Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Little Rock Trojans Picks and Predictions – January 17, 2026

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Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Little Rock Trojans Picks and Predictions – January 17, 2026

Saturday’s Ohio Valley Conference matchup features a heavy home favorite as the Little Rock Trojans host the Western Illinois Leathernecks at Jack Stephens Center. Tip-off is set for January 17, 2026, in a game where the Trojans aim to maintain their stronghold in the standings while the Leathernecks fight to stay competitive on the road.

Little Rock enters laying -10.5 (-105), with a steep -535 moneyline. Western Illinois is priced at +10.5 (-115) and +395 straight up. The total is set at 135.5, and given the contrasting playstyles, both side and total markets deserve a closer look.

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Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Little Rock Trojans Odds

Lines can move quickly, so it’s smart to always check for updated college basketball odds and line moves here.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Western Illinois+395+10.5 (-115)O 135.5
Little Rock-535-10.5 (-105)U 135.5

Western Illinois Leathernecks Betting Form

Western Illinois has had a turbulent stretch heading into this one. Offensively, they’re struggling to find rhythm, averaging under 65 points in their last three games. Ball security is a recurring issue, and a lack of consistent guard play has made road wins hard to come by.

Defensively, the Leathernecks aren’t completely outclassed — they contest shots and can rebound when focused. But their pace drags, and when they fall behind early, it’s tough for them to generate the tempo needed to claw back. Their bench is shallow, and any foul trouble typically exposes them by the second half.

To dig deeper into team performance, check the full Western Illinois Leathernecks stats and results.
Stay current with player availability on the Western Illinois injury report.

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Little Rock Trojans Betting Form

Little Rock has been dominant at home this season, especially against lower-tier conference opponents. Their offense is efficient, led by balanced scoring and a physical frontcourt that controls the paint. They’re averaging close to 75 points per game at home, and their free-throw rate gives them an edge late in games.

The Trojans’ defense forces turnovers and limits clean looks from three, which should match up well against a Western Illinois team that already struggles to create. With strong rebounding numbers and better bench production, Little Rock can wear teams down over 40 minutes.

Review recent trends and numbers at the Little Rock Trojans schedule and stats.
Check status updates and injuries on the Little Rock injury report.

Western Illinois vs Little Rock Matchup Breakdown

This is a classic pace vs power spot. Western Illinois wants to keep the game slow, limit possessions, and turn it into a defensive grind. Little Rock will look to push in transition, create early offense, and establish a lead quickly.

Shot profile heavily favors Little Rock — they get better looks, draw more fouls, and rebound more effectively on both ends. Western Illinois has the worst FT rate in the conference and doesn’t generate turnovers, which could spell trouble against a physical, downhill team like the Trojans.

Depth, travel, and situational angles all lean toward the home side. If Little Rock gets out to an early lead, Western Illinois lacks the scoring burst or depth to close the gap.

For more matchup strategies and tips, check out this sports betting strategy guide for basketball bettors.

Western Illinois vs Little Rock Predictions and Best Bets

This number is wide, but it reflects the clear gap between these two programs. Little Rock is elite at home in conference play, and they’ve consistently covered spreads against weaker teams. Western Illinois, on the other hand, has yet to show they can hang in games when trailing early — especially on the road.

The total sits at 135.5, which is tight considering Western Illinois’ pace. Still, if Little Rock pushes tempo and builds an early lead, the second half could open up. That said, the best value remains with the side.

Little Rock’s size, depth, and FT shooting all favor them pulling away late. Expect a methodical cover in the final 10 minutes.

Best Bet: Little Rock -10.5 (-105)

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