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The Arizona State Sun Devils travel to Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas to take on the Baylor Bears on Saturday, February 21, 2026 in a high-profile nonconference showdown. With both programs carrying postseason aspirations, this matchup features a proven home contender in Baylor facing a dangerous Arizona State team capable of scoring in bunches.
Baylor enters as a 7.5-point home favorite, priced at -331 on the moneyline. Arizona State comes in as a +7.5 underdog with a +248 moneyline. The total is set at 157.5, one of the highest numbers on the board, signaling expectations of pace and offensive firepower on both sides. With a spread just under double digits and a total pushing toward 160, this projects as an up-tempo, high-variance contest.
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Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Odds
Below are the current betting lines for this matchup. Bettors should monitor the latest college basketball odds for any late market movement before tipoff.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | +248 | +7.5 (-113) | 157.5 (-110) |
| Baylor Bears | -331 | -7.5 (-110) | 157.5 (-110) |
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Form
Arizona State has leaned on offensive tempo and guard-driven production throughout the season. The Sun Devils are comfortable pushing pace, attacking early in possessions, and generating high shot volume. When perimeter shooting complements their transition attack, they can put pressure on even elite defenses.
A closer look at the Arizona State Sun Devils stats and results shows a team that thrives in faster games but can struggle defensively against structured half-court offenses. Their defensive rebounding has been inconsistent at times, and that could be magnified against a physical Baylor frontcourt.
Before placing any wagers, bettors should review the most recent Arizona State Sun Devils injury report. Depth is crucial in a projected 157.5 total environment. If key rotation players are limited, sustaining pace for 40 minutes becomes more difficult.
At +7.5 (-113), Arizona State offers value if the tempo rises and three-point variance works in their favor. The +248 moneyline is appealing for bettors expecting a high-possession game where offensive surges can swing momentum quickly.
Baylor Bears Betting Form
Baylor has been dominant at Foster Pavilion, combining offensive efficiency with disciplined defense. The Bears are comfortable playing fast but are equally capable of controlling games in half-court sets. Their offensive spacing and interior presence create multiple scoring avenues.
Examining the Baylor Bears schedule and stats reveals a team that excels in rebounding and turnover creation. Baylor’s ability to convert defensive stops into transition opportunities often fuels scoring runs that create separation. At home, those runs tend to come in waves.
Bettors should also consult the latest Baylor Bears injury report. Rotation stability is key when laying 7.5 points in a high-total game. If Baylor is at full strength, their depth advantage becomes significant, especially late.
At -7.5 (-110), Baylor is priced as a clear favorite, backed by home-court advantage and overall efficiency. The -331 moneyline reflects strong market confidence but offers limited standalone value.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Matchup Breakdown
Tempo will define this matchup. Both teams are capable of pushing pace, which aligns with the 157.5 total. If Arizona State accelerates the game and creates early offense, scoring could escalate quickly.
Rebounding is a pivotal factor. Baylor’s ability to dominate the glass could limit second-chance opportunities for Arizona State while generating extra possessions on offense. In a game projected with high scoring, those additional opportunities can widen the margin.
Turnovers will also influence the outcome. Baylor thrives on defensive pressure that leads to transition baskets. Arizona State must protect the ball to avoid giving away easy points. Conversely, if the Sun Devils generate steals and convert quickly, the underdog becomes much more attractive against the spread.
Late-game scenarios are critical in spreads near 7.5 points. If Baylor builds a lead, Arizona State may extend possessions with fouling, potentially pushing the total upward. Bettors applying disciplined analysis through broader advanced betting strategies understand how pace and free-throw dynamics impact high totals and mid-range spreads.
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Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Predictions and Best Bets
On the side, Baylor -7.5 (-110) holds the edge. The Bears’ home-court advantage, rebounding strength, and balanced scoring profile create a strong path to separation. If they control the glass and limit turnovers, they should maintain a multi-possession lead.
Arizona State’s path to covering lies in tempo and shooting variance. If perimeter shots fall at a high rate and transition scoring increases, the Sun Devils can stay within range. However, defensive inconsistencies and rebounding concerns present challenges against Baylor’s structure.
Regarding the total at 157.5, the over has strong appeal. Both teams are comfortable playing fast, and offensive efficiency on both sides suggests scoring in the upper 70s or low 80s is realistic. Transition opportunities and late-game fouling could push the number higher.
Expect a high-scoring contest with momentum swings, but Baylor’s depth and efficiency give them the advantage.
Best Bet: Over 157.5 (-110).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
To complete your Saturday card, review today’s college basketball picks for additional matchup insights across the slate. Expert handicappers analyze pace, efficiency, and market value to identify profitable spots.
Futures bettors can explore updated John Wooden Award odds and predictions and the latest college basketball championship odds to identify teams trending toward March success.
Combining detailed matchup breakdowns with disciplined bankroll management and proven advanced betting strategies remains essential for long-term profitability throughout the college basketball season.
