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Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers
The Pittsburgh Steelers welcome Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers to Acrisure Stadium for a primetime showdown on Sunday Night Football.
Kickoff is set for 8:20 PM ET on NBC, with clear skies and mild fall conditions expected in Pittsburgh.
The headline writes itself — Rodgers vs. his former team — but both sides enter with legitimate playoff aspirations and a chance to define momentum heading into midseason.
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Line Movement and Odds
Oddsmakers opened Green Bay as a small road favorite, and early action has leaned toward the Packers thanks to Jordan Love’s steady form and a defense that continues to create havoc. Pittsburgh has home-field energy on its side but comes off a tough loss in Cincinnati.
Current Odds:
- Packers Spread: -3.0 (-116)
- Steelers Spread: +3.0 (-104)
- Packers MoneyLine: -176
- Steelers MoneyLine: +147
- Over/Under: 44.5
You can find updated NFL odds, props, and market trends on the scores and odds page.
The Packers Can Win If…
The Green Bay Packers (4-1-1) continue to build rhythm under Jordan Love, who’s stepped out of Aaron Rodgers’ shadow with confidence.
Love leads the league in passing yards (1,438) and ranks top five in touchdown-to-interception ratio (10–2). In last week’s 27–23 win over Arizona, he leaned on Josh Jacobs, who powered through with two rushing touchdowns, while Micah Parsons dominated defensively with three sacks.
Green Bay’s offensive formula remains balanced and efficient:
- Top 10 in rushing yards per game (135.2)
- 8th in scoring (26.5 PPG)
- 5th in red-zone conversion rate (71%)
Defensively, the Packers’ pass rush is ferocious. Parsons and Rashan Gary (5.5 sacks) lead a front seven that ranks 3rd in pressures and 5th in takeaways. Against a Steelers line that has allowed 12 sacks in the last three games, that pressure could dictate the outcome.
Health is a concern — Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks, and Brandon McManus are all questionable — but Green Bay’s offensive depth has compensated effectively.
If Love stays clean and Jacobs establishes tempo early, the Packers’ balance should be enough to quiet the Acrisure crowd.
The Steelers Can Win If…
The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) can’t afford another defensive letdown after their 33–31 loss to Cincinnati. Still, Aaron Rodgers looked every bit the veteran leader they expected, throwing four touchdowns and keeping Pittsburgh in the game despite two costly interceptions.
Rodgers has quietly put together an efficient start:
- 68.6% completion rate (7th NFL)
- 14 TDs to 5 INTs
- Passer rating of 103.5
Tight end Pat Freiermuth has emerged as Rodgers’ security blanket, racking up 111 yards and two TDs last week, while Jaylen Warren carried the load with 127 rushing yards. Pittsburgh’s offense ranks 11th in total yards per game, showing newfound balance that complements Rodgers’ precision passing.
Defensively, the Steelers can’t give Love time to throw. T.J. Watt (4 sacks) and Nick Herbig (4.5) remain the tone-setters, but the secondary’s coverage lapses have led to three games allowing 30+ points.
The key? Turnovers. Pittsburgh is 4-0 this season when forcing at least two takeaways, but 0-2 when failing to do so.
Injury Reports
Packers Injuries:
- Brandon McManus (K) – Questionable (Quad)
- Josh Jacobs (RB) – Limited (Calf)
- Christian Watson (WR) – Questionable (Knee)
- Dontayvion Wicks (WR) – Questionable (Ankle)
- Lukas Van Ness (DL) – Questionable (Foot)
- Brenton Cox Jr. (DL) – Out (Groin)
- John Williams (G) – Out (Back)
Steelers Injuries:
- Miles Killebrew (S) – Out (Knee)
- Donald Parham Jr. (TE) – Out (Achilles)
- Malik Harrison (LB) – Questionable (Knee)
- Calvin Austin III (WR) – Questionable (Shoulder)
- Isaiahh Loudermilk (DT) – Out (Ankle)
- Skylar Thompson (QB) – Out (Hamstring)
- Cory Trice Jr. (CB) – Out (Hamstring)
For more NFL injury updates and depth chart breakdowns, visit the NFL expert betting guide.
Betting Trends
- Packers have hit the Over in 3 straight as favorites.
- Steelers are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games.
- Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Steelers are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games with totals below 45.
- Packers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 as a favorite.
- Steelers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 regular-season meetings vs. Green Bay.
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Prediction and Analysis
This game has storylines everywhere — Rodgers facing his old team, Love trying to outduel his mentor, and both defenses aiming to reassert identity.
The Packers’ pass rush and offensive balance make them the more complete team, but Rodgers under the lights in Pittsburgh is still dangerous. Expect a tight, tactical battle defined by third-down execution and red-zone efficiency.
Projected Score: Packers 24, Steelers 20
Best Bet: Packers -3.0 (-116)
Total Lean: Under 44.5 (-108)
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