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Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies are back home trying to stop a three game losing streak while team chemistry questions surround Ja Morant and the coaching staff. The Houston Rockets have won four straight and are dominating teams by double digits behind Kevin Durant and Amen Thompson. Memphis is scoring enough to compete but their defensive rating has fallen and late game execution has been shaky. Houston is first in offensive efficiency during this stretch and has shown more structure and rhythm on both ends. The edge depends on whether Memphis stays locked in or if Houston’s half court offense and depth continue to roll.
Line Movement and Odds
Houston opened around minus 7 point 5 on the road with Memphis at plus 7 point 5. The total is posted near 232 point 5 which reflects both teams playing at a top ten pace and struggling defensively. Moneyline pricing puts the Rockets near minus 280 and the Grizzlies around plus 230. Any change before tip will depend on updates to Ja Morant’s status and any lineup shifts. You can track adjustments on the NBA odds page.
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Matchup Breakdown
Houston Rockets Outlook
Houston is winning games with pace, spacing and perimeter shot making. Kevin Durant is averaging over 25 points while Amen Thompson has elevated his play over the last week with strong finishing and playmaking. The Rockets are top five in points per game and lead the league in three point percentage. Alperen Sengun’s interior passing and screening opens up downhill lanes and second unit players like Bruce Brown keep the pressure when starters rest. If Houston keeps turnovers low and controls tempo they can extend their winning run.
Memphis Grizzlies Outlook
Memphis is dealing with off court tension and on court inconsistency. Ja Morant returned from a one game suspension and put up 18 points and 10 assists but said he is not enjoying basketball right now. The Grizzlies still get production from Jaren Jackson Jr and Desmond Bane but rank near the bottom in defensive efficiency. They struggle at the rim and have been outscored in transition during their losing streak. For Memphis to compete they need engaged Morant, better perimeter defense and help from a short bench.
Key Matchup and Path to Victory
This game will be decided by how Memphis defends Houston’s pick and roll actions with Thompson and Sengun. If the Grizzlies allow clean catch and shoot threes or get outpaced in transition the Rockets will control both halves. Memphis needs to win the rebounding battle, get downhill early in possessions and avoid isolation heavy offense. Houston needs only to stay efficient and limit live ball turnovers to secure a road win.
Environment
FedExForum typically produces slower tempo games but Memphis’ current defensive issues and Houston’s pace can shift this toward a higher possession count. If the Rockets get early stops the game opens up and scoring rises quickly. If Memphis forces half court basketball and keeps Houston off the line the total trends lower. Expect early pace from Houston and a response from Memphis depending on shot making.
Injury Report
According to the Memphis Grizzlies injury report, Scotty Pippen Jr is out with a toe injury and Ty Jerome is sidelined with a calf issue. Ja Morant is active after a one game suspension but his mental engagement and conditioning are worth monitoring. No new major frontcourt injuries have been reported.
The Houston Rockets injury report shows no major absences among their primary rotation. Kevin Durant and Amen Thompson are fully active. The roster is healthy and consistent which has led to strong rhythm early.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Rockets 121 Grizzlies 112
Best Bets:
- Rockets minus 7 point 5
- Under 232 point 5
Houston has the more stable roster, better half court execution and higher effort on defense. Memphis is capable of stretches of scoring but their defensive breakdowns and current team chemistry issues make it difficult to back at this number.
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