UFC fans got an awesome show at UFC Vegas 111, but it could get even better with UFC 322 arriving this weekend. Welterweight champion Jack Della Maddalena puts his belt on the line in the main event, with Islam Makhachev on the other side, ready to be crowned.

That massive fight alone is going to make UFC 322 must-see television, while the fans at Madison Square Garden are in for a treat across the board. This absurdly loaded card has another title belt on the line with Valentina Shevchenko facing off with Zhang Weili.

I could stop there, truly, but more big names will enter the Octagon, with Sean Brady, Leon Edwards, and honestly too many to list will prepare to fight their way up the UFC ranks.

Looking for some winning UFC picks? I’ve got you covered, as I’ll break down the latest UFC 322 odds and point you to my favorite bets.

Where To Watch UFC 322?

Tune into ESPN+, Disney+, or FX for the Prelims, while the main card will be featured on PPV only.

When Is UFC 322?

The action goes down this Saturday, November 15th, with the Early Prelims firing off at 6:00 pm EST, followed by the Prelims at 8:00 pm EST. The main card closes things out in style starting at 10:00 pm EST.

Where Is UFC 322?

If you want to attend UFC 322 in person, head to New York. This massive event is going down at the Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

UFC 322 Odds

Check out the latest odds for UFC 322, per the top sports betting sites: 

This is an electrifying main card. No matter how this thing shakes out, we have legit banger after banger to wrap up UFC 322.

Two title fights drop live at MSG, while only one of them will actually be tough to call. With all due respect to Jack Della Maddalena, Islam Makhachev getting the title belt is probably one of the easiest bets of the weekend.

Nothing is priced egregiously here, however. You get solid value no matter who you back, although I’d probably stray from Islam’s moneyline (or just include it in parlays).

Roll with my UFC 322 picks above, or read on as I break down each bout and give some insight as to why I like each pick.

If you want more help before finalizing your UFC 322 bets, be sure to tap the shoulders of the best handicappers available online.

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UFC 322 Predictions For The Main Card

The main card for UFC 322 begins at 10:00 pm EST on PPV.

Islam Makhachev (-265) vs. Jack Della Maddalena (+215)

Former lightweight maestro Islam Makhachev (27-1) will try to take some hardware at welterweight, where he’s a sizable favorite to beat current champ, Jack Della Maddelena (18-2).

Maddalena definitely is a problem in the striking department (6.84 significant strikes lander per minute) and he can end a fight in a hurry (12 KO wins), but he is the inferior wrestler between the two.

Islam is five years older with a 2.5-inch reach disadvantage, but he still looks like the more complete fighter. He also hasn’t lost since 2015, taking out massive names like Alexander Volkanovski and Dustin Poirier in recent years.

Maddalena is a good fighter and a deserving champion, but he’s running into a more skilled fighter that probably has one more title reign in him. The value with Islam is fine at -265, but if you want a better bet, target him to win via submission. He has 13 tap outs to his name and getting this bout to the mat is his clearest path to victory.

Bet: Islam Makhachev (-265)

Valentina Shevchenko (-130) vs. Zhang Weili (+110)

I’ll stick with the favorites for the second big fight on the UFC 322 main card, as I don’t have it in me yet to quit Valentina Shevchenko. Bullet (25-4-1) is 37 now, but she is as skilled as ever and possesses the ability to end fights with her fists or via submission.

Shevchenko has a three-inch reach edge in this bout and she’s been in good form, grinding out hard-earned Decision wins against Manon Fiorot at Alexa Grasso in her last two fights. Her finishing ability has dwindled (no finishes since a 2021 TKO of Lauren Murphy), and I’m not sold that she’s going to make Zhang Weili tap out.

Weili is just as skilled, offers more impactful striking, and is about as good with her wrestling and floor game. This is honestly an evenly matched fight, so it all comes down to who can absorb more punishment and rack up more points.

Nostalgia has me believing in Shevchenko one last time, while her -130 price tag feels too good to pass up. It could be a trap, but this is the type of dice roll I don’t mind taking. I like Bullet’s chances, but I don’t see a finish in a bout between two highly skilled and tough fighters.

Bet: Valentina Shevcheno (-130)

Sean Brady (-135) vs. Michael Morales (+115)

I told you UFC 322 was loaded, as the next fight has one loss between two MMA stars who have a combined 37 fights. Insane, right? Well, Sean Brady (18-1) is arguably the more well-rounded mixed martial artist in this fight, but he is the one who has actually lost.

