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Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Game 5 Betting Preview
The WNBA semifinals come down to one game. The Indiana Fever visit the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday night in a winner-take-all matchup. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena. Full WNBA previews cover how we got here, but the key storyline is simple: the sixth-seeded Fever refuse to go away, and the defending champion Aces have everything to lose.
Indiana stunned Vegas in Game 1, then survived another elimination spot in Game 4 to even the series. Kelsey Mitchell leads the postseason in scoring at over 23 points per game, while Aliyah Boston has been dominant inside. Stephanie White’s team is 3-0 in elimination games, including their comeback against Atlanta.
The Aces rely on MVP A’ja Wilson, who has been nearly unstoppable with 25 points per night. But turnovers and foul trouble from her supporting cast have kept Indiana alive. Coach Becky Hammon knows the margin is slim. History says Las Vegas should advance, but the Fever’s resilience has made them a dangerous underdog.
Line Movement and Odds
Check the latest WNBA odds for Game 5. The Aces opened around –7.5 with the total at 158.5. That line has held steady, though some books nudged it to –8 with heavier public action on Las Vegas. Bettors leaning to Indiana see value in their 3-0 record in elimination games. Sharps have leaned to the Aces, while the public has split more evenly on the total.
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Matchup Breakdown
Fever Outlook
- Mitchell’s scoring punch is critical. She has gone for 34 and 25 in two road games this series.
- Boston’s interior play gives Indiana a chance to control the boards.
- The Fever turned 17 Vegas turnovers into 25 points in Game 4, a repeatable path if they stay disciplined.
Aces Outlook
At home, the Aces have covered more than half their games this season against the spread.
Wilson anchors the attack, averaging nearly 25 points and 10 rebounds in the postseason.
When her teammates stay out of foul trouble, Las Vegas overwhelms opponents with depth.
Injuries and Conditions
Stay updated with the Indiana Fever injury report and Las Vegas Aces injury report
- Fever: Caitlin Clark, Sophie Cunningham, and Aari McDonald remain sidelined.
- Aces: No major injuries reported.
This is an indoor game, so no weather factors apply.
Best Bets and Prediction
Indiana has covered in three elimination wins, but Vegas has more balance and home-court. ATS trends point toward a tight contest, yet the Aces’ ability to control tempo should matter most.
Projected score: Aces 85, Fever 77
- Best bet: Aces –7.5
- Secondary lean: Under 158.5
ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks
See who’s hot on the best handicappers leaderboard. You can grab premium analysis in the service plays section or ride the momentum with free WNBA picks. For sharper betting angles, dive into the Bettors Handbook
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