Vanderbilt Commodores vs New Haven Chargers Picks and Predictions December 29th 2025

Vanderbilt Commodores vs New Haven Chargers Picks and Predictions – December 29, 2025

Vanderbilt puts its undefeated season on the line Monday night as the Commodores host DII opponent New Haven at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville. Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET, and while this matchup won’t impact Vanderbilt’s SEC standing, it could serve as a final tune-up before conference play. The Commodores are 12–0 and ranked No. 11 nationally. New Haven enters 5–7, looking overmatched on paper but hoping to avoid a complete blowout.

Vanderbilt has covered in over half its games this season and leads the nation in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, New Haven has struggled to score against even mid-tier defenses. The spread is massive — north of 33 points — so the betting angle is less about who wins and more about whether Vandy pushes the gas or cruises late.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs New Haven Chargers Odds

These are the current betting lines — always monitor the latest college basketball odds as they may shift closer to tipoff.

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Vanderbilt	-5000	-34.5 (-110)	U 158.5 (-110)
New Haven	+1800	+34.5 (-110)	O 158.5 (-110)

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Form

Vanderbilt’s offense has been dominant. They’re averaging 94.1 PPG and rank eighth nationally in offensive efficiency. Guards Duke Miles and Jalen Washington lead a unit that pushes tempo, shares the ball, and shoots it well from deep and midrange. This isn’t just a high-scoring team — they’re methodical, physical, and deep.

The question is motivation. Vanderbilt has covered -30 or more in several games this season, but they’ve also let up late when the bench clears. That’s the risk here. The starters could build a 40-point lead, only for the reserves to bleed it back under the number.

To check rotation news or any rest situations, visit the Vanderbilt stats and results and keep an eye on the Vanderbilt injury report.

New Haven Chargers Betting Form

New Haven isn’t built to hang with high-majors. They rank near the bottom of DII in adjusted offensive efficiency and tend to play slower, grinding possessions out and trying to limit damage. That works in the NE10, not against a team like Vandy that will push pace and attack the rim without mercy.

The Chargers have failed to score 60 in five of their last seven games, and that’s the key to the total here. If they can’t crack 60, Vanderbilt would need to get near 100 again to push this Over. That’s not impossible, but not guaranteed either — especially if Vandy rotates early and doesn’t run up the margin.

Check the New Haven schedule and stats and review any lineup concerns on the New Haven injury report before making a play.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs New Haven Chargers Matchup Breakdown

This game is all about pace and depth. Vanderbilt wants to run. New Haven doesn’t have the guards or transition defense to keep up. Unless Vandy completely loses interest mid-game, this could spiral early.

Here are the key matchup angles:

• Vanderbilt has the #1 rebounding margin in games vs non-majors.
• New Haven ranks bottom 10 in turnover rate and struggles with press/traps.
• Vandy’s bench scores over 30 PPG — they won’t ease off if the starters sit.
• New Haven has covered just once in the last five games when underdogs by 20+.

Free throws could be a factor too. If Vandy builds a lead and New Haven resorts to fouling late to extend possessions, it could lean Over. But if New Haven simply plays out the clock, the Under becomes more attractive.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs New Haven Chargers Predictions and Best Bets

This is a blowout matchup — no need to sugarcoat it. Vanderbilt will win, and probably big. But a 34.5-point spread is a lot. The most likely scenario? Vandy covers early, but the bench gives some of it back late. That makes the full-game spread dicey.

Still, New Haven’s lack of scoring gives the total value. Even if Vanderbilt hits 90+, it’s hard to see the Chargers getting enough to push it Over. If Vandy plays defense for 40 minutes — and they usually do — New Haven might struggle to hit 55.

Best Bet: Under 158.5 (-110).

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