New York Islanders vs New York Rangers Picks and Predictions December 27th 2025

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The rivalry renews Saturday in Elmont as both teams return from the holiday break. The last time the Rangers visited UBS Arena, their fans filled the building during a 9-2 rout that pushed the Islanders toward a difficult offseason. Much has changed since then. The Islanders sit third in the Metropolitan Division and continue progressing despite injuries that shaped their early season.

New York earned a gritty 2-1 win over New Jersey on Tuesday. Adam Pelech scored with 1:15 left, another example of their resourceful play. Their lineup leaned heavily on structure through a stretch without Kyle Palmieri, Alexander Romanov and Bo Horvat. Horvat and Ilya Sorokin are expected to return Saturday, lifting their scoring depth and stability in goal.

The Rangers head in with confidence after a 7-3 comeback win in Washington. Their five-goal third period highlighted the offensive push they have been searching for all month. Mike Sullivan’s group still sits tied for the final wild-card spot despite scoring only 104 goals, second fewest in the East. Their roster overhaul continued through the offseason. They expect Adam Fox to return after a 12-game absence, giving their blue line a major boost.

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Line Movement and Odds

Rangers -120, Islanders +100
Total: 5.5 (over -110, under -110)

Market sentiment opened toward the Rangers due to expected returns and their offensive spike Tuesday.

Check updated numbers on the NHL odds page.

Matchup Breakdown

Rangers overview

The Rangers needed a breakout, and Tuesday delivered one. Their five-goal third period against Washington showcased pace, activation from depth and renewed finishing. Sullivan’s emphasis on layered offense showed through improved passing sequences and quicker entries. Adam Fox’s return strengthens their transition game and supports their defensive structure.

Their challenge remains scoring consistency. J.T. Miller’s injury removes a key contributor. Their forward group depends on opportunistic finishing and strong special-teams play. New York’s ceiling rises when they dictate pace early and support their defense with clean exits.

Their approach must counter the Islanders’ cycles and defensive layers. Early puck movement and strong neutral-zone control determine their effectiveness.

Islanders overview

The Islanders continue producing results despite roster hits. They sit 8-6-2 since losing Romanov and later Palmieri. Their scoring has dipped to three goals or fewer in 13 of their last 16, but their defensive structure and compete level hold them steady. Their young group, shaped by Mathieu Darche’s front-office shift, brings renewed energy. Matthew Schaefer and Emil Heineman add speed and finishing.

Horvat’s return provides the scoring punch they lacked. Sorokin’s return stabilizes the crease and supports their heavy defensive workload. Their 2-1 win Tuesday reflected their ability to manage tight games and maintain identity under pressure.

Their path relies on strong zone time, winning board battles and limiting odd-man rushes. When they manage pace, they impose their rhythm on opponents.

Injuries

Rangers

  • Adam Fox — Expected to return, upper body
  • J.T. Miller — Out, upper body

Full roster outlook on the New York Rangers page.

Islanders

  • Kyle Palmieri — Out, knee
  • Alexander Romanov — Out, shoulder
  • Bo Horvat — Expected to return, ankle
  • Ilya Sorokin — Expected to return, minor issue

Team overview available on the New York Islanders page.

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Betting Trends

  • Rangers improving off their best offensive period in weeks
  • Rangers rank near the bottom of the East in goals scored
  • Islanders structured but low scoring in recent games
  • Islanders stronger at home since Horvat’s arrival
  • Both teams relying heavily on returning players for stability

Best Bets and Prediction

The Islanders gain key pieces back and match up well defensively against a Rangers team still searching for sustainable scoring. New York’s improved offense carries weight, but the Islanders’ structure and home form provide an edge in a tight rivalry spot.

Projected score: Islanders 3, Rangers 2
Best Bet: Islanders +100
Total Lean: Under 5.5

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