No matter, as Brady has a major edge in the takedown department and with one loss via stoppage, has proven to be one of the toughest outs in the industry. The 32-year old has risen to superstar status, as he’s gone on a run with wins over Kelvin Gastelum, Gilbert Burns, and Leon Edwards, while Belal Muhammad is the only guy to get the best of him.

None of this means Michael Morales (18-0) can’t be the second to beat Brady, as he is six years younger, is the more impactful punisher with his fists, and has a staggering seven-inch reach advantage.

All of that is sound reasoning to roll with Morales for some interesting value, but he has to earn his stripes. Morales is lethal (13 KOs) and he’s yet to lose, but I think he needs to finish Brady to beat him. 

Given his toughness, defense, and floor game, I think Brady has the edge if the fight doesn’t end early.

Bet: Sean Brady (-135)

Carlos Prates (-200) vs. Leon Edwards (+170)

Am I stuck in a time loop from five years ago? Maybe, but I don’t have the heart to bet against Leon Edwards. It might actually be the smart thing to do based on the UFC 322 odds for this bout, especially when you consider he’s dropped his last two fights and got choked out the time he was in the Octagon.

On top of that, Edwards is 34 now (two years older than his opponent), loses four inches in reach, and won’t have the striking edge by the numbers. He does have superior takedown offense and a storied career filled with big wins, however.

Prates (22-7) is as explosive as it gets, with 17 of his 22 wins coming via knockout. He reminded everyone of his ceiling last time out, when he dropped a spinning back elbow to Ko Geoff Neal. He did drop a Decision to Ian Garry the fight before that, of course, which is a reminder of his inconsistency.

Edwards could be cooked, but he’s the more seasoned and more skilled fighter in this match. It all comes down to his defense and ability to stave off a finish. The deeper this fight goes, the more it leans towards Edwards pulling off the upset. Considering Rocky has never been KO’d, I am willing to roll the dice and hammer his +170 moneyline.

Bet: Leon Edwards (+170)

Benoit Saint Denis (-200) vs. Beneil Dariush (+160)

The last fight of the UFC 322 main card is yet another legit banger, as we have the hyper aggressive and explosive Benoit Saint Denis (15-3) looking to get a statement win against the tried and true Beneil Dariush (23-6-1).

This is where my run of nostalgic picks runs. I am still a fan of Beniel Dariush’s skill-set and UFC resume, but he is 36 years old now and gives up an inch in reach. Plus, all the things he does well can be met or surpassed by Benoit Saint Denis in this fight.

Dariush is probably still the more seasoned technician – and he’s plenty capable of sneaking in a surprise finish – but he loses out in striking damage, striking accuracy, and takedown offense.

Benoit Saint Denis will leave openings for Dariush to rise up and challenge him, but his pace and pressure are likely to overwhelm the aging star. Saint Denis has honestly been in flames for a while now. His last two wins were dominant submission efforts, while his only non-doctor stoppage loss in the last four years came against Dustin Poirier.

It’s a close one, but give me the more explosive Saint Denis. The -200 ML is fine, but I’d target an inside the distance win prop bet in this one.

Bet: Benoit Saint Denis (-200)

UFC 322 Preliminary Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC 322 odds for the Preliminary Card.

I was losing space in my intro, but one look at the UFC 322 Prelims tells you just how loaded this card actually is. The main card is incredibly star-studded, but the Prelims still feature the likes of Bo Nickal, Gregor Rodrigues, and more.

Beyond just the big names, the matchups themselves are fantastic. Picking between Rodrigues and Kopylov is incredibly difficult, but the nice thing about tightly priced matchups like this is we get nice value across the board.

The first thing that stands out on the Prelims card is Cortez, who is a rising talent and is coming in as a +205 underdog. You could make a case either way as to whether she can upset Blanchfield, but the value is obvious.

My UFC 322 Prelims picks are all listed above, but I won’t leave you without some context. Keep reading as I break down every single matchup and also show you my top picks for the slate before I wrap things up.

UFC 322 Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The UFC 322 kicks off with the Prelims at 4:00 pm EST on ESPN+.

Bo Nickal (-250) vs. Rodolfo Vieira (+200)

I’m not giving Rodlfo Vieira the time of day. I have made the mistake before of trusting his size and finishing ability, but not in this spot against a really good prospect in Bo Nickal.

Viera is always going to be live for an upset, of course, just because he absorbs a lot of punishment with relative ease, and can inflict a ton of damage. He is just a bit of a lumbering oaf, and you never know when he’s going to do something (dumb) outside the realm of normal.

