Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls Picks and Predictions December 21st 2025

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Match Facts

ItemDetails
MatchupChicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks
DateSunday, December 21, 2025
VenueState Farm Arena (Atlanta)
RecordsBulls 12-15 • Hawks 15-14
Key storylineChicago is trending up with a fuller rotation; Atlanta is trying to stabilize with Trae Young working back from injury and frontcourt availability thin.

Line and Odds

  • Spread: Bulls +4.5 (-108) • Hawks -4.5 (-112)
  • Moneyline: Bulls +146 • Hawks -177
  • Total: 247.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
  • Full board: NBA odds and lines

Atlanta is priced as the better team at home, but the number also reflects volatility: both clubs can swing wildly based on turnovers, pace, and 3-point volume. If Chicago’s ballhandlers are available, the underdog becomes live because they can match Atlanta’s tempo and create enough efficient looks to keep the margin tight late.

Movement Matchup

This market has shown Bulls support on the spread (Atlanta’s margin has grown toward a more competitive number for Chicago), while the total has been pushed upward from the opener. That combination typically signals bettors expecting pace and scoring, but also respecting Chicago’s ability to trade punches and stay within one or two runs of the lead. If the Bulls’ questionable guard(s) get cleared, that “spread support + rising total” profile makes even more sense.

Breakdown Injury Reports

Chicago Bulls

PlayerStatusInjury/Reason
Coby WhiteQuestionableLeft ankle soreness
Ayo DosunmuProbableRight thumb sprain
Jalen SmithProbableLeft quadricep contusion
Noa EssengueOutLeft shoulder surgery
Trentyn FlowersOutG League two-way
Emanuel MillerOutG League two-way
Lachlan OlbrichOutG League two-way

Atlanta Hawks

PlayerStatusInjury/Reason
Kristaps PorzingisOutIllness
Caleb HoustanDoubtfulG League two-way
Eli John NdiayeOutG League two-way
Nikola DjurisicOutG League on assignment
N’Faly DanteOutG League on assignment

Chicago Bulls Recent performance

Chicago’s recent turnaround has looked like a roster issue more than a scheme issue: when the rotation is close to whole, the Bulls can keep multiple playmakers on the floor, push after misses, and generate early-clock threes without forcing the half-court. The Giddey/White/Vucevic blend is dangerous because the Bulls don’t need isolation to create advantages—one paint touch can turn into a kickout, a swing-swing, and a clean catch-and-shoot.

Defensively, the Bulls’ best version shows up when their perimeter group can contain without constant help. If they can stay attached to shooters and keep Atlanta from living at the line, they’re built to hang around even if the Hawks win the game.

For team context and roster profiles, the quickest reference point is the NBA teams hub.

Atlanta Hawks Recent performance

Atlanta’s challenge is consistency. The Hawks can look elite when their decision-making is sharp—quick hit-aheads, early drag screens, and decisive cuts that turn the defense’s first mistake into a layup or corner three. They can also spiral when possessions get sticky, the ball stops, and turnovers fuel opponent runs.

Trae Young’s return changes everything structurally, even if he’s not at full minutes. His presence upgrades shot quality for everyone else: the first defender is occupied, the second defender is stressed, and Atlanta’s role players get cleaner looks. The question for this matchup is whether Atlanta can build a lead during Trae’s bursts and then survive the non-Trae minutes without giving it all back.

This matchup projects as a pace game. Chicago is comfortable running, and Atlanta is at its best when it turns stops into instant offense. That can inflate totals, but it also creates spread opportunities for underdogs because scoring swings shorten the “distance” between teams—one 90-second run can flip a 9-point gap into a 1-point game.

The other swing factor is 3-point math. Chicago can generate volume threes through drive-and-kick, while Atlanta’s ceiling rises when their secondary creators are decisive and don’t settle. If both teams get into early-clock threes, the total is in play; if one side gets sloppy and gifts transition points, the spread can get weird fast.

If you want the broader framework for this type of handicap, use the NBA betting guide as the reference for pace, shot profile, and injury-impact checkpoints.

Best Bets and Prediction

Best bet: Bulls +4.5 (-108)

Why it’s the best bet: Atlanta’s ceiling is higher at home, but the current conditions point to a tighter game than the moneyline implies. Chicago’s improved health and deeper ballhandling give them a stable floor—they can score enough to avoid long droughts, and they’re capable of winning the non-star minutes if Atlanta’s rotations thin out again. Even if the Hawks control the game in stretches, Chicago has the type of offense that can erase small deficits quickly.

Prediction: Hawks 127, Bulls 124

For additional angles and side/total consensus, check today’s NBA picks.

Handicapper section

Treat this one like a late-news game. If Coby White is cleared, Chicago’s spacing and shot creation improve, and the +points become even more attractive. If he sits, the Bulls can still compete, but you should expect more possessions that rely on Giddey to carry usage and more strain on their half-court efficiency.

Live betting matters here. If Atlanta jumps out early, the Bulls are still a live in-game dog because they can score in bunches and force the Hawks into rushed decisions. If Chicago starts hot from three, be cautious chasing the over at a worse number—this game can also swing into a whistle-heavy, clock-stopping fourth quarter where spreads become the better angle than totals.