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Game Preview Providence @ Wisconsin
The Providence Friars (4-2) and Wisconsin Badgers (4-1) square off in the opening round of the Rady Children’s Invitational on Thursday, November 28, 2025. Tip-off is set for 9:00 p.m. ET at LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA.
This neutral-site clash offers a critical early-season test for both teams. Providence rides a two-game win streak, while Wisconsin looks to bounce back after a lopsided 98-70 loss to BYU. The Friars bring a high-octane offense, while the Badgers rely on half-court execution and defensive structure.
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Odds and Key Information
Spread: Providence -1.5
Total: 145.5
Moneyline: Providence -125, Wisconsin +105
Venue: LionTree Arena (Neutral Site)
For the latest NCAAB odds and scores, visit our live tracking page.
Providence Outlook
Providence enters with confidence, having scored 90+ points in four of its first six games. The Friars average 93.2 points per game and lead the Big East in free-throw percentage (78.9%).
Senior guard Jason Edwards paces the team with 19.3 points per game, while 6-foot-10 center Oswin Erhunmwunse leads the nation in blocks (24 total). Despite their offensive strength, the Friars have allowed frequent paint penetration, an area coach Kim English acknowledges needs improvement.
They are 3-3 against the spread, with overs hitting in four games. The alternate total points market could be attractive given their fast tempo.
Wisconsin Outlook
Wisconsin opened the year ranked and won its first four games but was humbled by No. 9 BYU in a 98-70 road loss. The Badgers allowed 14 threes and shot just 37.7% from the field. Coach Greg Gard emphasized mental resilience and defensive discipline following the defeat.
Guards Nick Boyd (19.2 PPG) and John Blackwell (18.4 PPG) lead the backcourt, while sophomore forward Nolan Winter is averaging a double-double (14.2 PPG, 10.2 RPG). The Badgers’ slower tempo could help limit Providence’s transition chances.
Wisconsin is 2-3 ATS this season. Their defensive struggles may signal caution when evaluating what does the spread mean in betting.
Key Matchup Table
| Statistical Category | Providence Friars | Wisconsin Badgers |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 93.2 | 76.6 |
| Field Goal % | 46.3% | 44.1% |
| Free Throw % | 78.9% | 72.4% |
| 3PT Defense | 34.7% allowed | 41.2% allowed |
| Blocks Per Game | 7.5 | 3.1 |
Betting Trends
Providence is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 neutral-site games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Providence’s last 5 games. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 November games and has hit the OVER in 3 of their last 4 contests. Providence ranks top-10 in free throw percentage nationally, while Wisconsin has covered only 1 of their last 5 non-conference matchups. Explore more college basketball betting strategies for November matchups.
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Predictions
Providence’s offensive versatility, paint presence, and free-throw shooting give them a slight edge. Wisconsin will attempt to slow the pace, but their perimeter defense—exposed against BYU—is a major concern facing a team with efficient scorers.
The Friars’ fast tempo makes the over attractive, especially if Wisconsin can keep up offensively. Expect a tight game, but Providence’s ability to get to the line and protect the rim tips the scales.
Projected Score: Providence 78, Wisconsin 73
Pick Against the Spread: Providence -1.5
Lean on Total: OVER 145.5
Why You Need Expert Picks
When conference matchups are weeks away, non-league games like this one provide a valuable betting opportunity. To find edges, you need deep statistical insight and expert modeling.
Visit our NCAAB picks page and check the Handicappers Leaderboard to see who’s dominating early-season bets.
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