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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers Picks and Predictions – March 12, 2026

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Columbus heads into Sunrise for a Thursday night matchup at Amerant Bank Arena with puck drop set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Blue Jackets come in at 33-22-10 and sit fourth in the Metropolitan Division, while Florida is 32-29-3 and trying to claw back from seventh in the Atlantic. On the surface, the market says this is basically a coin flip. That part makes sense. The recent form does not. Columbus has been the much steadier team over the last few weeks, and that matters here.

The Blue Jackets just handled Tampa Bay 5-2 and have been stacking results for a while now. Florida did beat Detroit twice this week, so this is not exactly a dead team walking, but the bigger sample is still rough. The Panthers have been trying to survive key injuries all season, and that has changed the way you handicap them. They still defend well enough to stay in games, but the margin is thinner than the name value suggests.

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor the latest NHL odds before locking anything in because this number has been moving in a tight range.

TeamMoneylinePuck LineTotal
Columbus Blue Jackets-108+1.5O 6.5
Florida Panthers-110-1.5U 6.5 (-119)

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Columbus Blue Jackets Betting Form

Columbus looks like one of those teams the market still does not fully trust, even though the profile keeps improving. The Jackets have gone 15-2-3 over their last 20 games, and they are creating offense from more than one place. Zach Werenski is still driving a lot of what they do, but the bigger story is depth. Conor Garland hit the ground running after the trade, Kirill Marchenko is producing, and this blue line keeps chipping in. Columbus defensemen have scored 49 goals this season, the most in the NHL, which gives this team a different kind of offensive floor than most clubs in this range. You can check the broader Columbus Blue Jackets stats and results if you want the game log behind the surge.

At five-on-five, Columbus has been good enough to carry play, and the shot volume is real. The Jackets are averaging 30.0 shots per game and 3.19 goals per game, so they are not living off one lucky week. I also think the goalie angle matters a lot here. If Jet Greaves gets the start, Columbus has a real edge in recent form between the pipes. His season numbers are clearly stronger than Elvis Merzlikins’ and, frankly, stronger than Bobrovsky’s as well. Availability matters too, so monitor the Blue Jackets injury report before puck drop. Erik Gudbranson and Brendan Smith being out keeps some pressure on the Columbus depth pairings, but it has not derailed the team’s recent run.

From a betting standpoint, that points me more toward the moneyline than the puck line. Columbus has been winning, but Florida still has enough structure and home-ice resistance to make a one-goal game pretty likely. If you like Columbus, paying for the safer path makes more sense than chasing plus money on -1.5.

Florida Panthers Betting Form

Florida is a tougher handicap because the record, the injuries, and the reputation are all pulling in different directions. The Panthers have won two straight, both against Detroit, and they just snapped a longer skid that had put them in a pretty deep hole in the playoff race. They are still allowing 3.31 goals per game, which is not what you expect from this team, but the penalty kill remains strong at 82.2 percent and that keeps them competitive even when the five-on-five game wobbles. Their home setup and defensive details are still better than the overall record suggests. For a broader view, the Florida Panthers schedule and stats help show how uneven this stretch has been.

The bigger issue is who is actually available. Aleksander Barkov remains out, Brad Marchand is out, Seth Jones is out, and Sam Reinhart entered the day listed as day-to-day. That is a huge amount of scoring and two-way value either missing or in doubt. Sam Bennett and Carter Verhaeghe can still tilt a game, and Matthew Tkachuk has helped keep the attack alive, but this version of Florida is not built the same way as the Cup teams bettors remember. Keep an eye on the Panthers injury report because Reinhart’s status changes the handicap more than any other skater in this matchup.

At home, Florida still deserves respect because they do not give up a ton of shots. Opponents are seeing only 26.3 shots per game against them, which is one of the cleaner defensive marks in this matchup. The problem is that Bobrovsky’s save percentage has dipped to .876, and that has erased some of the margin the Panthers usually create. If Tarasov goes instead, it gets a little more volatile because the sample is smaller, but his season numbers have actually been better. So yes, Florida can win this game. I just do not think the market should make them the side I need to pay for.

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers Matchup Breakdown

This game really starts with the contrast in current trajectory. Columbus is pressing, scoring first in games, and getting contributions from all over the lineup. Florida is still trying to piece together enough offense while working around top-end absences. That is why the moneyline is interesting. The Jackets are the healthier attacking team right now, even if Florida still owns the stronger defensive DNA. If you track the broader NHL previews board, this is one of the trickier short-price games on Thursday for exactly that reason.

Special teams do give Florida a case. The Panthers have the better penalty kill, while Columbus sits at 78.0 percent there, and that is not a small gap. If this turns into a whistle-heavy game, Florida probably gets closer to controlling it. But at even strength, Columbus has been the better attacking side recently, and the Blue Jackets are generating enough shots to keep Bobrovsky under real pressure. I would also say this: Columbus already beat Florida 4-2 a week ago, and it did not feel fluky. The Jackets were the sharper team for longer stretches.

The total is more delicate. The season-long numbers push in both directions. Columbus can score, Florida’s goaltending has been shaky, and Panthers games have leaned over more often than not. But the injury situation for Florida softens some of that over appeal, and if Greaves starts for Columbus, the under gets more attractive than it first appears. This is one of those spots where I lean under, but not as confidently as I lean side. If you want a deeper framework for reading these spots, the NHL betting guide is a natural companion read.

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers Predictions and Best Bets

I lean to Columbus on the moneyline. The number is cheap enough that I do not need to overthink it. The Jackets have been the better team for a sustained stretch, their offense is arriving from multiple layers of the lineup, and they are facing a Panthers roster that still looks compromised. Florida absolutely has counters here, especially on special teams and at home, but I think the market is still pricing the badge a bit more than the current roster reality.

The goalie call is the swing point. If Columbus confirms Greaves, I like the Blue Jackets even more. If Merzlikins starts, I would still lean Columbus, just with less conviction. On the Florida side, Bobrovsky’s name still carries weight, but his current numbers do not justify blind trust. That part is hard to ignore. The Panthers can still grind this into a 3-2 type of game, but Columbus has looked more likely to finish chances lately.

As for the total, under 6.5 is my secondary lean. Florida is missing too much high-end skill to assume a full offensive ceiling, and Columbus is not likely to play recklessly on the road in a game with playoff implications. Still, because both goalies on each side come with some uncertainty depending on who starts, I would rather invest in the side than force the total.

That leaves me on Columbus at the current price. Maybe it is not flashy, but this is the kind of number I usually trust more than a more dramatic puck-line angle.

Best Bet: Columbus Blue Jackets moneyline (-108).

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NHL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you are betting NHL every day, the value is not just in one preview. It is in having enough opinions and enough data points to compare where the market may be off. The best way to do that on the site is to start with today’s NHL picks and then filter those ideas against the bigger board of top sports handicappers. One cold streak or one hot week should never be the whole story, and that is why the full record matters.

The transparency piece is a big part of it. The handicapper leaderboard lets you compare long-term performance, volume, and consistency instead of guessing who is actually winning. And when you want to move beyond free plays, the premium NHL picks page makes it easier to follow the cappers whose style fits your risk tolerance and betting approach.

For futures bettors, there is value in zooming out too. The Stanley Cup betting guide helps frame how these late-season games feed into the bigger playoff picture, especially when you are trying to decide whether a team is truly live or just making noise for a week.