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The “Revolutionary Rivalry” enters its second chapter of the season this Friday night as the George Mason Patriots cross the Potomac to take on the George Washington Revolutionaries. Tip-off is set for 7:00 PM ET at the Charles E. Smith Center in Washington D.C., with a national television audience watching on CBS Sports Network. The Patriots took the first meeting back in January, a gritty 69-64 victory, but the Revolutionaries have since found their footing at home, where they boast a strong 10-4 record.
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Despite George Mason’s superior 21-4 overall record, George Washington enters the contest as a 2.5-point favorite. This line reflects the difficulty of winning at the Smith Center and the offensive firepower of a GW team that averages nearly 84 points per game. With an over/under set at 148.5, bettors are weighing George Mason’s top-tier defensive efficiency against GW’s lightning-fast pace.
George Mason vs George Washington Odds
Conference rivalries often see late line movement based on coaching adjustments from the first meeting. Check the latest college basketball odds to see where the market sits before tip-off.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| George Mason | +121 | +2.5 (-110) | O 148.5 (-110) |
| George Washington | -155 | -2.5 (-113) | U 148.5 (-110) |
George Mason Betting Form
The Patriots are looking to bounce back after a 12-point loss to Richmond that snapped a momentum-building stretch. They are led by Presbyterian transfer Kory Mincy (15.6 PPG) and center Riley Allenspach, who dominated the first matchup against GW with 18 points and 12 rebounds. Tony Skinn’s squad hangs its hat on defense, ranking among the Atlantic 10 leaders in defensive efficiency and field goal percentage defense (.411).
One factor to watch is the health of senior guard Brayden O’Connor, who has been sidelined with a foot injury. For the most up-to-date availability, check the George Mason injury report. The Patriots are efficient on offense (48.1 FG%) and excellent at drawing fouls, ranking 36th nationally in free throws made per game. You can track their season-long trends on the George Mason stats and results page.
George Washington Betting Form
The Revolutionaries are one of the most improved offensive teams in the country, averaging 83.6 points per game—their highest mark since the 1960s. They play a high-variance style that relies on three-point shooting (11.0 makes per game) and a fast tempo (69.6 possessions). Luke Hunger (21 points in his last outing) and Tyrone Marshall Jr. provide a versatile frontcourt, but the team’s heart is its guard play, specifically the shooting of Tre Dinkins and Trey Autry.
However, GW has major injury concerns. Preseason All-A-10 selection Rafael Castro (15.9 PPG, 9.0 RPG) has missed the last four games, leaving a significant void in the paint that Riley Allenspach exploited in their first meeting. Be sure to verify his status on the George Washington injury report before placing any wagers. For more on their home dominance, visit the George Washington schedule and stats page.
George Mason vs George Washington Matchup Breakdown
This game is a classic battle of Pace vs. Space. George Washington wants to turn this into a track meet, utilizing their #41 ranked scoring offense to overwhelm the Patriots. George Mason, conversely, prefers a half-court game (63.0 possessions per game) where they can utilize their #3 ranked A-10 defense to force the Revolutionaries into long, contested jumpers.
- Interior Dominance: If Rafael Castro remains out for GW, George Mason’s Riley Allenspach could have another career night in the post.
- The Perimeter Battle: GW leads the A-10 in three-pointers made; George Mason ranks in the top three in three-point defense. Something has to give.
- Free Throw Factor: Mason’s ability to get to the line (18.3 FTM/game) could neutralize GW’s home-court momentum by slowing the game down and putting the Revs’ thin frontcourt in foul trouble.
- Coaching Connection: GW head coach Chris Caputo is a former George Mason assistant, adding an extra layer of tactical familiarity to this rivalry.
Using advanced NCAAB betting strategies can help identify if the “Blackout” crowd at the Smith Center is enough to overcome the statistical advantages George Mason holds in defensive metrics and rebounding.
George Mason vs George Washington Predictions and Best Bets
While GW is favored, the potential absence of Rafael Castro is a massive blow to their rebounding and interior defense. George Mason won the first meeting by 5 points even when GW was at full strength. The Patriots’ ability to defend the three-point line effectively (their specialty) makes them a difficult matchup for a GW team that relies so heavily on the long ball.
Our model projects a close, defensive battle where George Mason’s slower pace dictates the flow. While the total of 148.5 is tempting given GW’s high average, rivalry games with high stakes often turn into “rock fights” in the second half. We like the Patriots to keep this within a single possession or win outright.
Best Bet: George Mason +2.5 (-110) and Under 148.5.
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