Washington-wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions December 28th 2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Picks and Predictions – December 28

The Memphis Grizzlies head to D.C. for a Sunday night matchup against the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET. Memphis (11-19) is trying to salvage momentum from a rocky start, while Washington (6-23) sits near the bottom of the East and continues its rebuild. With both teams struggling ATS, this matchup offers potential edges in totals and situational angles rather than picking a side blindly.

Memphis is favored by 6.5 points on the road, and the total sits high at 238.5 — a number driven more by Washington’s chaotic pace than efficient scoring. This isn’t a marquee game, but that’s exactly where sharp bettors can find soft lines.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Odds

These are the current betting lines for Grizzlies vs Wizards — keep checking the latest NBA odds for potential movement closer to tipoff.

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Memphis Grizzlies	-269	-6.5 (-113)	U 238.5 (-111)
Washington Wizards	+217	+6.5 (-107)	O 238.5 (-111)

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Form

Memphis continues to tread water without Ja Morant, but the recent return of key rotation players has given them a modest boost. They’ve gone 4-6 SU over their last 10, but just 3-7 ATS in that stretch. Scoring remains inconsistent, with the team relying heavily on Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. to carry the load.

They’ve been stingier defensively than their record suggests — top 10 in opponent eFG% — but struggle to generate easy buckets. Memphis plays slow (bottom 5 in pace), which naturally leans Under unless the game script goes off-script. If they control the tempo, it drags Washington into inefficient halfcourt sets.

Rebounding is a mixed bag. They’re respectable on the defensive glass but get very little in second-chance points. Back-to-back losses heading into this one raise concerns about confidence, but this is a softer opponent. Availability matters here, so monitor the Memphis Grizzlies injury report before tipoff.

For full numbers and past results, visit the Memphis Grizzlies stats and results.

Washington Wizards Betting Form

Washington is in full rebuild mode and it shows — 6-23 overall, 1-7 in their last 8, and bleeding points nightly. Offensively, they rank near the bottom in efficiency despite playing one of the fastest tempos in the league. That’s created inflated totals, often not matched by actual output.

Defensively, it’s just bad — 30th in opponent points per game, 29th in rebounding rate, and a bottom-5 team at defending both the rim and the arc. The one thing they do? Push pace. But pushing pace without execution is why they’ve gone 12-17 O/U despite their breakneck style.

Kyle Kuzma and Jordan Poole remain the usage leaders, but their efficiency is wildly inconsistent. If they don’t get hot, Washington has no real path to covering — even at home, where they’re just 2-11 SU. Watch the Washington Wizards injury report, especially for updates on Tyus Jones or Deni Avdija.

For a wider lens, check the Washington Wizards schedule and stats.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Matchup Breakdown

This is a pace clash — Washington plays fast but inefficiently, while Memphis grinds things down and leans on defense. The Grizzlies should be able to limit easy transition points and force the Wizards into tough halfcourt looks.

Some matchup notes:

• Memphis ranks top 10 in rim protection — key against a Wizards team that scores 40% of its points in the paint.
• Washington is bottom 5 in defending pick-and-roll ball handlers — a path for Bane to feast.
• Turnover edge leans Memphis — more disciplined and force more mistakes.
• Washington plays no defense without fouling, which could inflate Memphis’ FT rate.

The only edge for Washington? If they get hot from deep. But they’re 25th in 3-point shooting, so that’s asking a lot.

From a rest standpoint, Memphis is on regular rest, while Washington is in a 3-in-4 stretch with travel — not ideal when you’re already short on depth. These situational edges can matter more than records in games like this. Brush up with this NBA betting guide if you want to dig into more situational betting angles.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Predictions and Best Bets

At first glance, -6.5 might feel steep for a 11-19 team on the road. But the gap in structure, defense, and consistency between these two is real. If Memphis plays even average offensively, they should cover this spread — Washington is that disjointed right now.

The total at 238.5 feels high unless you trust both sides to score at pace. Memphis games go Under more often than not due to their tempo, and if they control this one, Washington could struggle to reach 110. The only way this hits Over is a fluky Kuzma/Poole heater or garbage-time chaos.

Alternate angles? Look to Memphis team total Over if it’s in the 121–123 range — they’ll score if Washington doesn’t contest anything. Also like derivative markets on Desmond Bane points or threes against a soft perimeter defense.

Best Bet: Grizzlies -6.5 (-113).

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