Nickal has far less experience at 7-1, but he is also seven years younger, owns a three-inch reach advantage, and offers superior takedown offense. Let’s not forget that he was a very exciting name on the rise before getting TKO’d with a knee by Reinier de Ridder – something that isn’t exactly shameful.

Bet: Bo Nickal (-250)

Gregory Rodrigues (-170) vs. Roman Kopylov (+140)

Here’s a fantastic bout between an aging knockout artist in Gregory Rodrigues (17-6), who really hasn’t been a consistent performer of late. Age could absolutely play into that, as he’s taken Christian Leroy Duncan to a Decision, got rocked by Jared Cannonier, and KO’d Jack Hermansson over his last three fights.

Those are legitimately the three pathways for this fight, as Kopylov is aggressive enough to leave openings for Gregory, but he’s also so explosive that if Rodrigues isn’t careful it could be night-night for him, just as easily.

I think the difference is Koplov has better defense and a stronger chin. He has 12 KOs to his name, but just survived a full fight against Paulo Costa and has never been knocked out in his career. Gregory is a bit more vulnerable in the KO department, so if this turns into a fight where they are trading blows, I see an opening for Kopylov to get the job done.

Bet: Roman Kopylov (+140)

Erin Blanchfield (-255) vs. Tracy Cortez (+205)

This is another spot in UFC 322 where I think we can target some elite betting value with confidence. Don’t get me wrong; Erin Blanchfield (13-2) is the bigger name with the more proven resume. She’s also five years younger and offers superior power.

That said, Tracy Cortez (12-2) hasn’t had a bad loss since her professional debut way back in 2017. Rose Namajunas is still the only woman to figure her out since then, as Cortez has been a legit force inside the UFC.

The problem with Cortez is the lack of finishing ability. She has just one knockout and one submission across 14 fights, so the odds of her ending this thing early aren’t great. Still, she is going to win with takedowns, pressure, and volume.

It’s not like this would be the spot to bet on a Cortez finish, anyways. Blanchfield has never been stopped early, while her less than 50% finishing rate isn’t super scary, either. This one is almost definitely going the distance, and that fits right into what Cortez wants to do.

Is Blanchfield the better fighter? Probably. However, this is a closer fight than the odds suggest and getting a fighter as talented as Cortez at +205 feels like a major steal.

Bet: Tracy Cortez (+205)

Malcolm Wellmaker (-140) vs. Cody Haddon (+120)

There are some easy calls on the UFC 322 fight card. I mentioned Bo Nickal as a home run pick just a second again, and I’m pointing my bat at the stands again with Malcolm Wellmaker (10–0).

Wellmaker is still perfect in his MMA career and has been rather dominant, racking up six KOs and eight finishes in just 10 fights. He’s scored emphatic KO wins in his first two UFC fights, too, and now he gets a guy in Cody Haddon that doesn’t project to be a major problem.

Haddon has displayed nice finishing ability and elite power, but it’s largely come against low level competition. That doesn’t mean he couldn’t stage the upset, but we need to make informed bets and right now Wellmaker looks like a problem and Haddon is more of an unknown.

All things considered, Wellmaker is an insane betting value in this spot. He offers just as much power and finishing ability, but he has a two-inch reach edge and has been more impressive in the UFC so far.

Bet: Malcolm Wellmaker (-140)

Kyle Daukaus (-380) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+290)

We get two fighters with similar styles when Kyle Daukaus (16-4) and Gerald Meerschaert (37-20) face off. The problem is Daukaus is the better at this style at this point, as he can score takedowns a bit more frequently, will deliver more damage with his fists, and is the bigger threat to finish a fight.

There are several issues here for Meerschaert. The first is age. He is obviously sticking around to aim for 40 career wins, but he is 37 now and has lost way more than he’s won (2-5) over his last seven bouts.

Meerschaert can still trip up good fighters on the mat, as he forced a tap out against Edmen Shahbazyan in 2024. However, Daukaus is just as good on the ground (11 submission wins) and has never tapped out.

Daukaus also offers better striking and is on fire at the moment, winning each of his last five fights. They have been dominant finishes for the most part, too, as he’s ended his last three bouts early.

Meerschaert is always going to be live for the upset, but Daukaus is the better fighter in his physical prime. He’s an easy click at -380, but aiming higher for the submission win is the better bet. I also like betting on this to finish inside the distance, just in case you’re worried about vintage Gerald showing up.

