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Game Preview Baylor Bears @ St. John’s Red Storm
The Baylor Bears (4-0) take on the St. John’s Red Storm (3-2) in a marquee semifinal of the Players Era men’s championship on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. The matchup will be held at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, with tip-off set for 4:30 PM ET.
Baylor arrives unbeaten, having defeated Creighton 81-74 behind Cameron Carr’s 21 points and nine rebounds on his birthday. Dan Skillings Jr., Obi Agbim, Tounde Yessoufou, and Michael Rataj all hit double figures, showing off the Bears’ offensive depth.
St. John’s narrowly lost 83-82 to Iowa State in their previous outing despite strong performances from Oziyah Sellers, who made five of six from three-point range, and Zuby Ejiofor and Dillon Mitchell, who each had 9 rebounds. While the Red Storm excelled offensively, late-game rebounding struggles cost them a win.
This non-conference matchup features two contrasting styles: Baylor thrives in structured offensive sets, while St. John’s uses tempo and pressure to dictate pace. Fans and bettors should expect a high-scoring affair with tournament implications.
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Odds and Key Information
| Category | Advantage |
|---|---|
| Scoring Efficiency | Baylor |
| Rebounding | St. John’s |
| Turnover Margin | St. John’s |
| Star Power | Baylor |
| Game Tempo | For real-time updates, visit NCAAB odds and scores |
Baylor Bears Outlook
Baylor comes into this game averaging 89.3 points per game with a 51.1% field goal percentage and an effective field goal rate of 59.0%, which ranks 26th nationally. Cameron Carr is averaging 23.5 points per game and has clearly taken a leap from his time at Tennessee, becoming a centerpiece in the Bears’ attack.
Complementing Carr are Dan Skillings Jr., a versatile guard-forward hybrid, and Obi Agbim, who contributes consistent scoring. Michael Rataj has been key in ball movement, averaging multiple assists from the frontcourt.
The Bears have covered the spread in three of their first four games and have gone over the total in 75% of those contests. Their scoring efficiency and balanced offense make them a dangerous underdog, especially in neutral-site games.
Carr’s continued rise makes him a name to watch in the John Wooden Award odds/predictions if Baylor remains in the national spotlight.
St. John’s Red Storm Outlook
St. John’s brings a high-octane offense to the court, averaging 98.5 points per game. They rank second nationally in possessions per game (80.0), highlighting their aggressive, fast-paced approach under head coach Rick Pitino.
Oziyah Sellers has become a lethal perimeter threat, shooting above 50% from beyond the arc. Zuby Ejiofor and Dillon Mitchell contribute strong rebounding and second-chance opportunities. However, St. John’s struggles on the boards against elite competition, which showed in their narrow losses to Alabama and Iowa State.
Defensively, the Red Storm force 23.3 takeaways per win but failed to disrupt power-conference teams like Iowa State and Alabama, who combined for just 18 turnovers in those two games.
Their record against the spread stands at 4-1, and they’ve hit the over in every contest so far this season, reflecting the reliability of their offense.
Their tempo-focused approach mirrors many insights covered in the NBA expert betting guide, where fast-paced offenses often struggle when rebounding becomes a liability.
Betting Trends
Baylor is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 to the over so far this season. They have shown value as an underdog, covering in both games they were not favored. Additionally, they are 6-1 to the over in their last seven neutral-site contests.
St. John’s, on the other hand, is 4-1 ATS and has gone over in all five games this season. However, in their only two losses—both to ranked opponents—they were outrebounded and allowed more than 83 points.
For more updates, picks, and betting trends, check the latest NCAAB picks.
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Prediction
This semifinal matchup pits offensive firepower against tempo control. Baylor’s ability to slow the pace and score efficiently gives them a strong chance to stay within the number. Cameron Carr’s emergence as a primary option adds scoring insurance, while their team balance helps neutralize pressure.
St. John’s will push the pace and capitalize on forced errors, but their defensive rebounding remains a concern—especially if Baylor controls possessions.
Expect a high-scoring affair where Baylor covers the spread in a narrow loss.
Projected Score: St. John’s 94, Baylor 91
Pick: Baylor +4.5
Total Lean: Over 162.5
Why You Need Expert Picks
When evenly matched teams collide, betting edges often come from deeper insights. At ScoresAndStats’ Handicappers Leaderboard, bettors can follow trusted cappers with proven win rates.
Professional NCAAB analysts break down film, lineup trends, pace data, and betting movement, helping you avoid costly errors and target value plays. Especially in neutral-site games with high variance, their advice can make all the difference.
Before placing your next wager, check the latest NCAAB picks to gain the edge you need.
