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San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Picks and Predictions February 19, 2026

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The Phoenix Suns travel to the Moody Center on Thursday night to face the San Antonio Spurs in a high stakes Western Conference battle. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 PM and the game will be broadcast locally on AZFa. Phoenix currently holds a 32-23 record and sits in seventh place in the West, but they are looking to find their footing after a lopsided 136-109 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Suns will be playing shorthanded as they are missing a key piece of their defensive identity for this road trip.

San Antonio is arguably the hottest team in the league right now. They carry a 38-16 record and sit second in the conference standings. The Spurs are currently on a six game winning streak and recently showed their resilience by erasing a 16 point deficit to beat the Warriors 126-113. With the home crowd behind them and their stars playing at an elite level, the Spurs enter this matchup as 7.5 point favorites.

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Odds

The current market shows San Antonio as a significant home favorite, though bettors should keep an eye on the latest NBA odds to see if the line moves as we get closer to tipoff.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Phoenix SunsN/A+7.5 (-110)U 227.5 (-110)
San Antonio SpursN/A-7.5 (-112)O 227.5 (-110)
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Phoenix Suns Betting Form

The Suns are in a bit of a difficult spot after their recent blowout loss. Perhaps the biggest story for Phoenix is the absence of Dillon Brooks, who is serving a suspension after picking up his 16th technical foul. Brooks led the team with 23 points in their last outing, and his perimeter defense is something they will desperately miss against a quick Spurs backcourt. You can track their historical performance and recent trends on the Phoenix Suns stats and results page.

On a more positive note, Grayson Allen is expected back in the rotation, which gives head coach Jordan Ott another reliable shooter to space the floor for Devin Booker. Phoenix still possesses a top five defense that allows only 111.8 points per game, and they are elite at defending the three point line. They also rank second in the NBA in blocks per game. I think their ability to protect the rim will be tested early and often in this one. It is crucial to check the Phoenix Suns injury report for any last minute changes to the bench rotation.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Form

The Spurs are firing on all cylinders under Mitch Johnson. Their offense is a top ten unit that averages 118.1 points per game and they play with a level of unselfishness that is hard to find. In their recent comeback win over Golden State, the bench provided a massive 57 points, which highlights just how deep this roster actually is. For a full look at their season long numbers, visit the San Antonio Spurs schedule and stats section.

De’Aaron Fox has been the engine for this team lately, and Victor Wembanyama remains a matchup nightmare for anyone in the league, recently coming off a 40 point performance. While their three point shooting has been a bit inconsistent since the start of the year, their 47.7% field goal percentage shows they are getting high quality looks at the rim. Monitoring the San Antonio Spurs injury report is always a good idea, though the core of the team seems healthy and ready for this primetime matchup.

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Breakdown

This game will likely be decided in the paint. Phoenix is one of the best shot blocking teams in the league, but they have never faced a challenge quite like Wembanyama. The Suns need to use their physical interior defense to keep him away from the basket, though that is easier said than done. Without Brooks to harass De’Aaron Fox on the perimeter, I think the Suns might have to rely more on their zone looks to keep the Spurs from living in the lane.

San Antonio has shown they can win in different ways. They have a 14-7 record since January 1st despite some shooting slumps, which tells me their defense is doing the heavy lifting. Both of these teams rank in the top seven for points allowed per game, so points might be harder to come by than the 227.5 total suggests. For bettors who want to dive deeper into these defensive metrics, checking out a comprehensive NBA betting guide can provide more context on how these styles clash.

  • Phoenix ranks 5th in the league in points allowed (111.8).
  • San Antonio ranks 7th in both offensive and defensive scoring.
  • The Suns are 2nd in the NBA in blocked shots per game.
  • The Spurs bench recently contributed 57 points in a single game.

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Predictions and Best Bets

While the Spurs are on a tear, 7.5 points is a lot to give a Phoenix team that still plays elite defense. The suspension of Brooks is a major factor, but the return of Grayson Allen helps balance the floor for Devin Booker. I think the Suns have enough veteran poise to keep this game within two or three possessions, even if they struggle to win outright on the road. Phoenix has a way of slowing games down and making opponents work for every basket.

I am also looking closely at the total of 227.5. Both coaching staffs emphasize defensive rotations, and with Phoenix missing one of their primary scorers in Brooks, they may try to turn this into a half court grind. San Antonio is efficient, but they aren’t necessarily a high pace team that wants to run every single possession. I think the under is the smarter play here as both teams will likely prioritize getting stops in what feels like a playoff atmosphere.

I expect a very competitive game that comes down to the final few minutes. The Spurs likely extend their winning streak, but the Suns should do enough on the defensive end to cover this spread.

Best Bet: Suns +7.5 (-110).

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