ML: -120
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New York Liberty
ML: 100
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Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty – Picks and Predictions (August 16, 2025)

Lynx Look to Continue Hot Hand in Rematch vs. Liberty

The Minnesota Lynx will try to make it three wins in a row against the New York Liberty when they meet again Saturday afternoon in Minneapolis.

Minnesota (27-5) has already clinched a playoff spot after Dallas’ win over Indiana earlier this week. The Lynx are riding a five-game winning streak despite being without MVP candidate Napheesa Collier (ankle) since August 2. In their most recent matchup vs. New York, trade-deadline addition DiJonai Carrington came off the bench for 15 points and six rebounds.

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New York (21-12), still navigating injuries to Breanna Stewart (knee), Isabelle Harrison (concussion), and Nyara Sabally (knee), is looking to rebound after splitting its last two games on the road trip. Sabrina Ionescu continues to lead the backcourt, but consistency without Stewart has been difficult to maintain.

Match Information

  • Sport: Basketball (WNBA)
  • Teams: Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty
  • Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
  • Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
  • Tip-off: 1:00 PM ET
  • Betting Odds:
    • Lynx Moneyline: -180
    • Liberty Moneyline: +150
    • Spread: Lynx -4.5 (-110), Liberty +4.5 (-110)
    • Total Over 167.5 (-112), Under 167.5 (-108)

Minnesota Lynx Can Win If…

The Lynx need to keep pushing the tempo while relying on their defensive structure, which ranks among the best in the WNBA. Even without Collier, their balanced roster has produced. Carrington’s instant scoring punch off the bench and Kayla McBride’s veteran leadership will be pivotal in stretching New York’s short-handed defense.

New York Liberty Can Win If…

The Liberty must lean heavily on Sabrina Ionescu, who has carried the scoring and playmaking load. Without Breanna Stewart, New York needs inside production from Jonquel Jones and perimeter consistency from Betnijah Laney. Limiting turnovers and hitting from deep will be crucial to keeping pace with Minnesota.

Key Stats Comparison

Stat CategoryMinnesota LynxNew York Liberty
Points per Game85.7 (3rd WNBA)83.9 (5th WNBA)
Points Allowed per Game77.2 (2nd WNBA)79.6 (6th WNBA)
Field Goal %45.8% (2nd WNBA)44.6% (5th WNBA)
Three-Point %36.2% (4th WNBA)35.5% (6th WNBA)
Top ScorerNapheesa Collier*Sabrina Ionescu

* Collier (ankle) OUT

The Lean

Minnesota’s depth and defense give them the upper hand, especially at home. New York’s injuries leave them vulnerable, though Ionescu can keep it close if she gets hot from beyond the arc. Model projection: Lynx 84 – Liberty 78.

  • Pick: Minnesota Lynx Moneyline (-180)
  • Spread Lean: Lynx -4.5 (-110)
  • Total Lean: Over 167.5 (-112)

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