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The Philadelphia Flyers return to Xfinity Mobile Arena tonight to host the Ottawa Senators in what serves as a final push before the three-week Olympic break. Philadelphia currently sits at 25-20-10, struggling to find consistency after a brutal stretch where they dropped 11 of 13 games. However, a recent 4-2 win over Washington has provided a spark of hope. The Flyers are trying to string together consecutive wins for the first time in weeks, but they face an Ottawa team that has historically had their number this season. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with the Senators opening as -133 road favorites.
Ottawa arrives in Philadelphia with a 27-22-7 record and a bit of a chip on their shoulder. While their four-game winning streak was snapped Tuesday in Carolina, the Senators actually dominated much of that game, outshooting the Hurricanes and losing primarily due to a late line-change blunder. Ottawa has already beaten the Flyers twice this season, including an overtime thriller in this building back in November. With the total set at 6.0, the market expects a fairly balanced game, but the Senators’ offensive metrics suggest they might have more firepower than the price indicates.
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Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators Odds
These lines reflect a competitive matchup where the road team is getting the respect of the oddsmakers. It is always a smart move to check the latest NHL odds before locking in your bets, as the Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators odds can move if a goaltender confirmation deviates from expectations.
| Team | Moneyline | Puck Line | Total |
| Philadelphia Flyers | +113 | +1.5 (-215) | U 6.0 (-114) |
| Ottawa Senators | -133 | -1.5 (+170) | O 6.0 (-107) |
Philadelphia Flyers Betting Form
Philadelphia is a difficult team to pin down right now. They looked energized in their win over the Capitals, with Dan Vladar stopping 26 of 28 shots and Jamie Drysdale finally looking like the puck-moving threat the Flyers traded for. However, one game doesn’t erase a month of poor habits. The Flyers’ offense has been hit-or-miss, and while Travis Konecny remains a constant threat with 22 goals, the secondary scoring has been inconsistent. Under Rick Tocchet, the team has maintained a physical identity, ranking ninth in hits, but they often struggle when games turn into a track meet against faster teams like Ottawa.
Goaltending is the primary concern heading into tonight. While Vladar has been solid, allowing two goals or fewer in six of his last nine, the Philadelphia Flyers injury report lists Samuel Ersson as questionable with a lower-body injury. If Vladar is forced to carry the load without a reliable backup, any signs of fatigue could be disastrous against a Senators team that shoots from everywhere. You can track the latest lineup shifts and defensive pairings on the Philadelphia Flyers schedule and stats page to see if they can maintain the “jump” they showed on Tuesday.
Ottawa Senators Betting Form
Ottawa has transformed into a high-octane offensive unit that bettors need to take seriously. They currently rank third in the NHL in assists and fourth in power-play goals, led by the elite production of Tim Stützle, who has already amassed 60 points this season. The Senators play a heavy, physical game that wears opponents down, ranking fourth in hits league-wide. Even in their recent loss to Carolina, they looked like the better team for long stretches, and that kind of underlying performance often signals a bounce-back win is coming. Perhaps most importantly, Linus Ullmark is expected to return to the crease tonight, and he has already accounted for both wins against Philadelphia this year.
The betting trends for Ottawa are encouraging, especially for those looking at the total. They have hit the Over in over 59% of their games this season, driven by a top-10 scoring offense and a defense that can occasionally be vulnerable to counterattacks. The loss of David Perron to a hernia hurts their veteran depth, but the Ottawa Senators injury report is otherwise clean enough to support their high-pressure style. For a deeper look at their road performance and situational trends, the Ottawa Senators stats and results page provides essential data.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators Matchup Breakdown
This game will likely be decided on the power play. Ottawa’s man-advantage is lethal, and Philadelphia’s discipline has been an issue during their recent slide. If the Flyers spend too much time in the box trying to match Ottawa’s physicality, Stützle and Dylan Cozens will pick them apart. On the flip side, the Flyers showed a lot of grit in their win over Washington, blocking 15 shots and playing a much more structured defensive game. If they can keep this at a 5-on-5 grind, they have a chance to frustrate the Senators.
- Ottawa has won both head-to-head meetings this season.
- The Senators are 4-1 straight up in their last five games.
- Philadelphia is winning 61.5% of the time when favored, but they are home dogs tonight.
- Ottawa leads the league in several offensive categories, specifically assists and special teams efficiency.
Pace of play is another factor. Ottawa wants to push the envelope, while Philadelphia typically prefers a lower-scoring, tighter affair. Bettors looking for an edge might want to check out an advanced NHL betting strategies guide to see how home underdogs perform in the final game before a major break. Often, teams “check out” early, but with both squads needing points for a playoff push, the intensity should remain high. For more on the big picture, you can follow Stanley Cup odds predictions to see where these teams stand in the championship hunt.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators Predictions and Best Bets
I am leaning toward the Ottawa Senators in this spot. They have the psychological advantage of being 2-0 against Philadelphia this season and their performance in Carolina suggested they are playing much better than a one-goal loss would indicate. The Flyers’ recent win was a step in the right direction, but Ottawa’s offensive depth is simply superior right now. My model projects a 4-3 victory for the visitors, which makes the -133 moneyline a reasonable price for a team with this much scoring upside.
As for the total, the Over 6.0 at -107 looks like the play of the night. Ottawa’s games are consistently high-scoring, and Philadelphia has started to trend toward the Over as well, hitting it in two of their last three. With the Senators’ power play clicking and the Flyers likely to be aggressive in their final home game for three weeks, we should see plenty of rubber finding the net. If you aren’t sure how to approach these types of totals, our NHL betting guide offers some great tips on identifying value in the O/U market.
Best Bet: Ottawa Senators moneyline (-133).
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