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Game Preview Auburn Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats
The Auburn Tigers return home Saturday looking to build on their first SEC win when they host the Kentucky Wildcats under the lights at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Auburn (4-4, 1-4 SEC) snapped a three-game skid last week by defeating Arkansas 33-24 behind an efficient performance from backup quarterback Ashton Daniels. Head coach Hugh Freeze re-opened the quarterback competition this week, saying both Daniels and Oklahoma transfer Jackson Arnold will split practice reps before a final decision is made.
Kentucky (2-5, 0-5 SEC) enters after a 56-34 loss to Tennessee, its fourth consecutive defeat. Despite the slide, head coach Mark Stoops insists his team remains focused and motivated, led by freshman quarterback Cutter Boley, who has thrown for 588 yards and five touchdowns over the past two games.
For live line updates and full Week 10 market analysis, visit the NCAAF odds and scores page before kickoff.
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Line Movement and Odds
Auburn opened as a 7.5-point favorite with a total set around 51.5. The line has stayed steady through midweek, reflecting balanced action. Bettors appear cautious on both teams’ offensive consistency, particularly with Auburn’s quarterback uncertainty and Kentucky’s limited run game health.
You can track real-time betting splits, consensus percentages, and sharp movement trends on the NCAAF picks board throughout the week.
Auburn Tigers Outlook
The Auburn Tigers earned their first SEC win behind strong rushing production from Jeremiah Cobb, who ran for 153 yards on 28 carries — his fourth straight 100-yard game. With running back Durell Robinson cleared to return, the Tigers will have more backfield depth heading into Week 10.
Quarterback play remains the key storyline. Arnold’s turnover issues, including a costly pick-six against Arkansas, opened the door for Daniels, who led an efficient offense in relief. Freeze emphasized that playcalling won’t change regardless of the starter, noting both signal-callers have similar strengths.
Auburn’s defense has also found traction, forcing five interceptions over the past two games and ranking third in the SEC in takeaways. That opportunistic unit could prove critical against Kentucky’s young quarterback.
Auburn Tigers Injury Report
Durell Robinson (RB) – Probable (Leg)
Damar Alston (RB) – Dismissed
Jarquez Hunter (RB) – Out (Undisclosed)
Jay Fair (WR) – Questionable (Ankle)
Keionte Scott (DB) – Questionable (Shoulder)
Kentucky Wildcats Outlook
The Kentucky Wildcats continue to battle through growing pains in the passing game but have shown signs of progress behind freshman quarterback Cutter Boley. He threw for 330 yards and five touchdowns in the loss to Tennessee, demonstrating poise and arm strength even in defeat.
Running back Seth McGowan remains questionable with a lingering shoulder injury suffered in the Texas game. He leads the team with 476 yards and seven touchdowns, and his absence has limited Kentucky’s ability to control tempo. Without McGowan, the Wildcats rely more on short passing and screens to sustain drives.
Defensively, Kentucky has allowed 42.5 points per game during its four-game losing streak. The secondary will be tested again against Auburn’s improved passing rhythm and Cobb’s punishing ground game.
Kentucky Wildcats Injury Report
Seth McGowan (RB) – Questionable (Shoulder)
Zach Calzada (QB) – Out (Leg)
Josh Kattus (TE) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
Trevin Wallace (LB) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The key battle lies in Kentucky’s defense against Auburn’s physical rushing attack. If the Wildcats can contain Cobb and force Daniels or Arnold into passing downs, they can create turnovers and shorten the field for Boley.
For Auburn, maintaining balance and limiting mistakes at quarterback will determine whether the Tigers sustain offensive momentum. Expect both teams to emphasize early-down efficiency and ball security in what could become a field-position game.
Betting Trends
- Auburn is 7-2 straight up in its last nine home games.
- Auburn is 5-1 ATS following a conference win since 2023.
- Kentucky is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 SEC matchups.
- The under is 8-3 in Auburn’s last 11 games at home.
- Kentucky has hit the over in four of its last six road games.
- Auburn is 4-0 ATS after scoring 30+ points in its previous game.
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Prediction
Auburn’s rushing depth and home-field advantage should give the Tigers the upper hand. Kentucky’s young quarterback and uncertain backfield make sustaining drives difficult against an aggressive Auburn defense. Expect a competitive first half before the Tigers pull away late.
Projected Score: Auburn 31, Kentucky 20
Best Bet: Auburn -7.5
Total Lean: Under 51.5
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