Florida Gators vs Dartmouth Big Green Picks and Predictions December 29th 2025

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Florida Gators vs Dartmouth Big Green Picks and Predictions – December 29, 2025

Florida closes out its non-conference schedule Thursday night as the Gators host Ivy League underdog Dartmouth at Exactech Arena. Tipoff is set for 7:30 PM ET. Florida enters the matchup at 9–3, boasting one of the most aggressive transition attacks in the country. Dartmouth, at 4–8, plays with patience and shoots well from deep but lacks size and depth.

Books opened with Florida as a -22.5 favorite and the total around 154.5. The Gators are averaging nearly 86 PPG and rank top 20 in adjusted tempo, while Dartmouth prefers slower halfcourt sets and relies heavily on perimeter shooting. If Florida imposes pace, this could get one-sided quickly.

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Florida Gators vs Dartmouth Big Green Odds

These are the current odds — for real-time movement, check the latest college basketball odds leading up to tipoff.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Florida Gators-4500-22.5 (-110)U 154.5 (-110)
Dartmouth Big Green+1400+22.5 (-110)O 154.5 (-110)

Florida Gators Betting Form

Florida plays fast, crashes the glass, and puts up points in bunches. Walter Clayton Jr. leads the backcourt with confidence, while their front line dominates second-chance opportunities. The Gators are pulling down over 15 offensive rebounds per game — top 5 nationally — and use those extra chances to stretch margins quickly.

They’ve covered three of their last four games at home and tend to bury inferior opponents early. Defensively, they can get a bit careless on the perimeter, but against teams like Dartmouth that lack physicality inside, Florida’s athleticism usually wins out.

You can track recent trends via the Florida stats and results, and always double-check for lineup news on the Florida injury report.

Dartmouth Big Green Betting Form

Dartmouth is a well-coached team that shoots the three at a respectable clip (35.2%), but they struggle on the glass and don’t get to the free-throw line often. Their best shot here is slowing the game down, hitting enough from deep, and hoping Florida cools off or gets loose defensively.

They’ve played a handful of top-100 opponents close — covering twice as double-digit dogs — but they’ve also lost by 30+ when overwhelmed physically. The key here is shot-making, especially early. If they fall behind and start forcing bad looks, Florida’s transition game will blow it wide open.

View their full form on the Dartmouth schedule and stats, and always monitor late updates on the Dartmouth injury report.

Florida Gators vs Dartmouth Big Green Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is all about pace and rebounding. Florida ranks top 10 in possessions per game and second in offensive rebounding rate. Dartmouth ranks outside the top 200 in both categories. That gap is the game.

Matchup angles to consider:

  • Florida is +12.8 in rebound margin.
  • Dartmouth allows opponents to shoot 55% inside the arc.
  • The Gators average 26 free-throw attempts at home.
  • Dartmouth has committed 18+ turnovers in 3 of its last 4 games.

Even if Dartmouth hits a few threes early, the physical toll usually shows in the second half. Florida’s second unit plays fast and continues scoring — not a great formula for a backdoor cover.

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Florida Gators vs Dartmouth Big Green Predictions and Best Bets

Florida is the clear side here. They’re better in every major metric, play at home, and have a huge edge on the glass. Dartmouth may hang around for a stretch if they shoot well from deep, but the Gators’ size and tempo usually win out over 40 minutes.

The total is close to fair. Florida should do most of the scoring here, but if Dartmouth doesn’t reach 65, the Over gets dicey. That said, this isn’t a game to overthink — the spread is where the value is.

Best Bet: Florida -22.5 (-110).

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