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Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Denver Nuggets at FedExForum in Monday NBA action. Denver enters at 12-4 after a narrow loss to Sacramento, while Memphis sits at 6-11 but has won back-to-back games for the first time this season. Bettors will weigh the Nuggets’ offensive efficiency against the Grizzlies’ rebounding surge and defensive resilience.
Line Movement and Odds
- Nuggets Spread: -7.5 (-110)
- Grizzlies Spread: +7.5 (-111)
- Nuggets MoneyLine: -296
- Grizzlies MoneyLine: +243
- Total: 233.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Denver opened as road favorites, reflecting their scoring depth and Memphis’ injury challenges. See full NBA odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Denver Nuggets Outlook
Nikola Jokić scored 44 points with 13 rebounds and 7 assists in the 128-123 loss to Sacramento. Jamal Murray added 23 points and 9 assists. Denver leads the NBA in field goal percentage (50.6%) and ranks second in points per game (123.8). Their effective FG% of 57.6% is also second-best, showing elite efficiency. Despite injuries to Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun, the Nuggets remain a top contender with Jokić anchoring the offense.
Memphis Grizzlies Outlook
Memphis defeated Dallas 102-96, led by Santi Aldama’s 20 points and Zach Edey’s 12-point, 15-rebound double-double. Vince Williams Jr. has stepped up as a playmaker, dishing 15 assists in the win over Sacramento. The Grizzlies rank ninth in free throws made and ninth in rebounding, giving them control of possessions. Their defense has held opponents under 100 points in consecutive games, showing resilience despite missing Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The Nuggets must continue leveraging Jokić’s dominance and Murray’s scoring to overwhelm Memphis’ defense. The Grizzlies need Aldama and Edey to control the boards while Williams orchestrates the offense. Rebounding and turnovers will be decisive in this Western Conference clash.
Injuries / Availability
Denver lists Aaron Gordon (shoulder) and Christian Braun (ankle) out. For the latest roster adjustments, check the Nuggets injury report.
Memphis remains without Ja Morant (calf) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot). Kobe Bufkin has joined on a 10-day contract to provide depth. You can review updated player statuses on the Grizzlies injury page.
Environment
The game tips at FedExForum, where Memphis is 3-5 at home. Denver is 6-3 on the road, looking to bounce back from their loss to Sacramento. Expect a physical contest with rebounding and pace as focal points.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Nuggets 121, Grizzlies 110
- Best Bet: Nuggets -7.5 (-110)
Denver’s offensive efficiency and Jokić’s dominance make them strong favorites to cover. - Total: Under 233.5 (-110)
Our model projects 231 points, leaning under given Memphis’ defensive improvement and Denver’s pace control.
Denver’s balance of shooting and playmaking should secure the win, while Memphis’ rebounding keeps them competitive. Expect a controlled game trending under the total.
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