New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions August 23rd 2025

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The Boston Red Sox will visit Yankee Stadium to play against the New York Yankees. The game is set for Saturday, August 23, 2025, at 1:05 PM. Fans can catch the action on the YES network.

The Red Sox enter the game with a 70-59 record, holding second place in the AL East. They are on a two-game winning streak. The Yankees, with a 69-59 record, are in third place in the division and have lost their last two games. The weather forecast for the game predicts a mild day with clear skies and a light breeze.

Red Sox vs Yankees Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium in New York, NY
  • Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 1:05 PM
  • Betting Odds:
    • Red Sox Moneyline: -135
    • Yankees Moneyline: +115
    • Red Sox Runline: -1.5 (+123)
    • Yankees Runline: +1.5 (-147)
    • Total Over: 8.5 (-102)
    • Total Under: 8.5 (-118)

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox secured a narrow 1-0 victory against the New York Yankees in their latest game. Brayan Bello was a standout performer, pitching seven scoreless innings and allowing only three hits. Alex Bregman also contributed with three hits, helping the team to maintain their winning streak.

The Red Sox have strong hitting stats this season. They rank first in doubles with 262 and are in the top ten for batting average and on-base percentage. This solid offensive performance can give them an edge in the upcoming game.

Garrett Crochet is set to start for the Red Sox, boasting an impressive ERA of 2.43. His consistent pitching has been a key factor for the team’s success. With Crochet on the mound and the lineup’s ability to hit well, the Red Sox have a good chance to win again.

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a narrow 1-0 loss to the Boston Red Sox. Despite the loss, Max Fried delivered a strong performance with six innings of scoreless pitching, allowing only four hits and striking out seven. The Yankees’ offense struggled, managing just three hits, but they have shown the ability to bounce back quickly.

The Yankees lead the league in slugging percentage (.451) and home runs (210), which gives them a strong chance to win. Their lineup features Aaron Judge, who has a .327 average and 40 home runs, making him a key threat. Additionally, Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. add depth with their power-hitting abilities.

On the mound, Will Warren will start for the Yankees with a 4.25 ERA. The Yankees’ pitching staff has a batting average against of .228, which ranks second in the league. This strong pitching combined with their powerful lineup makes the Yankees a formidable opponent in this game.

The Lean

The Red Sox are favored with a moneyline of -135. The Yankees have a moneyline of +115. Based on the current odds and team stats, the Red Sox are the pick to win. They have a strong batting average and rank high in doubles. The model projects a score of Red Sox 5, Yankees 4.

The total for the game is set at 8.5. The model projects a combined score of 9 runs. Both teams have solid hitting stats, with the Yankees leading in home runs. The recommendation is to take the over at 8.5 (-102).

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Red Sox Extend Dominance in Rivalry

The Boston Red Sox have positioned themselves strongly in the American League wild-card race, holding the head-to-head tiebreaker over the New York Yankees. Now they look to widen the gap, riding a seven-game win streak over their rivals heading into Saturday’s matchup in New York.

Boston opened the four-game series with a 6-3 win on Thursday before edging out a 1-0 victory on Friday night. That road shutout was the Red Sox’s first 1-0 win at Yankee Stadium since 1994, underscoring how significant their recent surge has been. For bettors tracking momentum swings, updated MLB picks provide insights into this playoff race.

Bats Struggling in Key Spots

Despite the victories, Boston’s offense has faltered with runners in scoring position. The Red Sox went just 1-for-11 in Friday’s contest and are 4-for-30 in the series overall. Stretching back further, they are 7-for-58 over the last five games. Still, Alex Bregman has been on fire, batting .356 across his last 24 games and collecting his second straight three-hit performance.

Connor Wong provided the key RBI double Friday, while Nathaniel Lowe added a pinch-hit double in just his fourth game with the club. More in-depth team and matchup breakdowns can be found in the MLB previews section

Yankees Searching for Answers

The Yankees’ offense has been stifled by Boston’s pitching, managing only three singles in Friday’s loss. They’ve been limited to three hits or fewer for the ninth time this season and have been outscored 36-21 by Boston since June 6.

New York is 30-36 since its only win over the Red Sox this season and has dropped the first two games of the current set despite entering on a five-game winning streak. Fans and handicappers alike can explore strategies for spotting value in matchups like this by reviewing the expert MLB betting guide

Pitching Matchup: Crochet vs. Warren

Garrett Crochet (13-5, 2.43 ERA) takes the mound for Boston, looking to continue his stellar campaign. He is 9-1 with a 2.77 ERA across his last 13 starts, allowing two runs or fewer in 10 of those outings. Crochet dominated the Yankees on June 13, holding them to one run over 8 1/3 innings.

Opposing him will be Will Warren (7-5, 4.25 ERA), who has been consistent of late with a 2.74 ERA across his past eight starts. He limited Boston to four runs in 5 1/3 innings back on June 6 to earn a victory. This duel will play a pivotal role in whether the Yankees can halt Boston’s streak. Bettors looking to ride hot pitching trends can also consider premium options in the buy picks section

What’s at Stake

Boston enters Saturday with a half-game lead over New York for the top AL wild-card slot. An eighth consecutive victory against their rivals would create breathing room, while the Yankees are desperate to split the series and regain momentum.

For those monitoring betting performance, the Sports Hub’s handicappers leaderboard highlights who’s reading these matchups most accurately. And as always, you can keep track of how both clubs fare day-to-day by checking the latest MLB game results

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