Bet: Kyle Daukaus (-380)

Pat Sabatini (-125) vs. Chepe Mariscal (+105)

This is the first UFC 322 fight where I don’t have a direct lean or a ton of confidence in. We know Pat Sabatini (20-5) is an experienced fighter with solid takedown skills, but he’s 35 now and really only has one path to winning.

That said, Sabatini is a force on the mat (12 submissions) and is in solid form with wins in three of his last four fights. The problem? He’s facing a skilled fighter in Chepe Mariscal who can inflict much more damage with his fists and has exhibited good takedown defense (0 submission losses).

A toss-up in terms of odds, this is a contrast of styles that could go either way. Due to that, I side with the younger fighter with the better price.

Bet: Chepe Mariscal (+105)

Fatima Kline (-475) vs. Angela Hill (+340)

It certainly does feel like Angela Hill’s (18-15) best days are behind her, but the 40-year old also apparently has no quit in her. Hill is 15 years older than her dynamic opponent, and she continues to lack any real finishing upside.

Hill is as tough as they come, but she has one win by stoppage in her last 15 fights. She loses three inches in reach to Fatima Kline (8-1), who obviously has way less experience, but will have the edge in takedown offense.

Kline has some power to unload and she is naturally the more dangerous finisher between the two. Hill can still absorb punishment and inflict some damage, but she’s too long in the tooth to trust and there is just no upside.

I doubt Kline gets the finish, but betting on her at -475 feels bad. Instead, hunt down a “to go the distance” prop bet for this fight.

Bet: Fatima Kline (-475)

Baisangur Susurkaev (-800) vs. Eric McConico (+575)

Our second fighter who has yet to lose, Baisangur Susurkaev (10-0) will put his perfect record on the line when he battles Eric McConico (10-3-1). The odds greatly favor Susurkaev, who owns a two-inch reach edge, inflicts way more damage with his fists, sports superior takedown offense, and is 11 years younger.

It all looks good for Susurkaev on paper, as he has eight KOs to his name, but displayed some versatility and submission game when he choked out Eric Nolan in his UFC debut. My guess is he reverts back to his power in this one, though, seeing as McConico’s three losses have all come via KO.

McConico knows how to end fights early, but that ability hasn’t translated to the highest level. He got KO’d in his UFC debut and barely beat Cody Brundage in a Decision in his last fight. Give me the more exciting prospect, but not at -800. Go hunting for a KO prop or an inside the distance wager.

Bet: Baisangur Susurkaev (-800)

Matheus Camilo (-158) vs. Viacheslav Borshchev (+138)

The last fight of UFC 322 (which is actually among the first, technically) has Matheus Camilo (9-3) entering as a mild betting favorite when he takes on Viacheslav Borshchev (8-6-1).

If you want to blindly bet on this one based off of fighter records, I wouldn’t blame you (and I think you’d be right). Camilo’s only real weakness is against submission gurus, and Borschchev (0 submissions) doesn’t qualify.

Borshchev does have some KO upside, but he has struggled under the UFC banner so far, going just 3-5-1 and dropping his last two fights. Camilo did lose his UFC debut via face crank to Gabriel Green, but he was on fire coming in and he has the more versatile skill-set.

I love Camilo to get the job done here and he’s a decent bet to finish Borshchev, too.

Bet: Matheus Camilo (-158)

The Best UFC 322 Picks

The following is our best UFC 322 picks for this weekend’s event:

• Islam Makhachev (-265)
• Bo Nickal (-250)
• Malcolm Wellmaker (-140)

I like a ton of my UFC 322 picks. There is just going to be inherent risk with a lot of the seemingly smash value plays, just because these fights largely all contain two really good fighters. On the main card specifically, I could see every single fight going either way.

That said, Makhachev is not a dude who gets rocked. He has elite defense and a floor game that Della Maddalena doesn’t. I think it’s a mismatch and a change of the title belt is destined in this one.

We get similar value with Bo Nickal, who is an exciting prospect who got tripped up in his last fight. He gets a do-over against Rodolfo Vieira, who simply isn’t the same class of fighter.

The same goes for Wellmaker, who has yet to lose and brings monster power to the table. I don’t think Cody Haddon is scary enough of a test to hand him his first loss.

I stand by all of my UFC 322 bets, though. Some are riskier than others (Leon Edwards, Tracy Cortez, etc), but this is a huge card with 14 fights and not many that are separated by staggering odds. We need to pick some spots where things could get wild.

That said, I’d build out parlays or target the three bets above as solo wagers instead of other fight options for this card.

UFC 322 Card

Check out the updated UFC 322 fight card: