Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders Picks and Predictions November 18th 2025

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New York rolls into Dallas after measuring itself against Colorado, the league’s top team so far. The Islanders lost 4-1 but owned long stretches of play and nearly forced overtime. Their seven-game road trip started with four straight wins, their longest away streak since 2017. Bo Horvat continues to pace the team with 12 goals and 23 points.

Dallas enters with a five-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 22-8 during that stretch. Saturday’s 5-1 win over Philadelphia featured a natural hat trick from Jason Robertson and another low-event defensive clinic. The Stars have allowed one goal or fewer in back-to-back games, showing their structure is rounding into form.

This matchup offers a test of the Islanders’ improved road form against one of the most efficient two-way teams in hockey.

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Line Movement and Odds

Market opened with Dallas as a moderate home favorite around −155, with New York near +135. Early sharp action supports Dallas, leaning into their dominant home metrics and defensive play. Total opened at 6 and has stayed there, with Over juice fluctuating.

Current consensus estimate:

  • Dallas ML: around −160
  • NY Islanders ML: around +140
  • Total: 6 with balanced action

Track updated pricing on the NHL odds page.

Sharps lean Stars. Public bettors are split but slightly favor the Over.

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Matchup Breakdown

New York Islanders Outlook

The Islanders have tightened their systems during this trip. They pushed Colorado harder than any team has over the past two weeks. Patrick Roy praised their structure, possession stretches, and shot quality. Their OT streak showed resilience, and their PK has been sharper on the road.

Horvat continues to carry the offense. The Isles need secondary scoring and clean breakouts to handle Dallas’ aggressive forecheck.

Dallas Stars Outlook

Dallas has emerged as one of the league’s most complete teams. Their five-game winning streak includes dominant goal differential and improved special teams. Robertson’s hat trick highlighted the Stars’ surge, but their depth has been the real driver, with 13 different goal-scorers during the streak.

Dallas also limits shots effectively. Philadelphia’s 21 shots tied the fewest allowed by Dallas this season. With structure and confidence ascending, the Stars pose a significant matchup problem.

Key Battleground

Dallas’ layered defensive zone vs New York’s cycle game. If the Stars limit slot touches and push play north quickly, the Islanders will struggle to generate volume.

Injuries and Conditions

New York Islanders

No major new absences reported before puck drop
Full details via the New York Islanders injury report

Dallas Stars

Conditions

Indoor matchup. No weather impact.

Best Bets and Prediction

ATS Trends

  • Stars five-game win streak
  • Islanders 4-1 on road trip
  • Stars winning low-event games with ease

Projected Score: Stars 4, Islanders 2

Best Bet: Dallas moneyline
Dallas’ structure, depth scoring, and home form make them the stronger side.

Secondary Lean: Under 6
New York plays slower on the road, and Dallas suppresses shots well.

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