Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys Picks and Predictions November 17th 2025

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Week 11 Betting Preview

When the NFL schedule makers revealed the Week 11 Monday Night Football matchup in mid-May, expectations were high. Instead, both teams enter needing a course correction. The Raiders are 2-7 under Pete Carroll with two separate losing streaks, though they have played more competitive football than the record suggests. Carroll said the team is a few narrow breaks away from flipping multiple results.

Dallas sits at 3-5-1 and has swung between explosive wins and stagnant losses. The offense averages over 40 points in victories but has struggled in defeats. Monday also marks Dallas’s return to the field following the passing of DE Marshawn Kneeland, a tragedy that rocked the locker room. Coach Brian Schottenheimer expects his team to find stability through routine and preparation.

Dallas has won the last five meetings, but the Raiders have shown signs of improvement at home.

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Line Movement and Odds

The spread opened at Cowboys –3.5 and Raiders +3.5. The moneyline opened around Dallas –183 and Las Vegas +153. The total began at 50.5, with early action leaning slightly to the over.

Track updated numbers on the NFL odds

Matchup Breakdown

Dallas can win if they maximize their efficiency early. Dak Prescott has 2,319 passing yards, and Javonte Williams ranks among the league’s rushing leaders. Dallas also sits top-three in sacks, giving them the ability to dictate drives through pressure.

The Raiders can win if they create turnovers and run the ball effectively. Geno Smith has 1,844 yards passing, and Ashton Jeanty provides toughness and burst. At home the Raiders’ defense has generated momentum, forcing key fumbles and competing late into games.

The key trench battle is Dallas’s interior rush against a Raiders line missing multiple starters.

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Injuries and Conditions

Dallas Cowboys

• Solomon Thomas, calf, ruled out
• Malik Hooker, toe, limited earlier but trending toward availability
• Donovan Wilson, elbow and shoulder, full participant
• Multiple rotational defenders were limited mid-week but practiced Saturday

Full details: Dallas Cowboys injury report

Las Vegas Raiders

• Aidan O’Connell, wrist, ruled out
• Kolton Miller, ankle, ruled out
• Dylan Parham, ankle, questionable
• Tyler Lockett, knee, limited earlier, upgraded to full
• Cody Lindenberg, Achilles, full participant

Full details: Las Vegas Raiders injury report

Best Bets and Prediction

Dallas has covered four of its last six when favored by less than a touchdown. The Raiders have covered their last three after a loss. Dallas brings the stronger offensive ceiling, and the Cowboys’ pass rush should be enough to control late possessions.

Projected Score: Cowboys 28, Raiders 24
Best Bet: Cowboys –3.5
Secondary Lean: Under 50.5

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