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Hofstra vs Stony Brook Picks and Predictions – Thursday January 15, 2026
Hofstra heads to Stony Brook Arena on Thursday night for a Coastal Athletic Association matchup with real betting interest because the splits don’t line up cleanly. The Pride are 13-4 and priced like the better team, but they are doing this on the road against a Stony Brook group that has been far more competitive at home than away.
Stony Brook comes in 9-9 with a strong 7-2 mark in this building, and that’s why laying 7.5 with Hofstra isn’t just a “better record” auto-bet. The market is still asking Hofstra to win and create separation, while the total sits at 135.5 in a game where one team wants to score efficiently and the other wants to keep enough pace to get to their three-point volume.
Hofstra vs Stony Brook Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep monitoring the latest college basketball odds leading into tip in case the spread or total gets re-priced.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra | -371 | -7.5 (-113) | 135.5 |
| Stony Brook | +278 | +7.5 (-110) | 135.5 |
Hofstra Betting Form
Hofstra’s offense is built to cover numbers like this because it can score in the half court without needing transition to bail it out. They’re averaging 77.1 points per game, shooting 36.7% from three, and they rebound well enough to keep possessions alive when the first look isn’t clean. That profile usually travels.
The other angle is that Hofstra doesn’t need a perfect shooting night to cover 7.5 if it controls the glass and avoids sloppy live-ball turnovers. When the Pride defend without fouling and keep their floor balanced, they force opponents to score against a set defense. That’s where a favorite can slowly grind a lead from 4 to 10 without needing a full-on run.
If you want to track how Hofstra has been getting there and what the margins look like game to game, start with Hofstra stats and results.
Stony Brook Betting Form
Stony Brook’s case is pretty simple: home form plus shot-making. The Seawolves are 7-2 at home, and they’ve shown they can generate enough offense when their guards are creating and the threes are falling. They average 8.8 made threes per game, and that alone is why taking +7.5 is always live if the tempo doesn’t get choked off.
The concern for Stony Brook backers is that this number implies they’ll keep their scoring close to their better nights. They’re a much different team away from home, and even at home they can drift into stretches where the offense becomes one-and-done. Against a favorite that rebounds and shoots efficiently, those empty possessions turn into the kind of slow bleed that makes a home dog cover feel good for 30 minutes, then bad late.
For a full look at their recent results and how they’ve performed at home, check the Stony Brook schedule and stats.
Hofstra vs Stony Brook Matchup Breakdown
The first question is pace control. Hofstra doesn’t have to sprint, but it does need clean possessions. If the Pride are getting quality looks early in the clock without turning it over, they can keep their efficiency high and make Stony Brook play from behind. That’s a tough spot for a dog that relies on threes because trailing often forces quicker, lower-quality attempts.
The second lever is shot profile. Hofstra’s ability to score without living on one type of shot matters here because Stony Brook’s path is more swingy. If Stony Brook is making threes at a normal clip, the cover is very realistic. If they’re slightly off, the points become harder to find because you’re asking them to consistently win in the midrange or at the line against a team that’s comfortable defending in the half court.
Rebounding is where I think the favorite creates separation. Hofstra’s numbers on the glass suggest it can win the “extra possessions” battle, and that is how a road favorite covers without needing to shoot the lights out. If Stony Brook can keep it close on the boards and avoid foul trouble, +7.5 becomes much stronger.
On the total, 135.5 is in that range where one solid shooting team can drag the game over even if the other side is only average. The over is most alive if Stony Brook hits enough threes to prevent Hofstra from going into late-game clock-drain mode.
Hofstra vs Stony Brook Predictions and Best Bets
My primary lean is Hofstra -7.5. The Pride have the cleaner offensive profile, and they’ve shown they can win away from home. Against a Stony Brook team that’s been inconsistent game to game, I’d rather back the side that can score efficiently without needing a specific script.
I also like Hofstra in this matchup because the Seawolves’ “hang around” path depends on shot-making. That can absolutely happen, especially at home, but it’s not the kind of edge I want to pay for when I’m choosing between laying 7.5 and taking 7.5. If the threes are even slightly below average, Hofstra can control the game through rebounds and steady half-court scoring.
For the total, I lean over 135.5, but it’s the secondary angle. Hofstra can do its part, and Stony Brook’s threes give them a real scoring ceiling. The risk is that if Stony Brook struggles early, Hofstra can turn the second half into a pace-control game that keeps the total from running away.
Best Bet: Hofstra -7.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re comparing sides across the slate, the college basketball picks page is the quickest way to see where the market and the pick splits are landing. I also like using the college basketball previews hub to keep matchup context consistent when you’re betting multiple games in one night.
For longer-term accountability, the best handicappers page is where you start, and the handicapper leaderboard is where you check who’s actually delivering right now. If you want premium selections, you can browse options through Buy Picks.
For research workflows, the NCAAB teams hub is useful when you’re bouncing between matchups, and the main blog is good for broader betting angles beyond a single game. If you’re tightening fundamentals, the Expert Betting Guide is a strong refresher. And if you’re evaluating where to play or who to follow, you can compare options through sportsbook reviews and the handicappers sites reviews.
