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Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers host the Vanderbilt Commodores at Neyland Stadium in Week 14 SEC action. Tennessee enters at 8-3 ranked No. 19 nationally, while Vanderbilt sits at 9-2 ranked No. 14. Bettors will weigh Tennessee’s home dominance against Vanderbilt’s surge in this historic in-state rivalry.
Line Movement and Odds
- Tennessee Spread: -2.5 (-115)
- Vanderbilt Spread: +2.5 (-106)
- Tennessee MoneyLine: -143
- Vanderbilt MoneyLine: +119
- Total: 65.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Tennessee opened as slight favorites, reflecting their home record and Vanderbilt’s recent momentum. See full NCAAF odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Vanderbilt Commodores Outlook
Vanderbilt crushed Kentucky 45-17, led by QB Diego Pavia’s 484 passing yards and five touchdowns. WR Tre Richardson added 159 receiving yards and three scores, while TE Eli Stowers leads the team with 705 yards on 57 catches. Vanderbilt ranks 10th nationally in points scored (428) and 16th in passing yards (3,123). Their defense forced three interceptions against Kentucky, showing playmaking ability. Pavia’s 2,924 passing yards and 26 TDs highlight their balanced attack.
Tennessee Volunteers Outlook
Tennessee beat Florida 31-11, with QB Joey Aguilar completing 77.3% of his passes. RB DeSean Bishop has 886 rushing yards and 12 TDs, while WR Chris Brazzell II adds 926 receiving yards and eight scores. Tennessee ranks fourth nationally in points scored (465) and fifth in passing yards (3,387). Defensively, they rank ninth in interceptions and fourth in fumbles recovered, showing opportunistic play. Their six-game win streak against Vanderbilt underscores their rivalry dominance.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Vanderbilt must rely on Pavia’s passing and Richardson’s explosiveness to stretch Tennessee’s secondary. Tennessee needs Aguilar’s efficiency and Bishop’s rushing to control tempo. Turnovers and red-zone execution will be decisive in this SEC clash.
Injuries / Availability
Vanderbilt Questionables: Drew Dickey (QB), Chase Gillespie (RB), Yilanan Ouattara (DL), Nikhil Jefferson (DL), Vanzale Hinton (S).
Tennessee Questionables/Out: Miles Kitselman (TE, questionable), Jermod McCoy (LB, out), Rickey Gibson III (DB, out), Peyton Lewis (RB, questionable), Sidney Walton (LB, questionable), Joakim Dodson (WR, questionable).
Environment
The game kicks at Neyland Stadium, where Tennessee is 4-2 at home. Vanderbilt is 2-2 on the road, looking to break Tennessee’s six-game rivalry streak. Expect a charged atmosphere with both teams ranked for the first time in series history.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Vanderbilt 38, Tennessee 35
- Best Bet: Vanderbilt +2.5 (-106)
Vanderbilt’s ATS record as underdogs (11-3) suggests they can cover and potentially win outright. - Total: Over 65.5 (-110)
Our model projects 73 points, leaning over given both teams’ offensive firepower and recent scoring trends.
Vanderbilt’s passing attack and opportunistic defense should keep them competitive, while Tennessee’s balanced offense ensures a shootout. Expect a high-scoring rivalry game trending over the total.
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