Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions November 29th 2025

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Toronto Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena in Saturday NHL action. Pittsburgh seeks a successful holiday weekend sweep after consecutive wins, while Toronto looks to halt a skid on their extended road trip. Bettors must weigh the Penguins’ offensive depth against the Maple Leafs’ scoring firepower and defensive physicality.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Maple Leafs MoneyLine: -119
  • Penguins MoneyLine: +100
  • Total: 6.0 (Over -108, Under -113)

Toronto opened as slight favorites despite recent struggles. See full NHL odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs Outlook

Toronto dropped a 4-2 game to Washington, their sixth loss in ten. Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies scored, while Joseph Woll made 30 saves. The Leafs rank seventh in goals scored (78) and fourth in hits (584), showing offensive depth and physical play. William Nylander leads with 31 points, though his illness status is uncertain. Blocking 370 shots adds defensive resilience, but Toronto must find consistency to rebound.

Pittsburgh Penguins Outlook

Pittsburgh edged Columbus 4-3 in overtime, their first OT win of the season. Sidney Crosby scored twice, while Kris Letang netted the winner. The Penguins sit at 12-6-5, fifth in the East, with three shutouts. Their power play ranks seventh, and Crosby leads with 15 goals and 25 points. Bryan Rust and Evgeni Malkin add scoring depth, while Tristan Jarry provides stability in net. Momentum and home ice favor Pittsburgh.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Toronto’s offensive firepower vs Pittsburgh’s balanced attack. The Leafs must lean on Nylander, Rielly, and Woll to generate and contain, while the Penguins rely on Crosby, Rust, and Malkin to sustain pressure. Special teams and goaltending will dictate outcomes.

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Injuries / Availability

Toronto lists Brandon Carlo (lower body), William Nylander (illness, questionable), Marshall Rifai (wrist), Anthony Stolarz (upper body), and Christopher Tanev (upper body) as out. For full player status, check the Maple Leafs injury report.
Pittsburgh lists Noel Acciari (upper body), Justin Brazeau (upper body), Filip Hallander (leg), Tanner Howe (undisclosed), Caleb Jones (lower body), Emil Pieniniemi (suspension), Rickard Rakell (hand), and Jack St. Ivany (lower body) as out. See the Penguins injury report for latest updates.

Environment

PPG Paints Arena provides Pittsburgh a home edge. Both teams played Friday, testing stamina. Expect offensive pace and special teams to drive totals.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3

  • Toronto -119 ML → Best Bet. Leafs’ scoring rank and urgency suggest they edge out a close win.
  • Over 6.0 (-108) → Total. Our model projects 7 goals, leaning over given both teams’ offensive strength.

Toronto’s offense should secure the win, while Pittsburgh’s depth keeps it competitive. Expect a high-scoring game trending over the total.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Gain sharper perspectives on this matchup by checking our Best Handicappers, following the Leaderboard, and reviewing premium plays in Buy Picks.

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