Stony Brook Seawolves vs William & Mary Tribe Picks and Predictions – December 31, 2025

Stony Brook heads south to face William & Mary in a Colonial Athletic Association battle at Kaplan Arena in Williamsburg, VA. Tipoff is set for 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, December 31, 2025. The Seawolves enter at 4–9 overall, on a four-game losing streak and struggling to stay competitive away from home. William & Mary sits at 8–5, having won three of their last four and looking to start conference play with momentum.

The Tribe opened as -10.5 favorites (-114), while Stony Brook gets +10.5 (-110). The moneyline shows a wide gap: William & Mary -662 vs. Stony Brook +410. The total is a high 155.5, which reflects the potential pace and perimeter shooting in this matchup.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs William & Mary Tribe Odds

These are the current betting lines. Bettors should monitor for shifts using the latest college basketball odds, especially with potential lineup or tempo developments.

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Stony Brook	+410	+10.5 (-110)	O 155.5 (-110)
William & Mary	-662	-10.5 (-114)	U 155.5 (-110)

Stony Brook Seawolves Betting Form

Stony Brook has been in a tailspin. They’ve dropped four in a row, including double-digit losses where defensive lapses have been the main issue. They rank outside the top 250 in adjusted defensive efficiency and struggle mightily to defend the three-point line and the rim. Their foul rate is high, and they don’t rebound well enough to cover those gaps.

Offensively, they rely heavily on guard play but don’t get consistent penetration or shooting. They rank near the bottom nationally in effective field goal percentage and free-throw rate. In short, when they aren’t getting turnovers or transition buckets, they stall. Add in their slow tempo, and this is a team that needs the game to stay ugly to hang around.

Check the Stony Brook stats and results for more insights and keep an eye on the Stony Brook injury report before game time.

William & Mary Tribe Betting Form

William & Mary has been reliable at home, covering in five of their last six in Kaplan Arena. They shoot a high volume of threes, rank well in free-throw rate, and move the ball effectively against weaker defenses. The Tribe aren’t elite athletically, but their spacing and execution usually give them a solid floor — especially against bad help-side defenses like Stony Brook’s.

Defensively, the Tribe aren’t imposing, but they commit fewer fouls and force opponents into longer possessions. Their biggest issue is defensive rebounding, but that’s not a concern here since Stony Brook doesn’t punish teams inside. What gives William & Mary value as a favorite is their execution in late-game scenarios — they rarely turn it over, and they knock down free throws.

You can view the William & Mary schedule and stats and check any lineup updates on the William & Mary injury report.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs William & Mary Tribe Matchup Breakdown

This matchup leans toward William & Mary dictating the pace. Stony Brook will try to slow things down, but they don’t have the half-court defense to consistently get stops. The Tribe’s heavy three-point volume and ability to create trips to the line are major edges here.

Key matchup notes:
William & Mary shoots nearly 45% of its shots from three — Stony Brook allows 37% from deep
Stony Brook turns the ball over at a 19% clip, while William & Mary plays clean
Free-throw rate favors the Tribe, who get to the line more and convert
Neither team rebounds well, but Stony Brook is worse, especially on the defensive glass

Tempo might fluctuate depending on who starts stronger, but unless Stony Brook controls the first half, this could get away from them fast.

If you want to sharpen your edge in breakdowns like this, explore our college basketball betting guide for tips on tempo, shot profile, and matchup modeling.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs William & Mary Tribe Predictions and Best Bets

Laying double digits isn’t always comfortable in conference play, but William & Mary has earned trust at home. They shoot well, control late-game situations, and have the matchup advantage in most key areas. Stony Brook has shown little ability to compete on the road or hold leads even when they start well. The Tribe should be able to stretch this one out late.

As for the total, 155.5 feels a touch high if Stony Brook succeeds in dragging the tempo. But if the Tribe hit shots early and force the Seawolves to chase, this could spiral upward. Slight lean to the Under based on pace expectations, but not enough edge to bet it confidently.

Best Bet: William & Mary -10.5 (-114)

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