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Montreal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings Picks and Predictions – Saturday, March 7, 2026

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The Montreal Canadiens close out a back-to-back on Saturday night when they visit the Los Angeles Kings at Crypto.com Arena. Puck drop is set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Montreal comes in at 33-18-10 after a wild 6-5 shootout loss in Anaheim on Friday, while Los Angeles is 25-22-14 and trying to build on a needed 5-3 win over the Islanders. The spot is interesting because the standings point one way, but the market still leans to the home team.

That is probably because this matchup is about more than record. Montreal has been the better team overall, but it is also on the second leg of a California back-to-back after a chaotic, high-event game. Los Angeles is at home, healthier on the blue line than it was a few days ago, and still getting priced like a team with more defensive control than offensive explosiveness. I think bettors have to decide whether this is a spot to trust Montreal’s form or fade its schedule spot.

Montreal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings Odds

These are the current betting lines for this matchup, and bettors should always monitor the latest NHL odds before placing a wager. Market prices around game day have Los Angeles in the -125 to -134 range, with the total commonly dealing 5.5 to 6.0 depending on the book.

TeamMoneylinePuck LineTotal
Montreal Canadiens+112+1.5O 6.0 (-104)
Los Angeles Kings-134-1.5U 6.0 (-121)
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Montreal Canadiens Betting Form

Montreal is still in a pretty good place overall, but the recent form has been a little messier than the season record suggests. The Canadiens are just 1-1-2 in their last four after Friday’s shootout loss in Anaheim, and that game showed both sides of this team. The offense can absolutely stretch you. Cole Caufield had two goals and an assist, Lane Hutson added a goal and two assists, and the top end still looks dangerous. But the defensive game was loose, and that is a concern when you have to travel overnight and play again in a tougher road environment. You can track the broader Montreal Canadiens stats and results profile, but the recent pattern has been more volatile than clean.

The betting angle with Montreal starts with offense at 5-on-5 and whether that can travel on no rest. Nick Suzuki and Caufield have been carrying a lot of the finishing load, and Hutson’s puck movement has clearly raised the ceiling. Still, if the legs are not there, that same aggressive style can create odd-man chances the other way. Availability matters here as well, so monitor the Montreal Canadiens injury report before puck drop. Patrik Laine remains sidelined, and even though Montreal has compensated for that loss reasonably well, it still trims some power-play danger and secondary scoring.

From a betting perspective, Montreal is attractive because it has been good enough to win this game outright if the pace opens up. But the back-to-back spot is real, and after allowing six goals on Friday, it is fair to wonder how sharp the defensive detail will be. That is what keeps me from jumping too quickly to the dog moneyline.

Los Angeles Kings Betting Form

Los Angeles is harder to trust on a nightly basis, but the setup for this game is much better than the season record alone might suggest. The Kings just beat the Islanders 5-3, they are in the middle of a homestand, and Drew Doughty has returned to the lineup after missing time with a lower-body injury. That changes a lot. He does not fix every offensive issue, but he does settle the breakout game and the overall defensive structure. The Los Angeles Kings schedule and stats page gives the bigger picture, but the headline here is that the Kings look a little more stable than they did a week ago.

The injury list is still a big part of the handicap, though. Kevin Fiala is reportedly done for the season, Andrei Kuzmenko is expected to miss the rest of the regular season, and Joel Armia is still out for a few more weeks. Quinton Byfield’s status has also been less than fully settled in some pregame listings. That leaves Los Angeles relying more heavily on Adrian Kempe, its top defense pair, and whatever offense it can generate through structure rather than pure skill. Bettors should check the Los Angeles Kings injury reportbefore puck drop because this forward group is still pretty thin.

The Kings’ path to winning is pretty clear. They want a cleaner, lower-event game where their defensive shape matters and Montreal’s tired legs start to show. If that happens, Los Angeles makes sense as a home favorite. If this turns into another rush-heavy game with lots of transition, the matchup probably swings back toward Montreal.

Montreal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings Matchup Breakdown

This game is basically a clash between schedule spot and overall quality. Montreal has been the better team this season and has more offensive confidence right now, but it is also coming off a frantic Friday game in Anaheim where it allowed six goals and had to chase the result deep into the night. Los Angeles gets to sit at home and play a more controlled style. That is a pretty meaningful edge in a one-game handicap.

At 5-on-5, the key question is whether the Kings can keep Montreal out of open ice. The Canadiens are much more dangerous when Suzuki, Caufield, and Hutson are playing downhill and turning quick touches into transition chances. Los Angeles would rather make this a grind, get pucks behind the defense, and let its blue line control the flow. The return of Doughty matters there, even if he is not yet all the way back to peak form. This is the kind of spot where an NHL betting guide mindset helps because the better season-long team is not always the better one-night bet.

Goaltending is also important here, and that part was not fully confirmed in the search results before puck drop. Montreal used Samuel Montembeault on Friday, which creates some uncertainty for Saturday. Los Angeles has gotten steadier work lately, but the exact goalie confirmation still matters before betting a side or total. When goalie news is unclear, I usually treat that as a reason to be a little more conservative with totals unless the matchup strongly points one way. The broader Stanley Cup betting guide principle applies here too: schedule, fatigue, and lineup certainty can matter more than raw points in the standings.

For the total, I get the case for the over because Montreal just played a 6-5 game and both teams have enough finishing talent to cash a 6.0 if the pace loosens up. Still, back-to-backs often flatten one side’s attack a little, and Los Angeles is more likely to drag this game downward than upward. So even though the recent Montreal results scream offense, the actual game state might be more controlled than that.

Montreal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Los Angeles on the moneyline. Not because the Kings are the better team over the full season, because they are not, but because this is a pretty favorable situational spot for them. Montreal is coming off a high-event loss, traveling, and likely dealing with some fatigue in the second half of the back-to-back. Los Angeles gets this game at home and should be able to play closer to its preferred rhythm.

I am not especially interested in the Kings puck line. Montreal has too much offensive ability to dismiss, and the Canadiens have been strong enough lately to stay live even when the game script turns against them. If Los Angeles wins, I think it is more likely by one goal than by a comfortable margin. That makes the straight moneyline the cleaner side.

On the total, I lean slightly under 6.0. That may feel a bit uncomfortable after Montreal’s Friday game, but this number is being shaped by that recency as much as by the actual matchup. Los Angeles wants a lower-event game, Montreal may not have its sharpest legs, and the uncertainty around confirmed goalies makes me less eager to chase the over. I would not be shocked by a 4-3 type finish, but I think the more likely script is something tighter than that.

Best Bet: Los Angeles Kings moneyline (-134).

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NHL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you are betting this Saturday slate, checking today’s NHL picks is useful because hockey boards can move quickly on goalie confirmations, late scratches, and trade-deadline ripple effects. The NHL previews hub also helps if you are comparing multiple games instead of locking into one matchup too early.

It also helps to follow proven cappers instead of reacting to one hot night. You can compare top sports handicappers and sort by the handicapper leaderboard to get a better feel for who is seeing NHL sides and totals well over the long run. That kind of transparency matters, especially in March.

For bettors who want a narrower, higher-conviction card, buy expert picks can help separate the best spots from the noisiest ones. And for a broader handicapping framework across sports, the sports betting strategy guide can be useful when you are weighing price, fatigue, and lineup certainty all at once.

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