Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions November 11th 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Betting Preview

After a physical clash on Saturday, the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs meet again Tuesday night at TD Garden. Boston’s 5-3 win in Toronto ended the Leafs’ three-game streak and pushed the Bruins’ win streak to six.

David Pastrnak led the way with a power-play goal, while Jeremy Swayman stopped 30 shots. Rookie Fraser Minten, a former Leaf, sealed it with an insurance goal. Boston has now climbed to 10-7, second in the Atlantic Division.

Toronto slipped to 8-7-1 but remains close in the standings. William Nylander extended his 10-game point streak with two goals against Carolina on Sunday, though defensive lapses cost the Leafs a 5-4 loss. Coach Craig Berube blamed turnovers and fatigue in back-to-backs for the setback.

Line Movement and Odds

According to the latest NHL odds Toronto opened as a -130 moneyline favorite but has drifted to -125 with Boston +105 at home. The puck line sits at Toronto -1.5 (+180) and Boston +1.5 (-220).

The total opened at 6.5 goals (Over -105, Under -115) and has seen balanced action. Public money favors the Over, while sharp bettors have leaned to the Under given Boston’s defensive form.

Matchup Breakdown

Toronto Outlook:
The Maple Leafs remain an elite scoring team, averaging 3.9 goals per game. Nylander (23 points) and Auston Matthews continue to drive the attack, while John Tavares adds depth scoring. However, defensive zone turnovers and tired legs have been an issue, as seen in their back-to-back losses.

Boston Outlook:
The Bruins’ structure and discipline have anchored their surge. Pastrnak leads with 21 points, and Mason Lohrei has stepped up in Charlie McAvoy’s absence. Boston allows only 2.4 goals per game, fourth-best in the NHL, and has hit 39+ shots in three straight outings.

Expect another tight, fast-paced divisional matchup between one of the league’s best power plays and one of its most efficient defenses.

Injuries and Conditions

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report:

• Scott Laughton (C) – Questionable, upper body
• Marshall Rifai (D) – Out, wrist
• Christopher Tanev (D) – Out, upper body
• Joseph Woll (G) – Out, personal

Boston Bruins Injury Report:

• John Beecher (C) – Questionable, upper body
• Jordan Harris (D) – Out, ankle
• Elias Lindholm (C) – Out, lower body
• Charlie McAvoy (D) – Questionable, personal
• Casey Mittelstadt (C) – Week-to-week, lower body

Full details available on the Toronto Maple Leafs injury report and Boston Bruins injury report

Best Bets and Prediction

Boston has covered the puck line in nine of its past 11 as an underdog. Toronto has hit the Over in 10 straight games, showing its defense can’t keep up with its firepower.

Projected Score: Maple Leafs 4, Bruins 3

Best Bet: Over 6.5 (-105)
Secondary Lean: Bruins +1.5 (-220)

ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks

Check out the Handicapper Leaderboard for top NHL cappers, view Service Plays for premium selections, or grab Free NHL Picks if you’re building your parlay card.

For strategy insights, see our Expert Betting Guide or upcoming NHL previews to stay sharp.